MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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TJX
The TJX Companies Inc.
Consumer Discretionary · NYSE: TJX · MSJ-100
$150.34
▼ $0.19  (▼0.13%) today
After-hours: $150.74  ▲ 0.27%
Headquarters
Framingham, MA
Employees
377,000
Founded
1956
CEO
Mr. Ernie L. Herrman
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
January
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $177.63
$150 now
Bear $125 Avg $178 Bull $197
Price history Free
Volume
4.99M
Avg volume
5.75M
Open
$150.25
Day high / low
$151.17 / $148.88
Market cap
$166.1B
About this company
Free
The TJX Companies is a leading global off-price retailer of apparel and home fashions, operating over 5,200 stores and e-commerce sites. The company offers a rapidly changing assortment of brand name and designer merchandise at significant discounts, utilizing opportunistic buying and a flexible business model.
Business segments
10-K
Marmaxx HomeGoods TJX Canada TJX International
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q1 FY2027 FY2027
Intel
Free
May 20, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Ernie Herrman (Chief Executive Officer and President), John Klinger (Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
Q1 FY2027 overall comp sales increased **6%**, with each division delivering strong comp growth and higher customer transactions.[1] Net sales were approximately **$14.32 billion**, up **9.2%** year over year and ahead of market expectations.[3][4] Diluted EPS was **$1.19**, up **29%** versus the prior year and well above plan and consensus estimat
Forward guidance
Management guided for Q2 FY2027 overall comp sales to increase **2%-3%**, consolidated sales in the range of **$15.0-$15.1 billion** (up **4%-5%**), and pre-tax profit margin of **11.4%-11.5%**, flat to up 10 bps versus last year.[1] For the full FY2027 year, they now expect overall comp sales growth of **3%-4%**, consolidated sales of **$63.2-$63.
Notable Q&A
In one notable Q&A exchange, analysts focused on the sustainability of the strong **6% comp sales** and traffic trends; management emphasized broad-based strength across divisions and reiterated confidence that the off-price model and disciplined buying would support continued positive comps, while
Surprise items
The company delivered Q1 sales, profitability, and EPS all **well above expectations**, with EPS of **$1.19** up **29%** year on year and meaningfully ahead of consensus, which was a positive surprise.[1][2][4] On the back of this beat, TJX **raised full-year FY2027 sales and profitability guidance*
Q2 2026 (May 12, 2026) · Confident Q1 2026 (Feb 25, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$170.00 / $119.84
Forward P/E
26.1×
Trailing 29.3×
Dividend
$1.92 / share
Yield 1.28%
Analysts covering
19
Avg target $177.63
Beta
0.62
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.5%
Float shorted
Buy
90%
Hold
5%
Sell
5%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$60,372 million USD
7% YoY
Operating margin
11.9%
Net income
$5,494 million USD
Free cash flow
$4,917 million USD
Dividend / share
$1.70
Total debt
$2,878 million USD
Cash: $6,230 million USD
CapEx guidance
Approximately $2.2 billion to $2.3 billion for fiscal 2027.
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:1.3x
Non-recurring items: Net gain of $419 million from settlement of credit card interchange fees litigation, net of legal expenses., Non-recurring settlement-related expenses of $116 million for incentive compensation., Non-recurring settlement-related expenses of $82 million for discretionary bonus for eligible non-bonus plan Associates.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-03-31
Xavier sector view:
Consumer Discretionary
See journal
View Consumer Discretionary journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.1 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
TJX is a fundamentally excellent business — Q1 FY27 delivered 6% comps, 29% EPS growth, and raised full-year guidance — but at ~29.4x TTM P/E and ~11.3% below its 52-week high, the stock already prices in execution near perfection with a consensus analyst target of $177.63 implying ~17% upside that is well-known and fully reflected in 19 buy ratings. The muted post-Q1 earnings stock reaction (stock is still ~$19 below its 52-week high despite a beat-and-raise) signals the market is aware of the valuation ceiling; forward comp sales guidance decelerating to 3-4% from 5% in FY26 means the growth narrative is softening. Over 5 trading days with no near-term catalyst — next earnings not until August 19, 2026 — and neutral macro backdrop, there is no identifiable edge in either direction.
Strongest bull case
TJX's off-price model is a structural winner in a tariff-and-inflation environment: Q1 FY27 EPS of $1.19 came in 29% above the prior year, full-year FY27 EPS guidance was raised to $5.08-$5.15, and management described merchandise availability as 'off the charts,' giving the company exceptional inventory sourcing leverage heading into Q2.
Strongest bear case
Forward comp sales guidance was deliberately guided down to 3-4% for FY27 vs. 5% in FY26, and minimum wage pressures across multiple jurisdictions are compressing SG&A — the stock's muted reaction post a strong Q1 beat-and-raise suggests the market already understands TJX is transitioning to a lower-growth, higher-cost phase, limiting near-term re-rating potential at ~29x earnings with no upcoming catalyst for 5+ weeks.
What the market may be missing
The market may be underweighting the EPS quality differential: TJX's Q1 FY27 EPS beat was partly driven by a 29% YoY surge that reflects easy comparisons (Q1 FY26 EPS was depressed by tariff headwinds the company explicitly called out). When normalized for the base effect, underlying EPS growth is closer to high single digits — more in line with what a ~26x forward multiple should deliver, leaving limited surprise potential in the next reporting window.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_TJX_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
TJX
current
$150.34 ▼0.1%
NKE
NEUTRAL
$44.37
HD
NEUTRAL
$343.30
TSLA
NEUTRAL
$407.76
AMZN
NEUTRAL
$245.34
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-06-12
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
8-K — 2026-06-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Ernie Herrman
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
EH
Ernie Herrman
Chief Executive Officer and President · The TJX Companies Inc.
CEO since 2016
Total compensation
$26,603,537 ▲ 13.3% YoY
Prior year: $23,482,528
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
94%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
8/10 (80%)
Base salary$1,700,000
Bonus / incentive$8,386,100
Stock awards$14,300,173
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for TJX
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Ernie HerrmanChief Executive Officer and President$26,603,537
John KlingerSEVP, Chief Financial Officer$6,962,372
Carol MeyrowitzExecutive Chairman$13,371,631
Douglas MizziSEVP, Group President$8,068,565
Kenneth CanestrariSEVP, Group President$8,147,168
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-30
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of 10 directors named in this proxy statement
FOR
Pending
Ratification of appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers as TJX’s independent regis
FOR
Pending
Advisory approval of TJX’s executive compensation (say-on-pay)
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
13 debt instruments · 4 CUSIPs · 11 unique covenants
0.28x
Debt / Equity
-0.4x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$-3.4B
Net debt
8%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Revolver $750,000,000
2030 Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures 2030-05-09 · Filed 2025-05-09
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
88873CAS1 88873CAT9
Credit $750,000,000
2029 Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures 2029-05-09 · Filed 2025-05-09
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
88873CAL6 88873CAM4
Credit $1,000,000,000
2026 Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures 2026-06-25 · Filed 2023-05-26
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
88873CAS1 88873CAT9
Revolver $500,000,000
2028 AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2028-05-08 · Filed 2023-05-26
Floating · SOFR
88873CAL6 88873CAM4
Revolver $1,000,000,000
2026 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2026-06-25 · Filed 2021-06-29
Floating · LIBOR | SOFR
unsecured
88873CAS1 88873CAT9
Revolver
364 Day Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures 2021-08-09 · Filed 2021-03-31
7 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 4.50 to 1.00 for Test Period ending July 31, 2021; ≤ 4.00 to 1.00 for Test Period ending October 30, 2021; ≤ 3.50 to 1.00 for Test Period ending January 29, 2022 and thereafter
Leverage Ratio (Funded Debt to EBITDAR)
2030 Revolving Credit Agreement
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.50 to 1.00
Leverage Ratio (Funded Debt to EBITDAR)
2029 Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreeme
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.50x
Leverage Ratio (Funded Debt to EBITDAR)
2026 Revolving Credit Agreement
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 4.50x (for Test Period ending July 31, 2021), ≤ 4.00x (for Test Period ending October 30, 2021), ≤ 3.50x (for Test Period ending January 29, 2022 and thereafter)
Leverage Ratio (Funded Debt / EBITDAR)
2026 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 5.00x (as of May 1, 2021) | ≤ 4.50x (as of July 31, 2021)
Leverage Ratio (Funded Debt to EBITDAR)
364 DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Minimum EBITDAR
≥ $650,000,000
EBITDAR
364 DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Minimum Liquidity
≥ $1,500,000,000
Liquidity
364 DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.25 to 1.00 (as of Feb 1, 2020); ≤ 5.00 to 1.00 (for Test Period ending May 1, 2021); ≤ 4.50 to 1.00 (for Test Period ending July 31, 2021); ≤ 4.00 to 1.00 (for Test Period ending October 30, 2021); ≤ 3.50 to 1.00 (for each Test Period ending thereafter)
Leverage Ratio (Funded Debt / EBITDAR)
2024 Revolving Credit Agreement
3 additional covenants on file
CUSIP identifiers (4 on file)
88873CAL6 88873CAS1 88873CAT9 88873CAN2
Cross-default risk
8 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Moderate leverage — no covenants on file
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.3x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Failure to execute the opportunistic buying strategy and successfully manage inv
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Insufficient data
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% TJX is a fundamentally excellent business — Q1 FY27 delivered 6% comps, 29% EPS growth, and raised f... $151.34 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% TJX is a high-quality defensive retailer, but at roughly 29x trailing earnings and 26x forward earni... $151.34 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% TJX delivered a genuinely strong Q1 FY27 beat — 6% comp sales growth, 29% EPS growth, and raised ful... $160.71 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% TJX delivered a blowout Q1 FY27 on May 20 — 6% comp sales growth, EPS of $1.19 (+29% YoY), and a rai... $154.75 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% TJX just delivered a blowout Q1 FY27 (EPS $1.19 vs. $1.00 est., +29% YoY; comps +6%), raised full-ye... $158.27 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% TJX faces a binary event within the 5-day window — Q1 FY27 earnings on May 20 — creating a classic p... $147.43 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% TJX is a best-in-class operator with a demonstrably resilient off-price model that has consistently ... $153.36 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% TJX is a high-quality off-price retailer with a demonstrably resilient business model — FY26 annual ... $156.83 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.7/10 50% TJX is printing at its 52-week high with a -2.06% pullback that likely reflects broad market tariff ... $161.60 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
TJX The TJX Companies Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-03-31)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$60,372 million USD 7% YoY
? Operating income
$7,178 million USD
? Net income
$5,494 million USD
? Free cash flow
$4,917 million USD
? EPS (diluted)
$1.19
? Dividend per share
$1.70
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
77.21%
WACC
7.62%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 69.59%
? WACC
7.62%
? Cost of equity
7.68%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
4.26%
? Capital structure
E: 98.30% / D: 1.70%
? ROIC
77.21%
? EVA
$5.4B
? NOPAT
$5.9B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.