MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Health Care · NYSE: TMO · MSJ-100
$534.07
▲ $5.56  (▲1.05%) today
After-hours: $536.50  ▲ 0.45%
Headquarters
Waltham, MA
Employees
125,000
Founded
1956
CEO
Mr. Marc N. Casper
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $590.77
$534 now
Bear $490 Avg $591 Bull $750
Price history Free
Volume
2.12M
Avg volume
2.32M
Open
$525.01
Day high / low
$537.82 / $523.35
Market cap
$198.5B
About this company
Free
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. is a global leader in serving science, providing innovative technologies, products, and pharmaceutical services. The company enables customers in pharmaceutical, biotech, healthcare, academic, and industrial sectors to make the world healthier, cleaner, and safer.
Its offerings include reagents, instruments, consumables, and outsourced services for research, diagnostics, and drug development.
Business segments
10-K
Life Sciences Solutions Analytical Instruments Specialty Diagnostics Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 24, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Marc N. Casper (Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer), Stephen Williamson (Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
For Q1 2026, Thermo Fisher reported revenue of approximately $11.0 billion, up about 6% year over year, with organic growth in the mid‑single‑digits.[4] Adjusted EPS was about $5.44, above consensus estimates of $5.25.[4] Management highlighted continued strong cash generation, stable gross margins, and ongoing share repurchases, along with a quart
Forward guidance
Management reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance for mid‑single‑digit to high‑single‑digit organic revenue growth, driven by strength in core bioproduction, analytical instruments, and pharma services. They guided to continued margin expansion for the year, supported by productivity initiatives and mix shift toward higher‑margin businesses, and confir
Notable Q&A
In one Q&A exchange, an analyst asked about sustainability of biopharma demand and whether recent strength could normalize later in the year; management responded that their exposure is diversified across end markets and geographies and that they expect biopharma demand to remain solid, supported by
Surprise items
The quarter featured a modest upside surprise on EPS relative to expectations, helped by better‑than‑expected operational efficiency and cost control.[4] Management’s decision to maintain full‑year guidance despite macro and China headwinds, and their emphasis on continued margin expansion, were int
Q4 2025 (Jan 23, 2026) · Cautious (May 20, 2025) ·
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$643.99 / $403.36
Forward P/E
19.6×
Trailing 29.1×
Dividend
$1.88 / share
Yield 0.36%
Analysts covering
26
Avg target $590.77
Beta
0.87
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.4%
Float shorted
Buy
75%
Hold
25%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$44,556 million
3.90% YoY
Operating margin
17.4%
Net income
$6,704 million
Free cash flow
$6,337 million
Dividend / share
$1.72
Total debt
$39,385 million
Cash: $9,852 million
CapEx guidance
$1.8 billion to $2.0 billion
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:42%
Cash conversion:1.2x
Non-recurring items: Restructuring and other costs, including severance, impairments of long-lived assets, and disposition of a consolidated joint venture ($362 million), Cost of revenues adjustments, including accelerated depreciation and inventory revaluation ($64 million), Selling, general and administrative expenses adjustments, including transaction/integration costs and changes in contingent acquisition consideration ($207 million), Pension plan settlement charges ($8 million)
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-26
Xavier sector view:
Health Care
See journal
View Health Care journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.6 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
TMO trades at ~26x TTM P/E and is down ~27% from its 52-week high, creating a valuation that is more reasonable on a forward basis (~17x) but still not compellingly cheap given persistent structural headwinds. Q1 2026 organic growth of just 1% (partly day-adjusted), ongoing 80bps margin drag from tariffs, and management's explicit 'not back to normal' framing for the academic/government segment push the recovery timeline to 2027+. Raised full-year guidance and the Clario acquisition provide a floor, but near-term catalysts are insufficient to drive a meaningful re-rating in a neutral macro backdrop.
Strongest bull case
Management raised FY2026 guidance post-Q1 to $24.64-$25.12 adjusted EPS (8-10% growth), the forward P/E of ~17x is well below the 52-week-high valuation, the $9B Clario acquisition adds a recurring digital endpoint revenue stream, and $3B in Q1 share buybacks signals management conviction — all creating a credible medium-term earnings recovery story.
Strongest bear case
Organic revenue growth of only 1% in Q1 2026 — with the academic and government end market explicitly described as 'not back to normal' and recovery pushed to 2027 — combined with 80bps of margin headwind from tariffs and $43B in total debt (gross leverage ~3.8x EBITDA) post-Clario, creates a high bar for any near-term upside surprise in the next 5 trading days with no imminent catalyst.
What the market may be missing
The market may be underweighting the risk that NIH/government funding cuts become a multi-year secular drag rather than a cyclical trough — if academic and government demand does not normalize in H2 2026 as the consensus hopes, the entire bull recovery thesis collapses and the 24 analyst buy ratings become a source of forced downgrade pressure rather than a support.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BULLISH
msj100_TMO_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
TMO
current
$534.07 ▲1.1%
PFE
NEUTRAL
$24.17
ISRG
NEUTRAL
$406.78
ABBV
NEUTRAL
$248.08
JNJ
NEUTRAL
$256.98
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Marc N. Casper
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
MN
Marc N. Casper
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
CEO since 2009
Total compensation
$79,923,350 ▲ 162.5% YoY
Prior year: $30,449,599
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
36%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
10/11 (91%)
Base salary$1,800,000
Bonus / incentive$3,742,123
Stock awards$65,730,211
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for TMO
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Marc N. CasperChairman, President and Chief Executive Officer$79,923,350
Stephen WilliamsonSenior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer$6,781,012
Michel LagardeExecutive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer$8,907,174
Gianluca PettitiExecutive Vice President$8,080,467
Frederick LoweryExecutive Vice President$6,575,821
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-07
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of directors
FOR
Pending
Approval of an advisory vote on executive compensation
FOR
Pending
Ratification of the selection of the independent auditors
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
15 debt instruments · 10 unique covenants
0.83x
Debt / Equity
5.4x
Interest coverage
4.4x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$39.7B
Net debt
38%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit $5,000,000,000.00
Extension No. 1 to Credit Agreement
Matures 2028-01-07 · Filed 2026-05-01
Floating · SOFR
Bond $1,000,000,000 (2026 Notes), $1,000,000,000 (2029 Notes), $500,000,000 (2034 Notes)
Twenty-Eighth Supplemental Indenture for 5.000% Senior Notes due 2026, 5.000% Senior Notes due 2029,
Matures · Filed 2023-12-05
Fixed
unsecured
Bond $2,950,000,000
4.953% Senior Notes due 2026, 4.977% Senior Notes due 2030, 5.086% Senior Notes due 2033, and 5.404%
Matures · Filed 2023-08-10
Fixed
unsecured
Bond €500,000,000 (3.200% Senior Notes due 2026) and €750,000,000 (3.650% Senior Notes due 2034)
Twenty-Fifth Supplemental Indenture for 3.200% Senior Notes due 2026 and 3.650% Senior Notes due 203
Matures 2034-11-21 · Filed 2022-11-21
Fixed
unsecured
Bond $1,200,000,000 aggregate principal amount (comprising $600,000,000 of 2027 Notes and $600,000,000 of 2032 Notes)
Twenty-Sixth Supplemental Indenture for 4.800% Senior Notes due 2027 and 4.950% Senior Notes due 203
Matures 2032-11-21 · Filed 2022-11-21
Fixed
unsecured
Revolver $5,000,000,000
CREDIT AGREEMENT Dated as of January 7, 2022
Matures 2027-01-07 · Filed 2022-01-07
Floating · SOFR | EURIBOR | CDOR | BBSY | TIBOR | Federal Funds | Prime
Unsecured. Cash Collateral may be required for L/C Obligations or obligations of Lenders to fund participations under specific circumstances (e.g., Defaulting Lender, exceeding limits), with a first priority security interest granted to the Administrative Agent over such cash collateral.
9 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Change of Control Offer
101% of aggregate principal amount repurchased
Change of Control Triggering Event
Twenty-Sixth Supplemental Indenture for 4.800% Sen
Consolidated Net Interest Coverage Ratio
ratio of (a) Consolidated EBITDA for the period of the four fiscal quarters most recently ended, to (b) Consolidated Net Interest Expense as of such date
CREDIT AGREEMENT Dated as of January 7, 2022
Consolidated Net Interest Coverage Ratio
< 3.5 to 1.0
Consolidated EBITDA to Consolidated Net Interest Expense
CREDIT AGREEMENT
Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio
Not explicitly stated in the provided text, but the ratio is defined.
Indebtedness of the Company and its Subsidiaries outstanding minus unrestricted cash and cash equivalents to Consolidated EBITDA
Credit Agreement, dated as of July 1, 2016 (as ame
Consolidated Interest Coverage Ratio
Not explicitly stated in the provided text, but the ratio is defined.
Consolidated EBITDA for the period of the four fiscal quarters most recently ended to Consolidated Interest Expense
Credit Agreement, dated as of July 1, 2016 (as ame
Maximum Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio
≤ 5.0 to 1.0 (initially)
Indebtedness of the Company and its Subsidiaries outstanding minus unrestricted cash and cash equivalents to Consolidated EBITDA
First Amendment to Bridge Credit Agreement
Minimum Consolidated Interest Coverage Ratio
≥ 3.0 to 1.0
Consolidated EBITDA to Consolidated Interest Expense
First Amendment to Bridge Credit Agreement
Consolidated Net Leverage Ratio
≤ 5.0 to 1.0 for the first two full consecutive fiscal quarters ended on or after the Closing Date, stepping down to 4.0 to 1.0 for the two immediately following fiscal quarters, and then stepping down to 3.5 to 1.0 for each fiscal quarter ended thereafter.
Indebtedness of the Company and its Subsidiaries outstanding minus unrestricted cash and cash equivalents to Consolidated EBITDA for the period of the four fiscal quarters most recently ended
TERM LOAN CREDIT AGREEMENT
2 additional covenants on file
Cross-default risk
13 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.2x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — The company's growth is impacted by market declines, cyclicality, and general ec
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 75% TMO trades at ~26x TTM P/E and is down ~27% from its 52-week high, creating a valuation that is more... $472.80 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% TMO trades at ~27x TTM P/E with only 1% organic revenue growth in Q1 2026 — a structural mismatch th... $492.51 Sched.
May 24, 2026 BULLISH 6.3/10 50% TMO is trading at a meaningful cyclical discount (~30% below its 52-week high) despite posting stron... $448.28 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 75% TMO trades at 24x TTM P/E and a compelling 16x forward P/E, sitting 32% below its 52-week high and p... $438.34 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 100% TMO has supportive macro tailwinds and trades well below analyst targets, but the near-term setup is... $465.00 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% TMO has just reported Q1 2026 results with a guidance raise (revenue $47.3B–$48.1B, adj. EPS $24.64–... $469.21 Sched.
Apr 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 75% TMO's Q1 2026 earnings beat on both revenue ($11.01B vs. $10.84B est.) and adjusted EPS ($5.44 vs. $... $466.70 Event
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.2/10 50% TMO trades at roughly 23% below its 52-week high and 25% below the analyst consensus price target of... $496.11 Sched.
Showing last 8 signals
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-26)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$44,556 million 3.90% YoY
? Operating income
$7,746 million
? Net income
$6,704 million
? Free cash flow
$6,337 million
? EPS (diluted)
$4.43
? Dividend per share
$1.72
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
8.20%
WACC
7.47%
🟡 NEUTRAL — EVA Spread: 0.73%
? WACC
7.47%
? Cost of equity
9.02%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.29%
? Capital structure
E: 82.21% / D: 17.79%
? ROIC
8.20%
? EVA
$671M
? NOPAT
$7.5B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.