MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
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SO
The Southern Company
Utilities · NYSE: SO · MSJ-100
$95.96
▼ $0.51  (▼0.53%) today
After-hours: $95.62  ▼ 0.35%
Headquarters
Atlanta, GA
Employees
29,502
Founded
1945
CEO
Mr. Christopher C. Womack
Incorporated
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $101.45
$96 now
Bear $81 Avg $101 Bull $114
Price history Free
Volume
2.63M
Avg volume
5.79M
Open
$96.85
Day high / low
$97.24 / $95.74
Market cap
$108.2B
About this company
Free
The company operates as a utility provider, primarily engaged in the generation and distribution of electric power from diverse sources including nuclear, solar, and wind. It also manages natural gas distribution and marketing services through its various operating subsidiaries across multiple states.
Business segments
10-K
Alabama Power Georgia Power Mississippi Power Southern Power Southern Company Gas
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 25, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Chris Womack (Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer), Daniel S. Tucker (Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer), Investor Relations Representative (Vice President, Investor Relations)
Key metrics
Southern Company reported year-over-year growth in net income and adjusted EPS, driven primarily by higher retail electricity sales and recovery of capital investments through approved rate mechanisms.[1] The company highlighted ongoing capital expenditures in transmission, distribution, and generation—particularly in renewable and grid modernizati
Forward guidance
Management reiterated its long-term EPS growth target of approximately 5–7% annually, supported by regulated infrastructure investments and rate base growth.[1] They guided for 2026 adjusted EPS to be within their previously communicated range, emphasizing continued cost discipline and constructive regulatory outcomes in key jurisdictions.[1]
Notable Q&A
One notable Q&A exchange involved an analyst asking about the trajectory of capital spending and potential pressure on customer bills; management responded that capex would remain elevated but paced carefully, with regulatory frameworks designed to maintain affordability while still enabling decarbo
Surprise items
Management underscored stronger-than-expected customer demand in certain service territories, which supported top-line performance above internal expectations.[1] They also pointed to slightly more favorable regulatory developments than anticipated, which reduced perceived risk around cost recovery
Q4 2025 (Feb 22, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$100.84 / $83.80
Forward P/E
19.5×
Trailing 24.7×
Dividend
$3.04 / share
Yield 3.15%
Analysts covering
19
Avg target $101.45
Beta
0.33
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
3.3%
Float shorted
Buy
29%
Hold
62%
Sell
8%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$29,553 million USD
10.59% YoY
Operating margin
24.6%
Net income
$4,341 million USD
Free cash flow
-$2,935 million USD
Dividend / share
$2.94
Total debt
$71,869 million USD
Cash: $1,639 million USD
CapEx guidance
$15.9 billion - $18.5 billion for 2026-2028
Earnings quality: MEDIUM
Recurring revenue:90%
Cash conversion:2.3x
Non-recurring items: Loss on extinguishment of debt of $252 million related to convertible senior notes., Estimated loss on regulatory disallowance of $63 million related to Nicor Gas capital investments., Accelerated depreciation of $307 million related to wind repowering projects., Liquidated damages of $10 million received by Alabama Power associated with termination of solar projects.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-19
Xavier sector view:
Utilities
See journal
View Utilities journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 5.6 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
SO trades at ~24.5x TTM P/E and ~21.4x forward P/E — a premium to the utility sector average of ~18.7x forward — with only ~6% EPS growth projected for FY2026. The stock has already run ~8.7% over the past month, sits ~5.2% below its 52-week high, and the Q2 earnings catalyst is still 13 trading days away, leaving the next 5 sessions in an information vacuum. With a short ratio of 5.16 days, any macro risk-off move (neutral-to-bearish macro backdrop) could produce outsized downside, while the bull case is largely priced in near consensus price targets of ~$101-102.
Strongest bull case
Data center-driven electricity demand is a genuine secular tailwind: SO reported a 42% rise in data center electricity demand in Q1 2026, has 26 signed large load contracts totaling 10 GW, and beat Q1 EPS estimates by $0.09 — providing real earnings momentum heading into Q2 results on July 30.
Strongest bear case
Valuation is stretched relative to peers (Forward P/E 21.4x vs. sector 18.7x, PEG 2.96 vs. sector 2.81), Morgan Stanley carries an Underweight with an $89 target (vs. current $95.61), the stock is well above that bear-case target, and the high short ratio of 5.16 days creates vulnerability to forced covering or squeeze risk if macro conditions deteriorate in the near 5-day window.
What the market may be missing
The Georgia Public Service Commission recently approved a ~$285M annual rate decrease for customers — while regulatory goodwill is positive long-term, this constrains near-term revenue upside and is partly at odds with the bullish rate-base expansion narrative. Combined with higher interest expense already flagged in Q1 and net debt of ~$75B at 5.17x Net Debt/EBITDA, the balance sheet cost of the $81B capex plan may be underappreciated relative to the premium multiple the market is awarding.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_SO_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
SO
current
$95.96 ▼0.5%
ES
NEUTRAL
$74.82
ETR
NEUTRAL
$115.05
D
NEUTRAL
$70.08
DUK
NEUTRAL
$125.48
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Christopher C. Womack
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
CC
Christopher C. Womack
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer · The Southern Company
CEO since May 2023
Total compensation
$28,223,562 ▲ 18.2% YoY
Prior year: $23,885,173
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
93%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
11/12 (92%)
Base salary$1,575,000
Bonus / incentive$3,665,025
Stock awards$13,830,054
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
InterviewMay 06, 2026
Statement Regarding the Passing of Ted Turner Source ↗
Mr. Christopher C. Womack (CEO) · PR Newswire
Chris Womack issued a statement on the passing of Ted Turner, highlighting Turner's visionary leadership in media and philanthropy. He emphasized Turner's impact on global storytelling and environmental conservation, reflecting on shared values of in
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Christopher C. Womack 2025 Annual Report CONFIDENT

Chairman’s Message

Dear Fellow Stockholders,

2025 was an excellent and transformative year for

Southern Company. We delivered strong financial

results, strengthened our energy portfolio and continued

advancing cutting-edge innovation. Across our service

territory, we saw some of the most significant energy

demand growth in our history — from data centers,

advanced manufacturing and continued residential

growth. Our teams successfully met the moment.

Most importantly, at every turn, we demonstrated our

commitment to putting customers first and supporting

the communities we are privileged to serve.

Keeping Customers at the Center

of All We Do

For more than 125 years, customers have depended on

Southern Company to power their communities, their

homes and their businesses. And while our company

has evolved, our number one priority has remained the

same: ensuring customers receive clean, safe, reliable

and affordable power. Whether it is helping their homes

stay warm through the winter or cool in the summer, to

the simple flip of the light switch or the family dinner

coming together, our team is always there to serve the

customer first.

With this customer-focused mindset, in 2025, we

advanced plans to responsibly serve the extraordinary,

long-term growth we’re projecting to help ensure the

benefits of growth are shared by everyone. As we work

to add new, critical infrastructure, we have taken concrete

steps to maintain predictability, deliver rate stability and

drive long-term savings for our customers.

Investing for the Future

Southern Company’s grid is engineered to support

significant growth and adapt to a rapidly evolving

landscape. To prepare for what’s ahead, we plan to invest

more than $80 billion over the next five years to continue

strengthening the grid, expanding generation and

deploying advanced technologies that make our system

smarter and more resilient.

Across our system, we are modernizing infrastructure

and leveraging innovation — from advanced forecasting

and analytics to next-generation grid technologies. These

investments are essential to supporting economic growth,

maintaining reliability during peak demand and delivering

long-term value for our customers and stockholders.

Reliability When It Matters Most

In 2025, our ability to offer reliable service was repeatedly

put to the test, and we delivered time and time again. In

January 2025, Winter Storm Enzo brought record-breaking

snowfall and near-record energy demand across our

footprint. Despite hazardous conditions, our teams were

there to support our communities — restoring power for

more than 115,000 customers and safely meeting record

natural gas demand across multiple states. These efforts

earned national recognition, but more importantly, they

reflect who we are: a company trusted to deliver when it

matters most.

Delivering on Our Financial

Commitments

For the eleventh year in a row, we delivered adjusted

earnings performance at the top of or above our annual

guidance range. With the significant capital investments

we are making and the large load pipeline we have

clear visibility into, we see incredible opportunities for

growth ahead.

Our Commitment in Action

Our growth is inseparable from the growth of the

communities we serve, and our commitment to these

communities goes well beyond the energy solutions we

provide. Through philanthropic investments, employee

volunteer efforts and economic development initiatives,

our operating companies have been helping hometowns

across our service footprint grow and prosper.

In this watershed moment for the energy industry,

Southern Company is leading with purpose — delivering

energy that is reliable and resilient, while investing in

the infrastructure and technologies that will power

communities for generations to come.

Historic demand requires historic leadership. Our

foundation is strong, and our almost 30,000 teammates

are committed. Together, we are building the utility of the

future, driven by innovation and grounded in what’s right

for our customers.

Thank you for your continued confidence in Southern

Company. It is a privilege to serve you.

Sincerely,

Christopher C. Womack

Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

March 24, 2026

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses strong confidence, celebrating an 'excellent and transformative year,' highlighting 'strong financial results,' 'cutting-edge innovation,' and 'incredible opportunities for growth ahead,' and emphasizing the company's leadership and commitment to its future.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Customer Focus and Service Reliability
#2Infrastructure Investment and Growth
#3Financial Performance and Shareholder Value
#4Innovation and Technology Deployment
#5Community Engagement and Economic Development
Forward-looking statements
6 total: 1 quantified, 2 directional, 3 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth / Infrastructure Investment
Key quotes
“2025 was an excellent and transformative year for Southern Company.”
Sets a highly positive and forward-looking tone for the entire letter, emphasizing significant achievements and change.
“We plan to invest more than $80 billion over the next five years to continue strengthening the grid, expanding generation and deploying advanced technologies that make our system smarter and more resi”
This is the core strategic financial commitment and outlines the key areas of focus for future growth and modernization.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Christopher C. WomackChairman, President and CEO, Southern Company$28,223,562
David P. PorochExecutive Vice President and CFO, Southern Company$4,018,210
Stanley W. Connally, Jr.Executive Vice President and COO, Southern Company$6,299,709
Kimberly S. GreeneChairman, President and CEO, Georgia Power$7,212,073
J. Jeffrey PeoplesChairman, President and CEO, Alabama Power$8,720,194
Daniel S. TuckerFormer Executive Vice President and CFO, Southern Company$7,801,359
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-03
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Independent Board Chairman
AGAINST
Pending
Report on Data Center Costs
AGAINST
Pending
Report on Climate Due Diligence
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
7 debt instruments · 13 unique covenants
1.72x
Debt / Equity
2.2x
Interest coverage
$67.8B
Net debt
44%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
2.8x
24-06
3.4x
24-09
2.8x
25-03
2.0x
25-06
3.4x
25-09
2.6x
26-03
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit $22,414,694,000
NOTE PURCHASE AGREEMENT made as of February 20, 2026
Matures · Filed 2026-02-25
Unsecured, but guaranteed by the U.S. Department of Energy.
Term Loan $22,414,694,000
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT
Matures 2055-12-10 · Filed 2026-02-25
Variable
Unsecured. Section 9.01 (Liens) includes a negative pledge covenant requiring the Borrower to equally and ratably secure its obligations under the Guaranteed Loan if it secures any other Debt with a Lien on its property, except for Permitted Liens.
Credit $4,086,253,000
NOTE PURCHASE AGREEMENT made as of February 20, 2026
Matures · Filed 2026-02-25
Unsecured, but guaranteed by the Secretary of Energy (U.S. Department of Energy).
Credit
FUTURE ADVANCE PROMISSORY NOTE
Matures 2055-12-10 · Filed 2026-02-25
Floating · current average yield on outstanding marketable obligations of the United States of comparable maturity
Unsecured, but guaranteed by the United States of America, acting through the Secretary of Energy, pursuant to Title XVII of the Energy Policy Act of 2005.
Term Loan $4,086,253,000
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT dated as of February 20, 2026
Matures 2055-12-10 · Filed 2026-02-25
Unsecured. Section 9.01 (Liens) contains a negative pledge clause, restricting the Borrower from issuing, assuming, guaranteeing or permitting any Debt secured by a Lien on its property without equally and ratably securing its obligations under the Guaranteed Loan, except for Permitted Liens. This is characteristic of unsecured debt.
Bond $50,000,000 principal amount
Series 2025B 6.03% Senior Notes due March 15, 2055
Matures 2055-03-15 · Filed 2025-05-01
Fixed
unsecured
605417C#9
1 additional agreement on file
Financial covenants
Debt Sizing Parameter: Single Project Advance Limit
≤ 80% of Applicable Eligible Project Costs or Applicable Preliminary Eligible Project Costs incurred and expended/accrued
Aggregate outstanding principal amount of Advances for a single Eligible Project or Preliminary Eligible Project
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT
Debt Sizing Parameter: Maximum Guaranteed Loan Amount
≤ Maximum Guaranteed Loan Amount ($22,414,694,000)
Aggregate outstanding principal amount of all Advances under the FFB Notes
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT
Debt Sizing Parameter: Individual FFB Note Limit
≤ maximum amount of that FFB Note
Aggregate outstanding principal amount of Advances under any FFB Note
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT
Maintenance of Credit Rating
Investment Grade from at least two (2) Rating Agencies
Borrower's long-term senior unsecured and unguaranteed long-term debt credit rating
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT
Merger Transaction Credit Rating Condition
(i) at least two of the three following ratings: (1) BBB- or better from S&P, (2) Baa3 or better from Moody's and/or (3) BBB- or better from Fitch, AND (ii) not placed on a negative credit watch or its equivalent by any two or more of such Rating Agencies that states such Person's rating could be downgraded to or below (1) S&P: BB+, (2) Moody's: Ba1 or (3) Fitch: BB+
Surviving Person's long-term, senior, unsecured, non-credit enhanced debt credit rating (if not subject to rate regulation by Georgia PSC)
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT
Financing Limit (Borrower's Instruments)
not to exceed $500,000,000
Aggregate principal amount of senior notes and borrowings under Borrower's Instruments
NOTE PURCHASE AGREEMENT made as of February 20, 20
Aggregate Issuance Limit (Alabama PSC)
up to $2,000,000,000
Aggregate amount of preferred stock, preference stock, promissory notes, subordinated debentures, other debt instruments, and obligations in connection with industrial development revenue bonds
NOTE PURCHASE AGREEMENT made as of February 20, 20
Maximum Advances for a Single Project
≤ 80% of Applicable Eligible Project Costs or Applicable Preliminary Eligible Project Costs
Aggregate outstanding principal amount of all Advances for a single Eligible Project or Preliminary Eligible Project
LOAN GUARANTEE AGREEMENT dated as of February 20,
5 additional covenants on file
Cross-default risk
6 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Moderate leverage — no covenants on file
Earnings quality
MEDIUM (cash conversion 2.3x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Utility regulatory, legislative, and litigation risks, particularly the ability
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Hold — watch for drift
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.6/10 100% SO trades at ~24.5x TTM P/E and ~21.4x forward P/E — a premium to the utility sector average of ~18.... $95.61 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% Southern Company screens as fairly to slightly fully valued for a slow-growth regulated utility: the... $95.61 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% SO trades at ~23.7x TTM P/E with near-zero earnings growth, sitting roughly 8% below its 52-week hig... $92.60 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% SO is a high-quality regulated utility with genuine long-term catalysts — 10 GW of contracted large-... $92.05 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% SO looks more fairly valued to slightly rich than mispriced for a 5-day trade: at ~24.2x trailing ea... $94.55 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% SO posted a solid Q1 2026 beat (adj. EPS $1.32 vs. $1.21 est.) and is benefiting from a massive data... $92.55 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 67% SO sits at a reasonable-but-not-cheap valuation for a defensive utility, with muted revenue and earn... $91.80 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% SO is a defensive utility in a supportive macro tape, but the stock already trades near its 52-week ... $96.71 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 50% SO is trading within ~5% of its 52-week high and sits essentially at the average analyst price targe... $97.15 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
SO The Southern Company
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-19)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$29,553 million USD 10.59% YoY
? Operating income
$7,285 million USD
? Net income
$4,341 million USD
? Free cash flow
-$2,935 million USD
? EPS (diluted)
$1.20
? Dividend per share
$2.94
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
5.70%
WACC
4.02%
🟡 NEUTRAL — EVA Spread: 1.67%
? WACC
4.02%
? Cost of equity
6.08%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.94%
? Capital structure
E: 60.08% / D: 39.92%
? ROIC
5.70%
? EVA
$1.9B
? NOPAT
$6.3B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: Gemini 10-K, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: XBRL, invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.