MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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TSLA
Tesla Inc.
Consumer Discretionary · NYSE: TSLA · MSJ-100
$396.18
▲ $1.42  (▲0.36%) today
After-hours: $395.80  ▼ 0.10%
Headquarters
Austin, TX
Employees
134,785
Founded
2003
CEO
Mr. Elon R. Musk
Incorporated
Texas
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $425.24
$396 now
Bear $125 Avg $425 Bull $600
Price history Free
Volume
23.37M
Avg volume
52.70M
Open
$399.10
Day high / low
$402.22 / $394.76
Market cap
$1.49T
About this company
Free
Tesla, Inc. is an automotive, energy, and artificial intelligence company. It designs and manufactures electric vehicles, such as the best-selling Model Y, and provides energy storage solutions.
The company is also transitioning to a physical AI company, developing advanced technologies like Full Self-Driving, Robotaxi services, and humanoid robots.
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 22, 2026Optimistic
● Full transcript on file
Elon Musk (Chief Executive Officer), Vaibhav Taneja (Chief Financial Officer), Martin Viecha (Vice President of Investor Relations)
Key metrics
Management highlighted that free cash flow for the quarter was just over $1.4 billion and reiterated that full‑year 2026 capital expenditures are now expected to be more than $25 billion.[1] They also noted that FSD adoption reached nearly 1.3 million paid customers globally, underscoring the scale of the software revenue base and the strategic imp
Forward guidance
Management reiterated that 2026 capital expenditures are expected to exceed $25 billion, reflecting continued heavy investment in AI infrastructure, Optimus, and the Robotaxi network.[1] They emphasized growing contributions from Tesla Energy and software (including FSD subscriptions) as key margin and earnings drivers over the next several years,
Notable Q&A
Analysts pressed management on timing and regulatory risk around the Robotaxi launch; Musk responded that he remains confident in launching the service on a meaningful scale within the next several years and argued that FSD Unsupervised will be safer than human drivers, though he acknowledged regula
Surprise items
The call underscored an unexpectedly high 2026 capex outlook of more than $25 billion, materially above many prior expectations, driven largely by accelerated AI infrastructure and Robotaxi investments.[1] Management also stressed the rapid scale‑up of FSD to roughly 1.3 million paying users worldwi
Q4 2025 (Jan 26, 2026) · Optimistic (Mar 01, 2023) ·
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$498.83 / $297.82
Forward P/E
152.8×
Trailing 356.9×
Dividend
Analysts covering
40
Avg target $425.24
Beta
1.80
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
2.4%
Float shorted
Buy
47%
Hold
40%
Sell
13%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
YoY
Operating margin
Net income
Free cash flow
Dividend / share
Total debt
Cash:
Earnings quality:
Non-recurring items: Forfeiture of the 2025 CEO Interim Award valued at approximately $26.1 billion in April 2026 due to resolution of the 2018 CEO Performance Award litigation., Delaware Supreme Court reversal of Court of Chancery's judgment regarding 2018 CEO Performance Award in December 2025., Payment of plaintiff's counsel fees of approximately $65 million related to 2018 CEO Performance Award litigation., Reduction of attorneys' fee award from $176 million to $71 million in Detroit Settlement Agreement concerning director compensation.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-04-30
Xavier sector view:
Consumer Discretionary
See journal
View Consumer Discretionary journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.2 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
TSLA is caught between a genuine Q2 delivery beat (480K vs. ~406K consensus, +25% YoY) and a robotaxi Miami expansion that have already been absorbed into the price following a 6%+ surge on July 6. With earnings on July 22, the stock is in a binary pre-earnings holding pattern: the delivery beat is fully public and the stock already sold off 8% on delivery day before recovering, a classic 'sell the news / buy the narrative' dynamic. A P/E of 370x on $1.10 TTM EPS with mid-single-digit margins and only 0.16% revenue growth leaves essentially zero margin for error ahead of earnings.
Strongest bull case
Robotaxi expansion (now in Miami, first driverless city without a safety monitor) and teased Giga Texas Cybercab scaling announcement represent incremental proof-of-concept for the AI/autonomy thesis that could sustain narrative-driven momentum into the July 22 earnings print.
Strongest bear case
The stock already demonstrated on July 2 that it will sell off even on a massive delivery beat (+18% vs. consensus) when the move is pre-priced; at 370x TTM P/E with EBIT margins near 5.9% and a New Jersey law potentially banning robotaxi operations, any margin disappointment or cautious capex guidance on July 22 could trigger a 10%+ reversal from current levels.
What the market may be missing
The July 2 'sell the news' episode on a massive delivery beat — followed by a 6% bounce on robotaxi/Miami narrative — reveals that TSLA's short-term price action is now almost entirely narrative-velocity-dependent, not fundamental. The market is underweighting the regulatory fragmentation risk: individual states (e.g., New Jersey) can unilaterally block robotaxi operations, which could quietly erode the TAM assumption baked into the AI multiple before Waymo's accelerating four-city expansion further pressures Tesla's first-mover premium.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_TSLA_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
TSLA
current
$396.18 ▲0.4%
TJX
NEUTRAL
$151.34
NKE
NEUTRAL
$44.37
HD
NEUTRAL
$343.30
AMZN
NEUTRAL
$245.34
Recent SEC filings
Signal
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-17
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-09
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-04
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Elon Musk
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
EM
Elon Musk
Technoking of Tesla and Chief Executive Officer · Tesla Inc.
CEO since 2008
Total compensation
$0
Prior year: $0
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
79%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
7/9 (78%)
Base salary$0
Bonus / incentive$0
Stock awards$0
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
TestimonyMay 12, 2026
Elon Musk Lawsuit Testimony - OpenAI Control Case Source ↗
Mr. Elon R. Musk (CEO) · Court proceedings
Elon Musk engaged in litigation regarding control of OpenAI. Co-founder Ilya Sutskever and Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella testified as witnesses. Sam Altman scheduled to testify later in the week with jury deliberations expected Thursday or Monday.
ConferenceMay 12, 2026
Trump Administration Summit - China Meeting Source ↗
Mr. Elon R. Musk (CEO) · Beijing, China
President Trump invited Elon Musk as a former DOGE head official to high-profile summit with China's president. Discussion focused on China's influence over Iran and pressuring Iran into a deal to end war.
ConferenceMay 12, 2026
Trump Cabinet and Executive Summit Source ↗
Mr. Elon R. Musk (CEO) · Washington D.C.
President Trump announced expanded role for Elon Musk within administration with unprecedented influence over federal policy and government reform. Musk's track record of innovation and efficiency cited as rationale for streamlining bureaucratic proc
ConferenceMay 12, 2026
Trump Executive Summit - Corporate Leaders Meeting Source ↗
Mr. Elon R. Musk (CEO) · Washington D.C.
President Trump invited major U.S. corporate executives including Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Apple CEO Tim Cook, and BlackRock CEO Larry Fink to high-level summit discussions.
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Robyn Denholm 2024 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

Letter to

Shareholders

Dear Fellow Shareholders,

Given your overwhelming support at last year’s shareholder

meeting, we have now aligned our corporate home with our

operational home in the State of Texas. It is clear to us that moving

to Texas was the right choice for Tesla and for all of you. Here,

we benefit from a corporate governance framework that enables

boards to listen to, and act in accordance with, the will of

shareholders, keeps them accountable to shareholders, and

facilitates the bold decision-making necessary to drive

extraordinary innovation. We have a platform for our big ideas

and even bigger ambitions to grow and evolve, culminating in a

revolutionary vision for humanity’s future and Tesla’s role in bringing

that future to life.

In our first year as a Texas corporation, Tesla delivered in a wide

range of areas. To name just a few: we delivered our 8 millionth

vehicle, deployed more than 37 GWh of energy storage from Q3

2024 through the end of Q2 2025 and launched our new Model Y

in four factories across three continents. At the same time, in June

of this year, we launched our first Robotaxis in the streets of

Austin, Texas, and, in July of this year, signed a landmark deal

with Samsung to facilitate future chip production nearby. In

addition, the Board has taken meaningful steps toward delivering

on our past compensation deal with Elon, which you, our

shareholders, have previously—and overwhelmingly—approved

twice, by granting him the 2025 CEO Interim Award. Now, we are

laying the foundation for our next decade of growth by rolling out

our ambitious vision and securing our leadership to deliver

against that vision.

Sustainable Abundance: A Singular Vision for Our Collective

Future

A few days ago, Elon unveiled an inspiring next chapter for Tesla

with Master Plan, Part IV, which is focused on creating a Sustainable

Abundance for all. While these ambitions are tailored for a new

age of transformational real-world technologies powered by AI, the

foundational ideals upon which they are built are the same ones

that gave rise to the first Master Plan that Elon unveiled almost

20 years ago. We are, and have always been, a company that thinks

bolder, acts faster and strives for a better future. Master Plan,

Part IV builds on that, by reimagining labor, mobility and energy

and bringing AI into the physical world through products and

services like FSD, Optimus and Robotaxi.

Growth that may seem impossible today can be unlocked with

new ideas, better technology and greater innovation. By

introducing innovative and affordable technologies at scale, Tesla

can help bring about a society that democratizes autonomous

goods and services. As a result, Sustainable Abundance represents

a long-term vision, putting us at a critical inflection point not just

as a company, but as a society.

We believe that Elon’s singular vision is vital to navigating this

critical inflection point. We also recognize the formidable nature

of this undertaking and as a result, the importance of having a

leader who is not only willing and capable but eager to meet

this challenge.

Simply put, retaining and incentivizing Elon is fundamental to

Tesla achieving these goals and becoming the most valuable

company in history. So, the Board appointed us to establish a

special committee of the Board, and thereafter we began a

rigorous, seven-month process that involved evaluating numerous

novel compensation structures designed to align extraordinary

long-term shareholder value with incentives that will drive peak

performance from our visionary leader. Now, we are building upon

the chassis of the wildly successful performance and shareholder

value Elon delivered under the innovative 2018 CEO Performance

Award program and have customized it for today’s Tesla to

create a better world for everyone, including you, our shareholders.

A Super Ambitious Incentive Package for a Pioneering,

Ambitious and Unique CEO

Last month, when we delivered the news about the Interim

Award, we told you that our work was ongoing. We have since

concluded a robust process and are ready to unveil a longer-term

CEO compensation strategy. Based on our recommendations as

the special committee, the Board, with Elon and Kimbal recusing

themselves, have unanimously recommended that you as

shareholders:

1.

Approve an amendment and restatement of Tesla’s 2019

Equity Incentive Plan that would:

a.

provide a special share pool to empower the Board

to fulfill our promises to Elon for what he is still owed

under the 2018 CEO Performance Award; and

b.

replenish the employee incentive pool by 60,000,000

shares, so that Tesla may continue to attract and retain

our amazing employees in this unprecedented time

of talent competition.

2.

Approve a new 2025 CEO Performance Award that

uniquely challenges Elon to guide Tesla through a new

phase of unprecedented growth by rewarding him—only

if he delivers (once again) extraordinary financial returns

for you, the shareholders, and remains at Tesla in a

leadership role for many years to come.

The 2025 CEO Performance Award: Learning from Our Past,

Building Towards a More Profitable Future for Tesla and a Better

Future for Us All

Tesla does not currently have a long-term CEO performance

award in place to retain and incentivize Elon to focus his energies

on Tesla and lead us through this pivotal moment in our history.

It’s time to change that.

We’re asking you to approve the 2025 CEO Performance Award.

In designing the new performance award, we explored numerous

alternatives. Ultimately, the new award aims to build upon the

success of the 2018 CEO Performance Award framework, which

ensured that Elon was only paid for performance delivered and

incentivized to guide Tesla through a period of meteoric growth.

The 2025 CEO Performance Award similarly challenges Elon to

again meet a series of even more aspirational goals, including

operational milestones focused on reaching Adjusted EBITDA

targets (thresholds that are up to 28 times higher than the 2018

CEO Performance Award’s top Adjusted EBITDA milestone) and

rolling out new or expanded product offerings (including 1 million

Robotaxis in commercial operation and delivery of 1 million AI

Bots), all while growing the company’s market capitalization by

trillions of dollars.

Yes, you read that correctly: in 2018, Elon had to grow Tesla by

billions; in 2025, he has to grow Tesla by trillions—to be exact, he

must create nearly $7.5 trillion in value for shareholders for him

to receive the full award.

In addition to these unprecedented performance milestones, the

2025 CEO Performance Award also includes innovative structural

features, born out of the special committee’s considered analysis,

and extensive shareholder feedback. These features include

supercharged retention (at least seven and a half years and up to

10 years to vest in the full award), structural protections to

minimize stock price volatility due to administration of this award

and, thereafter, incentives for Elon to participate in the Board’s

continued development of a framework for long-term CEO

succession. If Elon achieves all the performance milestones under

this principle-based 2025 CEO Performance Award, his leadership

will propel Tesla to become the most valuable company in history.

Vote for the Board of Directors Team and Governance Framework

Designed for Success and Protective of Shareholder Rights

This year has also seen Tesla achieve meaningful corporate

governance milestones, including the addition of a new

independent director and Audit Committee member, Jack

Hartung, whose wealth of complex public company expertise

strengthens and complements a Board positioned to handle the

challenges facing Tesla. Meanwhile, as we always have, we are

listening and responding to our shareholders and this year’s proxy

includes a host of governance updates, numerous shareholder

proposals as well as a management proposal to eliminate

supermajority voting requirements.

While we believe Elon is the only person capable of leading Tesla

at this critical inflection point, changing the world is neither an

overnight process nor the work of a single person. So, we also

want your help in securing the team and strategy needed to

achieve goals that others will perceive as impossible but that we

know are possible for Tesla. Accordingly, we have put forward a

slate of proposals intended to create the conditions Tesla needs

for its next phase of transformative growth, from director

reelections to proposals from our shareholders.

The directors up for reelection this year include three extremely

talented and experienced members of our Board: Ira Ehrenpreis,

Joe Gebbia and Kathleen Wilson-Thompson. These extraordinary

directors bring a wealth of experience, insights and visions to

the team.

• Ira has tirelessly served as a fortifying leader and mentor,

helping steer Tesla through previous phases of exceptional

growth and challenge while leading Tesla’s implementation

of a governance framework designed for success—

something we know he is best positioned to do in this next

phase of growth.

• Joe is a visionary tech founder himself, leading Airbnb—one

of the most successful tech companies—from startup to

public company, making it a household name with worldwide

operations.

• Kathleen has brought her decades of world-class public-

company executive experience, including as an HR

professional, to the forefront of our most challenging

governance matters over the past two years, serving on

both this year’s special committee and last year’s special

committee, making her a vital voice as we navigate new

challenges and opportunities.

This mix of skills is what makes our Board so adept at navigating

uncharted territory, and what we believe will be crucial to

overcoming these exciting but challenging opportunities.

But the real reason Tesla has been so successful is the fact that

our best team members are all of you. Tesla has the most engaged

shareholders of any public company. We are in Texas because it

provides a more predictable corporate governance framework that

allows us to hear from you as the people who know Tesla

best—those who have actual stakes in the future of Tesla.

On this basis, our proxy statement contains a number of

shareholder proposals. Our Board has included its views, and we

look forward to discussing them with you.

As the Special Committee of the Board, we appreciate your time

and scrutiny and understand that your decisions at this year’s

meeting are among the most important choices that we have ever

asked of you, our shareholders:

• Will you choose, again, to retain and incentivize Elon to

lead Tesla through our next chapter?

• Will you provide Elon with the right Tesla board members

to work alongside him, pursuing the worthy and world-

reshaping ambitions of Master Plan, Part IV?

• Will you support Tesla on a pathway to becoming the most

valuable company in history?

While these questions are simple, your answers will have a

profound impact on the future of Tesla and the world we live in.

Thank you for your continued support of Tesla.

Very truly yours,

Robyn Denholm & Kathleen Wilson-Thompson

Members of the Special Committee of the Board of Directors

Xavier analysis
The letter expresses strong confidence in Tesla's future vision, revolutionary technologies (AI, Robotics), and the company's ability to achieve unprecedented growth, while also firmly defending and advocating for Elon Musk's critical role and compensation as indispensable to this future.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Elon Musk's Leadership & Retention
#2Future Vision & Innovation (AI, Robotics, Sustainable Abundance)
#3Corporate Governance & Shareholder Alignment
#4Employee Talent Attraction & Retention
#5Legal & Compensation Framework Resolution
20 named projects & initiatives
Model Y, Robotaxis, Master Plan, Part IV, Sustainable Abundance, FSD (Full Self-Driving), Optimus +14 more
10 product, 4 strategic initiative, 4 other, 2 r and d
Forward-looking statements
18 total: 6 quantified, 8 directional, 2 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth (AI, Robotics, Product Lines) → Talent Acquisition & Retention (Equity Compensation) → Strategic Partnerships (e.g., Samsung for chips)
Key quotes
“It is clear to us that moving to Texas was the right choice for Tesla and for all of you.”
Highlights a major strategic move (redomestication) as beneficial and validated by shareholders.
“a revolutionary vision for humanity’s future and Tesla’s role in bringing that future to life.”
Articulates Tesla's broad, ambitious mission beyond just vehicles.
View 2024 Annual Report (PDF) →2 letters on file (2024, 2023) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Elon MuskTechnoking of Tesla and Chief Executive Officer$0
Vaibhav TanejaChief Financial Officer$139,472,935
Xiaotong (Tom) ZhuSenior Vice President, APAC and Global Vehicle Manufacturing$518,250
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2025-09-17
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Shareholder proposal regarding Board authorization of an investment in xAI
NONE
Pending
Shareholder proposal regarding adopting targets and reporting on metrics to asse
AGAINST
Pending
Shareholder proposal requesting a child labor audit
AGAINST
Pending
Shareholder proposal to amend the bylaws to repeal 3% derivative suit ownership
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
33 debt instruments · 117 unique covenants
0.09x
Debt / Equity
14.4x
Interest coverage
-0.9x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$-9.0B
Net debt
5%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
30.1x
24-06
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Revolver USD$5,000,000,000
Credit Agreement, dated as of January 20, 2023
Matures 2028-01-20 · Filed 2023-01-31
Floating · SOFR | EURIBOR | SONIA | Prime | Fed Funds
unsecured
Credit
Second Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement
Matures · Filed 2021-07-27
Secured, collateral includes Lease Documents and Warehouse SUBI Leases
Credit
Second Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement
Matures · Filed 2021-04-28
Secured (implied by 'Loan and Security Agreement', but collateral details not described in this amendment)
Credit $2,327,500,000
Amended and Restated ABL Credit Agreement
Matures 2023-07-01 · Filed 2021-02-08
Floating · LIBOR | Base Rate
Secured. Collateral includes all property (real or personal) with security interests granted under Security Documents, including Security Agreement Collateral, Mortgaged Properties, and cash/Cash Equivalents. Liens are 'First Priority' subject to certain Permitted Liens and First Priority Priming Liens.
Credit $1,100,000,000
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED LOAN AND SECURITY AGREEMENT (Warehouse SUBI Certificate)
Matures 2022-09-20 · Filed 2020-10-26
Floating · Eurodollar Rate | SOFR
Secured. The Borrower pledges a first priority security interest in all of its right, title and interest in the 'Collateral', which includes: the Warehouse SUBI Certificate and the interests in the Warehouse SUBI Assets (vehicle leases and leased vehicles), all Collections, the Warehouse SUBI Collection Account and Reserve Account, the Warehouse SUBI Sale Agreement, each Interest Rate Hedge and rights to payments thereunder, and all Borrower's rights and claims under the Warehouse SUBI Servicing Agreement, Warehouse SUBI Sale Agreement, Warehouse SUBI Supplement and other Transaction Documents, plus all proceeds and related books/records.
Credit $1,100,000,000 (TFL Facility Limit after reallocation)
Consent Letter to 2018 Loan Agreement and 2014 Loan Agreement
Matures 2020-08-28 · Filed 2020-10-26
Secured (implied by 'Loan and Security Agreement'), but collateral not described in this document.
27 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Minimum Consolidated Liquidity
≥ $1,000,000,000
Consolidated Liquidity
Credit Agreement, dated as of January 20, 2023
Excess Concentration Amount (Single Month Maturity Limit)
exceeds the Single Month Maturity Limit
aggregate Base Residual Value of all Warehouse SUBI Leases that are Eligible Leases scheduled to reach their Lease Maturity Date in any one (1) month
Second Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agre
Excess Concentration Amount (Six Month Maturity Limit)
exceeds the Six Month Maturity Limit
aggregate Base Residual Value of all Warehouse SUBI Leases that are Eligible Leases scheduled to reach their Lease Maturity Date in any 6 consecutive months
Second Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agre
Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio
not less than 1.00:1.00
(Consolidated EBITDA - Unfinanced Capital Expenditures - cash income taxes - cash Dividends) / Fixed Charges
Amended and Restated ABL Credit Agreement
Total Leverage Ratio
less than 6.00:1.00
Consolidated Total Indebtedness / Consolidated EBITDA
Amended and Restated ABL Credit Agreement
Convertible Notes Maturity Default (2021 Notes)
not in excess of the principal amount of 2021 Convertible Notes then outstanding plus $400,000,000
Unrestricted and Available cash and Cash Equivalents of the Company and its Subsidiaries and Excess Availability
Amended and Restated ABL Credit Agreement
Convertible Notes Maturity Default (2022 Notes)
not in excess of the principal amount of 2022 Convertible Notes then outstanding plus $400,000,000
Unrestricted and Available cash and Cash Equivalents of the Company and its Subsidiaries and Excess Availability
Amended and Restated ABL Credit Agreement
Maximum 48+ Month Lease Maturity Concentration
exceeds the 48+ Month Limit ([***])
Aggregate Securitization Value of Warehouse SUBI Leases with Lease Maturity Dates > 48 months from origination
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED LOAN AND SECURITY AGRE
109 additional covenants on file
Cross-default risk
8 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
Insufficient data
Risk trend
Risk stable — Ongoing legal challenges and uncertainties related to executive and director com
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Bullish
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% TSLA is caught between a genuine Q2 delivery beat (480K vs. ~406K consensus, +25% YoY) and a robotax... $407.76 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% TSLA screens as expensive on both trailing and forward earnings multiples while growth metrics are m... $407.76 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 BEARISH 7.0/10 75% Tesla is down ~6.6% on the day on a fresh product delay — the next-gen Roadster demo pushed to Augus... $391.00 Sched.
May 31, 2026 BEARISH 7.0/10 50% TSLA trades at a TTM P/E of ~400x and a forward P/E of ~174x on revenue growth of just 0.16% and ear... $435.79 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% TSLA trades at a TTM P/E of ~384x and a forward P/E of ~170x with revenue growth of just 0.16% and T... $426.01 Sched.
May 17, 2026 BEARISH 7.5/10 100% TSLA trades at a TTM P/E of ~384x and a forward P/E of ~168x against near-zero revenue growth (0.158... $422.24 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 75% TSLA has surged ~4% today to $428, now trading above the analyst consensus price target of ~$412, el... $428.35 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 100% TSLA is trading at a ludicrous 358x trailing P/E with revenue growth near zero (0.16%) and projected... $390.82 Sched.
Apr 24, 2026 BEARISH 7.7/10 100% Tesla's Q1 2026 EPS beat ($0.41 vs $0.37 est.) is largely illusory — the operating income improvemen... $373.72 Event
Apr 12, 2026 BEARISH 6.7/10 75% Tesla enters the April 22 earnings event deeply compromised: Q1 2026 deliveries of 358,023 units mis... $348.95 Sched.
Showing last 10 signals
TSLA Tesla Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-04-30)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$22.4B
? Operating income
$941M
? Net income
$477M
? Free cash flow
$1.4B
? EPS (diluted)
$0.13
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
4.16%
WACC
14.10%
🔴 VALUE DESTROYER — EVA Spread: -9.94%
? WACC
14.10%
? Cost of equity
14.16%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
1.61%
? Capital structure
E: 99.49% / D: 0.51%
? ROIC
4.16%
? EVA
-$7.5B
? NOPAT
$3.1B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.