MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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V
Visa Inc.
Financials · NYSE: V · MSJ-100
$356.02
▼ $1.73  (▼0.48%) today
After-hours: $356.84  ▲ 0.23%
Headquarters
San Francisco, CA
Employees
34,100
Founded
1958
CEO
Mr. Ryan M. McInerney
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
September
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $401.16
$356 now
Bear $330 Avg $401 Bull $450
Price history Free
Volume
6.63M
Avg volume
8.33M
Open
$355.77
Day high / low
$359.90 / $353.68
Market cap
$677.1B
About this company
Free
Visa is a global leader in digital payments, facilitating secure and efficient global commerce and money movement. The company provides transaction processing services, including authorization, clearing, and settlement, through its proprietary VisaNet network, connecting consumers, financial institutions, and sellers worldwide. It also offers a wide range of payment products and value-added services.
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q2 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 29, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Ryan McInerney (Chief Executive Officer), Vasant Prabhu (Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
Net revenue was up 17% year over year in fiscal Q2; constant-currency net revenue was up 16%; EPS was up 20%; client incentives grew 14%, below expectations; value-added services revenue grew 27% year over year in constant dollars to $3.3 billion.[1]
Forward guidance
Management said the business momentum remained strong and that the company was increasing its total net revenue and EPS guide for the full year. They reiterated that growth should continue to be supported by consumer payments, commercial payments, and money movement solutions, plus value-added services.[1]
Notable Q&A
One notable exchange centered on why results beat expectations, with management attributing the upside to stronger-than-expected net revenue growth and lower-than-expected incentives, including timing and performance adjustments.[1]
Surprise items
Management highlighted that the quarter’s net revenue growth was the highest in recent years and that both revenue and EPS came in better than expected.[1]
Q2 FY2026 (Apr 29, 2026) · Confident Q1 2026 (Jan 29, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$365.02 / $293.89
Forward P/E
23.9×
Trailing 31.1×
Dividend
$2.68 / share
Yield 0.75%
Analysts covering
38
Avg target $401.16
Beta
0.75
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.2%
Float shorted
Buy
93%
Hold
7%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
40,000 million USD
11 % YoY
Operating margin
60.0%
Net income
20,058 million USD
Free cash flow
21,577 million USD
Dividend / share
2.36 USD
Total debt
19,602 million USD
Cash: 17,164 million USD
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:100%
Cash conversion:1.1x
Non-recurring items: Litigation provision for U.S. covered litigation, Severance costs related to organizational realignment, Lease consolidation costs, One-time benefit from indirect taxes resolution (prior year)
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2025-11-06
Xavier sector view:
Financials
See journal
View Financials journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 5.7 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
Visa is a structurally elite business — 71% EBITDA margins, 17% revenue growth, and a $20B buyback — but at 30x TTM P/E with the stock sitting ~4.6% below its 52-week high and only ~15% below analyst consensus targets, the risk/reward is not compelling for a 5-day horizon. The stock has already re-rated sharply from its March lows, compressing the upside gap from ~32% to ~15%, leaving limited near-term catalysts ahead of the July 28 earnings report.
Strongest bull case
Visa's Q2 FY2026 net revenue grew 17% YoY to $11.2B — its fastest pace since 2022 — with value-added services (fraud, data tools) surging 27% to $3.3B and now comprising 30% of revenue, demonstrating durable diversification beyond pure transaction volume that supports premium multiple expansion.
Strongest bear case
The DOJ antitrust case alleging illegal monopolization of the U.S. debit card market (where Visa handles 60%+ of transactions) is accelerating, with fact discovery closing October 2026; simultaneously, a new EU merchant interchange lawsuit was filed in the UK High Court in April 2026, and a fresh U.S. class action was filed the same month — a trifecta of legal overhangs that the market is partially pricing but could worsen on any adverse ruling or discovery revelation in the next 5 trading days.
What the market may be missing
The court dismissal of the securities fraud lawsuit (July 9) is a minor near-term positive, but the market may be underweighting the compounding litigation stack: the DOJ debit case, a rejected $30B merchant swipe-fee settlement still in renegotiation, a new UK High Court European interchange claim, and a brand-new SDNY class action — all simultaneously active. If the Trump DOJ signals renewed aggressiveness in the debit case discovery phase (bipartisan antitrust consensus), a re-rating of the litigation discount could cap upside even as fundamentals remain strong.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_V_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
V
current
$356.02 ▼0.5%
PGR
NEUTRAL
$230.72
AXP
NEUTRAL
$350.58
MA
NEUTRAL
$526.74
BLK
BULLISH
$1,036.11
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-06
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 COND
8-K — 2026-06-26
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-13
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Ryan McInerney
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
RM
Ryan McInerney
Chief Executive Officer · Visa Inc.
CEO since February 2023
Total compensation
$31,560,660 ▲ 21.4% YoY
Prior year: $25,999,293
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
92%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
10/11 (91%)
Base salary$1,505,782
Bonus / incentive
Stock awards$18,723,306
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
ConferenceMay 14, 2026
Trump-Xi Summit Business Delegation Source ↗
Mr. Ryan M. McInerney (CEO) · Beijing, China
Ryan McInerney is attending the high-stakes summit between President Trump and President Xi Jinping as one of 16 top U.S. CEOs. Discussions are expected to cover the Iran war, trade, Taiwan, and potential business deals. His presence underscores Visa
Investor DayMay 01, 2026
Visa Q2 2026 Earnings Call Source ↗
Mr. Ryan M. McInerney (CEO) · Visa Inc. (virtual/teleconference)
McInerney highlighted Visa's record net revenue of $11.2 billion, up 17% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2022 and the strongest since 2013 when excluding post-pandemic recovery and Visa Europe acquisition. He emphasized bets on stabl
“"When excluding the post-pandemic recovery and the Visa Europe acquisition, it was actually the strongest growth since 2013."”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Ryan McInerney 2024 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

Dear fellow shareholders,

Visa started with a simple yet

revolutionary idea: to connect buyers

and sellers through seamless, secure

digital payments. Rooted in this history

is our purpose — to uplift everyone,

everywhere by being the best way to

pay and be paid.

Over the past 60 years, we have made

significant progress bringing this idea

to life. We have built a global payments

network connecting consumers and

businesses in more than 200 countries

and territories around the world.

We have developed and delivered

innovative solutions across the payments

ecosystem to enable seamless and

secure experiences for buyers and

sellers. 2024 was no exception.

A strong 2024

During fiscal year 2024 (2024), Visa

delivered strong financial results of $35.9

billion in net revenues and GAAP earnings

per share of $9.73, up 10 percent and 17

percent from the prior year, respectively.

Visa's total payments and cash volume

was $16 trillion and the Visa network

processed 234 billion total transactions —

639 million transactions every day.

But these numbers only tell part of

the story. In 2024, Visa's solutions

helped our clients and partners deliver

digital payments to individuals and

businesses around the world, benefiting

communities and economies globally. We

ended the year with 4.6 billion payment

credentials, up 7% from last year, that

can be used at more than 150 million

merchant locations worldwide.

The integrity of the payments ecosystem

is fundamental to our success.

Throughout 2024, we prevented billions

of dollars of potentially fraudulent

purchase volume, working with our

clients and partners to stop bad actors

and enable legitimate transactions on our

network, leading to higher sales, lower

fraud and better consumer experiences.

Our clients are at the center of everything

we do. We partner closely with more

than 14,000 financial institutions and the

world's major technology and consumer

digital platforms. We are proud of how

we serve and deliver for our clients. For

example, in 2024 alone, we signed over

12,000 new deals and renewals with

our clients for value-added services

(VAS), up 17 percent from last year. Our

Annual Global Client Engagement Survey

showcased a Global Net Promoter Score

of 76, up three points from last year and

an enviable score for any client-facing

organization.

Executing on our growth strategy

We made great progress across our key

growth drivers: consumer payments,

new flows and value-added services, and

we are confident in our ability to drive

growth from each of these three areas

going forward.

In consumer payments, we accelerated

our efforts to address the $20 trillion'

annual opportunity by converting

consumer spending from cash, checks,

ACH, domestic schemes and other

forms of electronic payments into digital

payments on Visa's network. Let me

highlight a few innovative ways we are

enabling our partners by creating the

best payment experiences to capture this

opportunity.

First, we launched an innovative new

way to pay called the Visa Flexible

Credential, which empowers consumers

by allowing them to choose from an array

of different funding sources when making

a payment — whether it's debit, credit,

installments or rewards points. Second,

Tap to Pay usage continues to grow and

has become the default way to pay in

person, with 72 percent of all face-to-face

Visa transactions now taps. With the

launch of Tap to Phone, any of the billions

of mobile phones around the world can

now be a point-of-sale device to accept

Visa payments. Third, we announced

plans to launch Visa Payment Passkey,

a biometric authentication solution

that replaces passwords and one-time

codes for e-commerce payments. Last,

we expanded Visa Token Service, which

helps protect digital transactions by

replacing16-digit Visa account numbers

with a token. We reached 11.5 billion

tokens by the end of 2024, driving down

fraud and increasing authorization rates.

Beyond consumer payments, our

new flows business is focused on

driving digitization and improving the

payments and money movement

experience for businesses, consumers

and governments. The total

addressable opportunity is enormous —

approximately $200 trillion2 in payments

annually.

Visa Commercial Solutions, representing

$1.7 trillion in 2024 payments volume,

helps small businesses, large and middle

market companies and governments

simplify payments, improve expense

management, streamline accounts

payables and enable seamless cross-

border payments. Visa Direct facilitates

domestic and cross-border money

movement, enabling clients to collect,

convert, hold and send funds to more

than 11 billion cards, bank accounts and

digital wallets, with nearly10 billion

transactions in 2024.

In our VAS business, we have deepened

our relationships with our clients through

multiple solutions and continued

to expand our services beyond Visa

transactions to non-Visa transactions

and non-payment services. We have

done this across a diverse portfolio

of services, encompassing Issuing

Solutions, Acceptance Solutions,

Risk and Identity Solutions, Advisory

Services and Open Banking Solutions.

As a result, we are helping our clients and

partners optimize their performance,

differentiate their offerings, and create

better experiences for their customers.

For example, in Advisory Services alone,

we delivered more than 3,000 consulting

engagements during 2024, up nearly 50

percent from last year, and we estimate

that we helped clients realize over $5

billion in incremental revenue as a result.

We are integrating artificial intelligence

(Al) into our VAS offerings to help

merchants and financial institutions

prevent fraud and protect account holder

data. In Risk and Identity Solutions, we

launched Visa Protect for Account-to-

Account Payments, bringing AI-powered

risk decisioning to the growing space of

real-time account-to-account payments.

We also launched Visa Provisioning

Intelligence, utilizing machine learning to

predict the probability of fraud in token

provisioning requests, empowering

financial institutions to combat token

fraud at its source. We continue to

expand our portfolio of services.

We announced our intent to acquire

Featurespace, a developer of real-time

Al payments protection technology. It

will enable Visa to provide enhanced

fraud prevention tools to our clients and

protect consumers in real-time across

various payment methods.

The power of Visa's brand

At the most fundamental level, the power

of Visa's brand is its ability to create trust.

Visa enables individuals and businesses

who do not know one another and who

have no reason to trust one another, to

exchange value in milliseconds, around

the world. We are recognized as one of

the world's most valuable brands and one

of the most trusted.

Our brand continues to be a differentiator

in attracting client business and serving

as a driving force of preference for

clients to work with Visa. In fact, part

of the role the Visa brand plays in

creating commercial value is reinforcing

the shorthand in people's minds and

behaviors that Visa is the best way to pay

and be paid.

Creating a client-obsessed culture

Our people are our greatest asset. We

are proud to have an engaged, talented

and global workforce that embodies

our Visa Leadership Principles of

leading courageously, obsessing about

customers, collaborating as one Visa

and executing with excellence. We have

created an environment where our

employees can thrive and learn while

innovating for our clients. It's just one of

the reasons we continue to be recognized

as one of the best places to work.

Capturing the future opportunity

The benefits of digital payments are as

relevant today as they were over 60 years

ago. And while we've made meaningful

progress, there is immense opportunity

ahead of us to bring more people into the

digital economy and create innovative

payment solutions for all.

I want to extend my gratitude to our

shareholders for their continued

commitment and support. To our clients

and partners, thank you for trusting us

with your business. You are at the center

of everything we do, and we are focused

on your success.

And to the more than 31,000 Visa

employees, I deeply appreciate your

dedication, leadership and collaboration.

I am confident that we will continue to

deliver on our growth strategy while

leading the future of digital payments.

Thank you for a great 2024. We look

forward to 2025.

Ryan McInerney

Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The CEO celebrates strong 2024 financial results, highlights significant progress across key growth drivers, and expresses confidence in the ability to drive future growth and lead the digital payments industry.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Growth Strategy Execution (Consumer Payments, New Flows, Value-Added Services)
#2Innovation & Technology (AI, Biometrics, Tokenization)
#3Client-Centricity & Partnerships
#4Brand Power & Trust
#5Workforce & Culture
#6Financial Performance
17 named projects & initiatives
Visa Flexible Credential, Tap to Pay, Tap to Phone, Visa Payment Passkey, Visa Token Service, Visa Commercial Solutions +11 more
8 product, 5 service, 1 platform, 1 acquisition, 1 program, 1 other
Forward-looking statements
8 total: 2 quantified, 4 directional, 2 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth → M&A (Acquisition)
Key quotes
“Rooted in this history is our purpose — to uplift everyone, everywhere by being the best way to pay and be paid.”
Articulates the company's enduring mission and core value proposition.
“The integrity of the payments ecosystem is fundamental to our success.”
Highlights the critical importance of security and fraud prevention to Visa's operational success and trust.
View 2024 Annual Report (PDF) →
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Ryan McInerneyChief Executive Officer$31,560,660
Chris SuhChief Financial Officer$11,247,120
Paul FabaraChief Risk and Client Services Officer$9,715,087
Rajat TanejaPresident, Technology$22,668,896
Kelly Mahon TullierVice Chair, Chief People and Corporate Affairs Officer, and Corporate Secretary$14,552,968
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2025-12-08
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Requesting the Board of Directors to Adopt a Policy for an Independent Chair
AGAINST
Pending
Shareholder Right to Act by Written Consent
AGAINST
Pending
Report on Online Sexual Exploitation
AGAINST
Pending
Inclusion ROI Audit
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
6 debt instruments · 12 CUSIPs · 6 unique covenants
0.67x
Debt / Equity
42.3x
Interest coverage
0.4x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$11.6B
Net debt
25%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit U.S.$7,000,000,000
AMENDED AND RESTATED FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2028-05-31 · Filed 2023-07-26
Floating · SOFR | EURIBOR | SONIA | Fed Funds | Prime | €STR | Simple SONIA
unsecured
92827NAR8 92827NAS6 92827NAT4
Revolver
Amended and Restated Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures · Filed 2022-01-28
Floating · SONIA | €STR | Federal Funds Rate | Base Rate
Revolver U.S.$5,000,000,000
AMENDED AND RESTATED FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2024-07-25 · Filed 2019-11-14
Floating · LIBOR | EURIBOR | Federal Funds | Prime | Daily Floating One Month Rate
Unsecured. Section 6.11 'Liens' states that if any Borrower or Subsidiary creates, incurs, assumes or suffers to exist any Lien on its properties (with certain exceptions), the obligations under this Agreement and the Notes must be secured equally and ratably therewith, implying the facility is otherwise unsecured.
92827NAN7 92827NAP2 92827NAQ0
Revolver U.S.$4,000,000,000
FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT AMENDED AND RESTATED AS OF JANUARY 27, 2017
Matures 2022-01-27 · Filed 2017-04-21
Floating · Federal Funds Rate | Prime | LIBOR | EURIBOR
Unsecured. The agreement contains a negative pledge covenant (Section 6.12) stating that no Borrower will create liens unless the obligations under this Agreement are secured equally and ratably therewith.
92827NAK3 92827NAL1 92827NAM9
Revolver U.S.$4,000,000,000
FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2021-01-27 · Filed 2016-04-25
Floating · Federal Funds Rate | Bank of America's prime rate | Daily Floating One Month Rate | LIBOR Rate | EURIBOR Rate
Unsecured. The agreement includes a negative pledge covenant (Section 6.12) restricting the creation of liens on the borrower's properties unless the obligations under this agreement are secured equally and ratably.
92827NAG2 92827NAH0
Revolver U.S.$3,000,000,000
364-DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2016-01-27 · Filed 2015-04-30
Floating · LIBOR | EURIBOR | Fed Funds | Prime
unsecured
92827NAE7
Financial covenants
Limitation on Liens (Real Estate, Buildings or Equipment)
≤ U.S.$500,000,000 in the aggregate
Indebtedness secured by Liens on real estate, buildings or equipment
AMENDED AND RESTATED FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AG
Limitation on Other Liens
≤ the greater of (i) U.S.$1,500,000,000 or (ii) four percent (4%) of the total assets of Visa Inc. and its consolidated Subsidiaries
Obligations secured by other Liens
AMENDED AND RESTATED FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AG
Limitation on Liens (Real Estate, Buildings, Equipment)
≤ U.S.$500,000,000
Indebtedness secured by Liens on real estate, buildings or equipment
AMENDED AND RESTATED FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AG
Consolidated Indebtedness to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
≤ 3.75 to 1.0
Consolidated Indebtedness to Consolidated EBITDA
FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT AMENDED AND R
Maximum Consolidated Indebtedness to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
≤ 3.75 to 1.0
Consolidated Indebtedness to Consolidated EBITDA
FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Consolidated Indebtedness to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
≤ 3.75 to 1.0x
Consolidated Indebtedness to Consolidated EBITDA
364-DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
CUSIP identifiers (12 on file)
92827NAK3 92827NAM9 92827NAL1 92827NAH0 92827NAG2 92827NAE7 92827NAN7 92827NAP2 92827NAQ0 92827NAR8 92827NAS6 92827NAT4
Cross-default risk
5 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.1x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Complex and evolving global regulatory landscape, particularly regarding interch
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% Visa is a structurally elite business — 71% EBITDA margins, 17% revenue growth, and a $20B buyback —... $348.97 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% Visa is a high-quality compounder, but the near-term setup looks balanced rather than attractive for... $348.97 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% Visa's fundamentals remain solid — Q2 FY2026 net revenue grew 17% YoY with strong EPS beat and a new... $323.57 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% Visa is a world-class business trading at a 28.5x TTM P/E — stretched relative to the S&P 500 averag... $326.36 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 75% Visa is a genuinely exceptional business — Q2 FY2026 delivered 17% revenue growth and 20% EPS growth... $328.88 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% Visa trades at 28.4x TTM P/E — stretched relative to the S&P 500 average and hard to justify when re... $325.75 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 7.0/10 67% Visa remains a high-quality compounder with resilient earnings, strong margins, and a supportive mac... $318.79 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.8/10 50% Visa delivered a strong Q2 2026 beat (17% revenue growth, 20% EPS growth) and announced a $20B buyba... $328.03 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 7.2/10 100% Visa is trading roughly 19% below its 52-week high and ~23% below the analyst consensus price target... $304.36 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
V Visa Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2025-11-06)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
40,000 million USD 11 % YoY
? Operating income
23,994 million USD
? Net income
20,058 million USD
? Free cash flow
21,577 million USD
? Dividend per share
2.36 USD
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
46.73%
WACC
8.12%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 38.61%
? WACC
8.12%
? Cost of equity
8.40%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.21%
? Capital structure
E: 96.58% / D: 3.42%
? ROIC
46.73%
? EVA
$18.2B
? NOPAT
$22.1B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.