MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
VMC
Vulcan Materials Company
Materials · NYSE: VMC · MSJ-100
$291.89
▼ $0.89  (▼0.30%) today
After-hours: $297.68  ▲ 1.98%
Headquarters
Birmingham, AL
Employees
11,548
Founded
1909
CEO
Mr. Ronnie A. Pruitt
Incorporated
New Jersey
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $326.55
$292 now
Bear $198 Avg $327 Bull $365
Price history Free
Volume
736.2K
Avg volume
1.15M
Open
$295.85
Day high / low
$299.74 / $291.71
Market cap
$37.9B
About this company
Free
Vulcan Materials Company is the largest U.S. supplier of construction aggregates, including crushed stone, sand, and gravel. It also produces asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete, which are essential materials for building homes, offices, and critical infrastructure like highways and bridges across the U.S.
Business segments
10-K
Aggregates Asphalt Concrete
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q4 2025 2025
Intel
Free
2026-02-??Optimistic
Tom Hill (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Suzanne Wood (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
The company discussed solid full-year 2025 performance, referencing strong pricing and improved profitability metrics, though specific quarterly figures in the transcript source summary are limited.[8] Management emphasized year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA and margins, supported by pricing gains across aggregates and related businesses
Forward guidance
On the Q4 2025 call, management outlined expectations for continued growth in 2026 driven by infrastructure and nonresidential demand, with residential construction expected to stabilize rather than materially grow.[4][8] They signaled ongoing focus on pricing and cost discipline, positioning the company to expand margins even in a mixed volume env
Notable Q&A
A key Q&A topic involved questions about 2026 volume assumptions by end market; management indicated that public infrastructure should grow, nonresidential should be stable to modestly up, and residential expected to be roughly flat, with pricing remaining the primary earnings driver.[4][8] Another
Surprise items
Analysts appeared somewhat surprised by management’s confidence in margin expansion despite only modest expectations for volume growth, highlighting the company’s pricing power and cost control as key differentiators.[4][8] The emphasis on portfolio optimization, including selective market exits and
Q1 2026 (Apr 29, 2026) · Confident (Mar 12, 2026) ·
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$331.09 / $252.35
Forward P/E
27.1×
Trailing 34.6×
Dividend
$2.08 / share
Yield 0.71%
Analysts covering
22
Avg target $326.55
Beta
1.05
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
5.3%
Float shorted
Buy
65%
Hold
30%
Sell
4%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$7,941.1 million
7.1% YoY
Operating margin
20.4%
Net income
$1,076.7 million
Free cash flow
$1,135.3 million
Dividend / share
$1.96
Total debt
$4,362.1 million
Cash: $183.3 million
CapEx guidance
$750 million to $800 million
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:1.7x
Non-recurring items: Pretax net gain of $42.4 million from the sale of asphalt mix and construction paving operations in Houston, Texas., Pretax charges of $0.6 million for divested operations., Pretax charges of $2.0 million associated with non-routine acquisitions., Pretax loss on discontinued operations of $6.1 million.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-19
Xavier sector view:
Materials
See journal
View Materials journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.0 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
VMC delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat (EPS $1.35 vs. $1.12 estimate, revenue $1.76B vs. $1.62B consensus) and reaffirmed full-year EBITDA guidance of $2.4B–$2.6B, supported by IIJA tailwinds with only ~45% of public infrastructure funds spent. However, at 33x TTM P/E and trading ~15% below its 52-week high but still well above any reasonable intrinsic value floor (Morningstar fair value ~$123, GuruFocus 11% overvalued at ~$296), the valuation already prices in the bull case, leaving limited margin of safety for a 5-day tactical long.
Strongest bull case
Only ~45% of IIJA public infrastructure funds have been deployed, providing a durable multi-year demand tailwind for aggregates volumes and pricing; Q1 2026 beat with 7.4% revenue growth and 20%+ EPS beat signals operational momentum is intact heading into the peak construction season.
Strongest bear case
At 33x TTM P/E with only ~7% revenue growth and a NEUTRAL/BEARISH macro regime (2 of 4 macro models bearish), the stock is priced for perfection; insider selling (13 open-market sales, zero buys in 6 months) and the stock trading ~15% below its 52-week high with no near-term catalyst in the next 5 trading days create a skewed risk/reward to the downside, particularly with federal spending scrutiny under DOGE posing a non-trivial risk to the public infrastructure funding assumptions baked into consensus.
What the market may be missing
The market is treating IIJA spending as a locked-in tailwind, but with ~55% of funds still unspent and heightened federal budget pressure from DOGE-led spending cuts, there is a real optionality risk that some of these highway dollars face delays or rescissions — a scenario not reflected in the 26x forward P/E multiple the street is assigning.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_VMC_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
VMC
current
$291.89 ▼0.3%
MLM
NEUTRAL
$577.72
FCX
NEUTRAL
$61.52
NEM
NEUTRAL
$95.29
APD
NEUTRAL
$299.53
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-14
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-16
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Ronnie A. Pruitt
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
RA
Ronnie A. Pruitt
Chief Executive Officer · Vulcan Materials Company
CEO since January 2026
Total compensation
$5,191,093 ▲ 4.2% YoY
Prior year: $4,979,457
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
96%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
11/13 (85%)
Diversity: 31% (4 women)
Base salary$798,000
Bonus / incentive$1,228,900
Stock awards$2,203,950
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Industry EventApr 01, 2026
NSSGA Young Leaders Annual Meeting Source ↗
Mr. Ronnie A. Pruitt (CEO) · Destin, Florida
Ronnie Pruitt delivered a keynote address to young leaders in the aggregates industry. He shared insights on leadership and company strategy at Vulcan Materials. The event highlighted building winning teams, drawing from industry and executive perspe
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
J. Thomas Hill 2022 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

Our disciplined approach to enhancing our core though VWO and VWS and expanding our reach through mergers and acquisitions and greenfield development has yielded consistent results and growth throughout the cycle.

Since the launch of our strategic disciplines in 2017—and during a time when construction activity faced the headwinds of a pandemic, labor shortages, supply chain constraints, elevated inflation, and numerous other disruptions—we have improved our Adjusted EBITDA at a compound annual growth rate of 11%. Consistent operational execution, cash generation, and disciplined capital allocation continued to drive our durable growth.

We are fiercely dedicated to continuous improvement, and we are confident in our ability to continue to grow our unit margins regardless of the challenges we may face. We set high expectations at our Investor Day last September: raising the bar from $9 cash gross profit per ton at 230−240 million tons of aggregates to $11−12 cash gross profit per ton when we reach 260−270 million tons.

Our momentum coming into 2023 is outstanding. With the right people, the right products, the right markets, and the right focus, Vulcan is the most compelling investment in the aggregates industry.

Once again, thank you to our employees. Our strong teams are keeping each other safe, harnessing the power of technology and innovation, servicing our customers, and enhancing our core business each and every day.

To our shareholders, we appreciate your confidence and investment in Vulcan Materials Company and look forward to delivering durable growth for years to come.

Xavier analysis
The letter conveys strong confidence and positive outlook through phrases like 'consistent results and growth', 'fiercely dedicated to continuous improvement', 'confident in our ability', 'outstanding momentum', and positioning Vulcan as 'the most compelling investment in the aggregates industry'.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Durable Growth (Organic and Inorganic)
#2Operational Excellence & Continuous Improvement
#3Employee Contribution & Safety
#4Disciplined Capital Allocation
3 named projects & initiatives
VWO, VWS, Investor Day last September
2 strategic initiative, 1 other
Forward-looking statements
6 total: 1 quantified, 4 directional, 1 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth (Core Enhancement via VWO/VWS) → Inorganic Growth (Mergers and Acquisitions, Greenfield Development) → Disciplined Capital Allocation (general)
Key quotes
“We are fiercely dedicated to continuous improvement, and we are confident in our ability to continue to grow our unit margins regardless of the challenges we may face.”
Emphasizes the company's strong commitment to operational efficiency and resilience against market challenges.
“raising the bar from $9 cash gross profit per ton at 230−240 million tons of aggregates to $11−12 cash gross profit per ton when we reach 260−270 million tons.”
Highlights a specific, quantified strategic financial target, demonstrating clear future performance expectations.
View 2022 Annual Report (PDF) →
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
J. Thomas HillChairman and Chief Executive Officer$14,699,497
Ronnie A. PruittChief Operating Officer$5,191,093
Thompson S. Baker, IIPresident$8,356,394
David P. ClementSenior Vice President$4,239,854
Mary Andrews CarlisleSenior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer$3,849,797
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-24
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of Directors
FOR
Pending
Advisory Vote on Compensation of our Named Executive Officers (Say On Pay)
FOR
96%
Ratification of Appointment of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
16 debt instruments · 12 CUSIPs · 9 unique covenants
0.54x
Debt / Equity
7.1x
Interest coverage
1.9x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$4.4B
Net debt
27%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit $2,000,000,000
CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of November 4, 2024
Matures · Filed 2024-11-04
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
929159BF7 929159BG5
Revolver $1,600,000,000
Revolving Credit Facility
Matures 2029-11-04 · Filed 2024-11-04
Floating · SOFR
Revolver $1,600,000,000
Credit Agreement dated as of September 10, 2020 (as amended by Fourth Amendment)
Matures 2027-08-08 · Filed 2022-08-09
Floating · SOFR | Base Rate
Credit $1,000,000,000
Credit Agreement dated as of September 10, 2020 (as amended)
Matures · Filed 2022-05-05
Floating · SOFR | Eurodollar | Base Rate
Credit $1,600,000,000
CREDIT AGREEMENT CONFORMED THROUGH SECOND AMENDMENT
Matures 2026-08-26 · Filed 2022-05-05
Floating · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime
Unsecured
929159BD2 929159BE0
Credit
Credit Agreement dated as of June 30, 2021 (as amended by First Amendment)
Matures · Filed 2021-11-05
10 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Maximum Total Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.50x
Total Debt-to-EBITDA
CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of November 4, 2024
Maximum Total Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.50 to 1.00
Total Debt / EBITDA
CREDIT AGREEMENT CONFORMED THROUGH SECOND AMENDMEN
Limitation on Priority Indebtedness
not to exceed $25,000,000 in the aggregate outstanding at any time
Indebtedness for borrowed money of Subsidiaries
Credit Agreement dated as of June 30, 2021 (as ame
Maximum Total Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.50x (general); ≤ 3.75x (after certain acquisitions)
Total Debt to EBITDA
CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of September 10, 2020
Minimum Interest Coverage Ratio
≥ 3.00 to 1.00
EBITDA to Interest Expense
364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT
Incorporated Covenants from Syndicated Credit Agreement
As defined in the Syndicated Credit Agreement
As defined in the Syndicated Credit Agreement
Term Loan Note
Incorporated Covenants from 2007 Indenture
As defined in the 2007 Indenture
As defined in the 2007 Indenture
Term Loan Note
Maximum Total Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.50x (through September 30, 2016); ≤ 3.25x (thereafter). Special thresholds: ≤ 3.50x after achieving a 5B Rating; ≤ 3.75x for three fiscal quarters after a Permitted Acquisition of $75,000,000 or greater if Borrower has a 5B Rating.
Total Debt to EBITDA
CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of June 19, 2015
1 additional covenant on file
CUSIP identifiers (12 on file)
929159BD2 929159BE0 929159BB6 929159BC4 929159BF7 929159BG5 929159AW1 929159AX9 929159AY7 929159BA8 929159AU5 929159AV3
Cross-default risk
10 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.7x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Arbitrary and illegal actions by the Mexican government affecting the Calica ope
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% VMC delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat (EPS $1.35 vs. $1.12 estimate, revenue $1.76B vs. $1.62B consens... $281.38 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 75% VMC delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat — adjusted EPS of $1.35 vs. $1.13 consensus (+19.5%) and reaffir... $282.92 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% VMC trades at ~31x TTM P/E — at the high end of its historical range of 29-31x — with the stock sitt... $260.65 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% VMC delivered a genuinely strong Q1 2026 (most recently reported) — 27% adjusted EBITDA growth, 420b... $267.83 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% VMC delivered a strong Q1 2025 beat on EPS ($0.98 vs $0.79 est) with 27% adjusted EBITDA growth and ... $283.72 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% VMC just reported solid Q1 2026 results (9% EBITDA growth, reiterated $2.4B-$2.6B full-year guidance... $297.32 Sched.
May 01, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 100% VMC just reported Q1 2026 results (April 29) showing 9% adjusted EBITDA growth and reiterated its $2... $299.48 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.6/10 75% VMC is trading roughly 11% below its 52-week high and about 10% below the average analyst price targ... $295.48 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.7/10 75% VMC is trading roughly 10% below its consensus fair value ahead of a Q1 2026 earnings report on Apri... $295.48 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.5/10 50% VMC is trading ~10% below its 52-week high and roughly 9% below the consensus analyst price target o... $295.48 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.0/10 0% Insufficient model responses to form consensus. $295.48 Sched.
Showing last 11 signals
VMC Vulcan Materials Company
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-19)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$7,941.1 million 7.1% YoY
? Operating income
$1,619.6 million
? Net income
$1,076.7 million
? Free cash flow
$1,135.3 million
? EPS (diluted)
$1.26
? Dividend per share
$1.96
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
10.02%
WACC
9.04%
🟡 NEUTRAL — EVA Spread: 0.97%
? WACC
9.04%
? Cost of equity
10.03%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.89%
? Capital structure
E: 89.25% / D: 10.75%
? ROIC
10.02%
? EVA
$125M
? NOPAT
$1.3B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.