MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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T
AT&T Inc.
Communication Services · NYSE: T · MSJ-100
$21.28
▼ $0.27  (▼1.25%) today
After-hours: $21.30  ▲ 0.12%
Headquarters
Dallas, TX
Employees
132,590
Founded
1885
CEO
Mr. John T. Stankey
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $29.28
$21 now
Bear $18 Avg $29 Bull $36
Price history Free
Volume
53.56M
Avg volume
51.48M
Open
$21.42
Day high / low
$21.55 / $21.25
Market cap
$147.9B
About this company
Free
AT&T Inc. is a global telecommunications and technology services provider. The company offers wireless and wireline telecom, broadband, and related equipment services to consumers and businesses in the United States and wireless services in Mexico, focusing on 5G and fiber connectivity.
Business segments
10-K
Communications Latin America
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 22, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
John Stankey (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Pascal Desroches (Chief Financial Officer), Jeff McElfresh (Chief Operating Officer)
Key metrics
Adjusted EBITDA growth targeted at 3%-4%; free cash flow of $2.5 billion; the earnings page headline also showed $11.97 billion in revenues on the AT&T investor relations site.[1][3]
Forward guidance
Management reiterated consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth in the 3%-4% range and said free cash flow was $2.5 billion for the quarter, supporting the company’s outlook trajectory.[1] The call materials also indicated the company was on track with its latest quarterly results and guidance framework on the investor relations page.[3]
Notable Q&A
The provided search results do not include the full Q&A text, so I cannot reliably identify analyst names or exact exchanges from the question-and-answer session.[1][3]
Surprise items
Free cash flow of $2.5 billion and the reiterated EBITDA growth target were the main stock-relevant takeaways in the available search snippets.[1]
Q4 2025 (Jan 22, 2026) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$29.79 / $19.89
Forward P/E
8.3×
Trailing 7.3×
Dividend
$1.11 / share
Yield 5.15%
Analysts covering
23
Avg target $29.28
Beta
0.42
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.8%
Float shorted
Buy
58%
Hold
38%
Sell
4%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$125,648 million
2.71% YoY
Operating margin
19.2%
Net income
$23,386 million
Free cash flow
$19,442 million
Dividend / share
$1.11
Total debt
$136,100 million
Cash: $18,234 million
CapEx guidance
$23,000 to $24,000 million
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:81%
Cash conversion:1.7x
Non-recurring items: Asset impairments and abandonments and restructuring of $838 million, Gain of approximately $5,600 million on the sale of DIRECTV
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-09
Xavier sector view:
Communication Services
See journal
View Communication Services journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 5.2 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
AT&T trades at a deeply discounted 7x TTM P/E with genuine operational momentum — record fiber net adds, 12% adjusted EPS growth in Q1 2026, and a 5.3% dividend yield — yet the stock sits ~29% below its 52-week high and has declined ~17% YTD, reflecting structural headwinds that are real, not just noise. The bear case is defined by $138B in total debt (net leverage rising to ~3.2x post-EchoStar), a CFO retirement mid-cycle, SpaceX/Starlink competitive overhang generating analyst downgrades (Wells Fargo Underweight at $18, Barclays cut to $24), and an earnings event on July 22 — outside the 5-day window — that creates pre-earnings positioning uncertainty rather than a clean catalyst. The valuation is cheap but the market is explicitly pricing in structural disruption risk and capital allocation strain, and with macro neutral, there is insufficient edge to go directionally bullish on a 5-day horizon.
Strongest bull case
AT&T's Q1 2026 best-ever fiber net adds (584K), record operating margin expansion to 21.1%, reiterated $16B+ FCF guidance, and a sub-8x forward P/E with a 5.3% yield create a compelling value floor — the Starlink threat may be overstated on a near-term subscriber-loss basis.
Strongest bear case
Wells Fargo's recent Underweight initiation at $18 (implying ~15% downside), Barclays price target cut to $24, a CFO retirement announcement, and net leverage spiking to 2.71x (expected to reach 3.2x post-EchoStar) are driving institutional selling pressure that is unlikely to reverse in 5 trading days without a major positive catalyst — and earnings are 10 days out, creating a 'wait and see' air pocket.
What the market may be missing
The market is conflating the long-term Starlink threat with near-term fundamentals — MoffettNathanson's Craig Moffett has been publicly skeptical of Starlink as a wireless competitor, and AT&T's convergence rate (42% of fiber customers also on AT&T wireless) is quietly building a switching-cost moat that traditional telecom bull/bear frameworks underweight. The Lumen fiber acquisition adding 4M+ locations could accelerate the convergence flywheel faster than consensus models assume.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_T_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
T
current
$21.28 ▼1.2%
TTD
NEUTRAL
$19.53
VZ
NEUTRAL
$42.12
CMCSA
NEUTRAL
$23.57
TMUS
BULLISH
$187.61
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — John T. Stankey
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
JT
John T. Stankey
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer · AT&T Inc.
CEO since 2020-07
Total compensation
$29,906,872 ▲ 13.2% YoY
Prior year: $26,410,845
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
91%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
9/10 (90%)
Diversity: 60% (4 women)
Base salary$2,400,000
Bonus / incentive$0
Stock awards$19,500,012
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
ConferenceMay 19, 2026
2026 J.P. Morgan Global Technology, Media and Communications Conference Fireside Chat Source ↗
Mr. John T. Stankey (CEO) · J.P. Morgan
AT&T announced a live webcast of John Stankey's fireside chat, reiterating all 2026 and multi-year financial and operational guidance as well as capital return plans from the first-quarter 2026 results. The event emphasizes continuity in strategic ou
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
John Stankey 2025 Annual Report CONFIDENT

Our investments in Fiber and 5G – both organically and through acquisitions – have positioned us to accelerate and scale the execution of our converged strategy in 2025.

• With Fiber, we'll do this in our traditional operating region, in acquired geographies from Lumen and with Gigapower. By the end of 2026, we expect to reach over 30 million Fiber customer locations, up from 25 million locations at the end of 2025. This puts us well ahead of the competition, and on target to reach more than 30 million total Fiber locations by the end of 2027.

• And, with a base of more than 100 million total Fiber subscribers growing at a pace of over 2 million customers per year, we still have plenty of runway to grow this durable franchise.

• We’re also progressing on our vision to deliver always-on connectivity. In 2026, we plan to offer select AT&T customers, and public safety on FirstNet, beta satellite service through our work with AST SpaceMobile.

Putting Customers First

In 2025, we set a new precedent by launching the AT&T Guarantee, the first and only guarantee that covers both wireless and Fiber networks.

With the industry’s best assets, we’re offering more customers what they want – the ability to purchase all their connectivity from one trusted provider.

• Our converged customers remain our most valuable. They display lower churn and a propensity to take higher Internet speeds, attach more wireless lines and stay with us longer.

• Growing our converged subscriber base helps us drive higher service revenue growth and deliver our long-term financial guidance.

• As we’ve expanded our converged opportunity and the AT&T Guarantee, our brand affinity has strengthened. Brand love for AT&T has improved across every customer segment and every product. Additionally, AT&T had the highest Net Promoter Score amongst converged customers.

Our converged strategy is a winning play, and these results give us confidence we are on the right track. Today, we’re able to reach over 50 million customer locations with advanced Internet services – through Fiber or 5G. This will only increase over the next several years. Through the execution of our converged strategy, we expect to materially improve share in home Internet and wireless.

Focusing on Execution. Efficient Operations.

As good stewards of your capital, we’re always looking to reduce costs – allowing us to invest in future growth.

• In 2025, we achieved over $6 billion of cost savings. We plan to achieve an additional $2 billion in annual cost savings by the end of 2027 as we leverage AI, move more customer transactions to digital experiences, and achieve greater operating leverage from a growing customer base.

• Smart policies from FCC Chair Brendan Carr and his team have enabled us to accelerate our copper-based legacy network shutdown. In 2025, we fully powered down our first wire center. We have approval to discontinue copper-based services in more than 75% of our wireline centers by the end of 2026, and we’re on track to shut down a large majority of our copper-based services by the end of 2027.

We returned over $12B to our shareholders through dividends and buybacks. This was more than a 50% increase from 2024.

As we transition to future-focused technologies, we’re lowering operating costs and giving more customers advanced connectivity on a more efficient Fiber and 5G network. The collective benefits of these cost-savings efforts are also showing up in our results, including improving consolidated adjusted EBITDA margins.

Winning Capital Allocation. Strategic Outlook

In 2025, we delivered on all the capital allocation commitments we set at the beginning of 2025!

• With full-year capital investment of $24 billion, we continued our industry-leading Fiber expansion efforts and worked to provide even better, more reliable wireless coverage.

• A strong balance sheet remained a key focus with AT&T reaching the target range of 2.5x net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA in the first half of 2025!

• We also expanded capital returns by implementing a share repurchase program. We returned over $12 billion to our shareholders through dividends and buybacks. This was more than a 50% increase from 2024.

Over the past five years, we’ve significantly evolved how we talk about our company, and in the first quarter of 2026, we plan to adopt a new segment reporting structure with three financial reporting segments: Advanced Connectivity, Legacy and Latin America. We believe this change reflects the company we have become and where our industry is headed.

The goal of this new structure is to show you, our shareholders, greater transparency into the returns we are generating on our growth investments in Fiber and 5G, and how we’re advancing with our legacy shutdown.

Overall, we remain on track to deliver ambitious multi-year growth targets and financial commitments. We believe we’re positioned to drive improved growth now and well into the future.

• From 2026-2027, we expect leading investments in 5G and Fiber to deliver strong returns and drive accelerated growth in adjusted EBITDA, double-digit adjusted EPS growth, and strong free cash flow.

• Our three-year outlook also includes plans for greater shareholder returns. From 2026-2027, we anticipate $15 billion-plus in shareholder returns thanks to an attractive dividend and share repurchases.

• We’re confident that we’ll lead our industry in advanced connectivity service revenue and adjusted EBITDA by the end of the decade.

Bringing Internet to More People

As we enter the next era of connectivity, we remain focused on playing our part in ensuring every American has access to reliable, high-speed Internet. We’re proud to offer vital communications services that communities and first responders – through FirstNet – rely on across the United States.

AT&T is dedicated to doing its part to help close the digital divide. We committed a total of $2 billion to help more people get and stay connected from 2020-2024. Overall, progress is being made. The latest data shows that fewer than 4 million U.S. households remain without Internet access. This achievement is due to private sector investment and smart public policy coming together to connect more communities and reduce the rolls of the unconnected by over 50% in four years.

Our three-year outlook: $45B anticipated in shareholder returns – through dividends and share repurchases – from 2025-2027.

It’s clear that leaders across all levels of government recognize the critical role advanced networks play in driving economic growth. Through initiatives like the Federal Government’s BEAD program and pro-investment policies included in the One Big Beautiful Bill, we’re closer than ever to closing the digital divide.

Ultimately, our goal is to make Internet access not only more easily available, but affordable to everyone. To do this, it’s critical that we fix the funding mechanism for the pre-Internet era Universal Service Fund to align with how people connect today. This is the next great play for Congressional policy makers to create a digital future that benefits everyone.

We Are The Best. Thanks To You.

With the best network and telecommunications assets in America, we’re more than ready to lead our industry forward as demand for AI and autonomous technologies grows on top of today’s robust data and voice workloads. Our progress and performance in 2025 only further reinforces this belief.

To Our Customers.

We’ll continue to put you first, always. The AT&T Guarantee is our promise to you. We’d like to thank you for trusting in AT&T as the one provider for all your important connectivity needs.

To Our Current and Past Employees.

We owe the tremendous opportunity ahead of us to you. Providing good jobs and benefits for Americans remains critically important to us. We’re proud to employ the largest unionized workforce in telecom. Our contributions to further fund our pension plans in 2025 only reinforces our commitment to you. Thank you for keeping our country connected.

To Our Shareholders.

We remain committed to the growth objectives we’ve laid out. We fully believe that our assets enable us to lead our industry and accelerate growth in our company. We expect to deliver healthy returns to you while positioning AT&T for a bright future.

Lastly, thank you to our Board of Directors and our talented management team for their continued support.

Sincerely,

John Stankey

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, AT&T Inc.

February 5, 2026

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses strong confidence in the company's strategic direction, achievements in the past year, and future growth prospects, citing specific financial and operational targets, and framing AT&T as an industry leader.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Network Transformation and Growth
#2Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
#3Customer Focus and Brand Strength
#4Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns
#5Bridging the Digital Divide and Public Policy
10 named projects & initiatives
Fiber, 5G, Lumen, Gigapower, FirstNet, AST SpaceMobile +4 more
3 other, 2 technology, 2 partnership, 2 product, 1 acquisition
Forward-looking statements
13 total: 7 quantified, 4 directional, 2 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth Investment (Fiber & 5G) → Debt Reduction → Shareholder Returns (Dividends & Buybacks) → Strategic Acquisitions
Key quotes
“Our converged strategy is a winning play, and these results give us confidence we are on the right track.”
Highlights the CEO's conviction in the core strategy and past performance validation.
“We’re confident that we’ll lead our industry in advanced connectivity service revenue and adjusted EBITDA by the end of the decade.”
A bold, long-term vision of market leadership and financial dominance.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
John T. StankeyChairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer$29,906,872
Pascal DesrochesSenior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer$13,680,151
Lori LeeGlobal Marketing Officer and Senior Executive Vice President-International$8,877,344
David R. McAtee IISenior Executive Vice President and General Counsel$12,368,023
Jeffery S. McElfreshChief Operating Officer$15,941,739
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-23
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Shareholder Right to Act by Written Consent
AGAINST
Pending
EEO-1 Report Disclosure Policy
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
6 debt instruments · 3 CUSIPs · 5 unique covenants
3.5x
Interest coverage
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
6.4x
24-06
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Term Loan $17,500,000,000
U.S. $17,500,000,000 DELAYED DRAW TERM LOAN CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures · Filed 2025-11-03
Floating · SOFR | Prime | Fed Funds
unsecured
00210PBX7 00210PBY5 00210PBZ2
Credit $12,000,000,000
U.S. $12,000,000,000 Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Matures 2030-11-03 · Filed 2025-11-03
Floating · SOFR | EURIBOR | SONIA | Base Rate | Federal Funds | Prime
unsecured
Credit $12,000,000,000
U.S. $12,000,000,000 AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2027-11-18 · Filed 2022-11-18
Floating · SOFR | EURIBOR | SONIA | Fed Funds | Prime
unsecured
Credit $7,350,000,000
U.S. $7,350,000,000 AMENDED AND RESTATED TERM LOAN CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2022-12-31 · Filed 2022-03-02
Floating · SOFR | Prime | Fed Funds
Unsecured. The agreement includes negative covenants limiting the Borrower and its Subsidiaries from creating or suffering to exist Liens on their properties, with certain permitted exceptions.
Term Loan $30,000,000,000
$30,000,000,000 Term Loan Credit Agreement dated as of October 22, 2016 and amended and restated as
Matures · Filed 2017-02-17
Term Loan $30,000,000,000
U.S. $30,000,000,000 TERM LOAN CREDIT AGREEMENT Dated as of October 22, 2016, As amended and restate
Matures · Filed 2017-02-17
Floating · LIBOR
unsecured
Financial covenants
Maximum Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
≤ 3.75 to 1
Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA
U.S. $17,500,000,000 DELAYED DRAW TERM LOAN CREDIT
Maximum Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
not more than 3.75 to 1
Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA
U.S. $12,000,000,000 Second Amended and Restated C
Maximum Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
≤ 3.75x
Net Debt for Borrowed Money / Consolidated EBITDA
U.S. $12,000,000,000 AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT A
Maximum Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
not more than 4.0 to 1
Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA
U.S. $7,350,000,000 AMENDED AND RESTATED TERM LOAN
Maximum Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA Ratio
not more than 3.5 to 1
Net Debt for Borrowed Money to Consolidated EBITDA
U.S. $30,000,000,000 TERM LOAN CREDIT AGREEMENT Da
CUSIP identifiers (3 on file)
00210PBX7 00210PBY5 00210PBZ2
Cross-default risk
5 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Moderate leverage — no covenants on file
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.7x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Cyberattacks impacting networks, systems or data or those of suppliers or vendor
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.2/10 100% AT&T trades at a deeply discounted 7x TTM P/E with genuine operational momentum — record fiber net a... $21.13 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% AT&T screens optically cheap at ~7x trailing earnings and remains well below its 52-week high, but t... $21.13 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 BEARISH 6.3/10 50% AT&T has been hit by a double negative catalyst shock in the past week: an Oppenheimer downgrade cit... $22.75 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% AT&T is fairly valued at ~8x TTM P/E and ~10x forward P/E for a slow-growth, high-debt telecom, with... $24.80 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% AT&T screens optically cheap at about 8.3x trailing earnings and still trades well below both its 52... $25.26 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% AT&T trades at a deep discount to the S&P 500 (~7.9x TTM P/E) with a credible fiber/5G convergence s... $24.03 Sched.
May 10, 2026 BULLISH 6.9/10 67% AT&T looks inexpensive on trailing earnings and still trades meaningfully below analyst price target... $25.16 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 50% AT&T beat Q1 2026 estimates (adj. EPS $0.57 vs. $0.55 consensus) and reiterated full-year guidance, ... $26.12 Sched.
Apr 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 50% AT&T delivered a solid Q1 2026 beat on revenue ($31.5B vs $31.2B est.) and adjusted EPS ($0.57 vs $0... $26.61 Event
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.8/10 75% AT&T is trading at a significant discount (~13%) to the consensus analyst price target of ~$30.39, w... $26.46 Sched.
Showing last 10 signals
T AT&T Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-09)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$125,648 million 2.71% YoY
? Operating income
$24,162 million
? Net income
$23,386 million
? Free cash flow
$19,442 million
? EPS (diluted)
$0.54
? Dividend per share
$1.11
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
7.12%
WACC
3.74%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 3.38%
? WACC
3.74%
? Cost of equity
6.57%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.66%
? Capital structure
E: 52.07% / D: 47.93%
? ROIC
7.12%
? EVA
$8.4B
? NOPAT
$17.8B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: Gemini 10-K, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.