MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
RTX
RTX Corporation
Industrials · NYSE: RTX · MSJ-100
$193.39
▼ $3.00  (▼1.53%) today
After-hours: $194.25  ▲ 0.45%
Headquarters
Arlington, VA
Employees
180,000
Founded
1922
CEO
Mr. Christopher T. Calio J.D.
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $215.14
$193 now
Bear $180 Avg $215 Bull $242
Price history Free
Volume
4.25M
Avg volume
5.57M
Open
$196.38
Day high / low
$198.50 / $193.39
Market cap
$260.4B
About this company
Free
RTX Corporation is a global aerospace and defense company providing advanced systems and services to commercial, military, and government customers. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace, offering technologically advanced aerospace and defense products and aftermarket services; Pratt & Whitney, supplying aircraft engines for various aviation sectors; and Raytheon, specializing in defensive and offensive threat detection, integrated air and missile defense, and advanced sensors.
Business segments
10-K
Collins Aerospace Pratt & Whitney Raytheon
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q2 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Jul 23, 2026Confident
Greg Hayes (Chairman & Chief Executive Officer), Neil Mitchill (Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
Q2 2026 adjusted EPS was $1.82 versus consensus of $0.85, a 114% upside surprise, driven by stronger segment profit and lower interest expense. Revenue modestly missed expectations (exact figure not disclosed in the summary), with commercial aerospace moderating but defense remaining strong; segment operating profit grew year-over-year and the comp
Forward guidance
Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 sales and EPS guidance despite Q2 revenue coming in slightly below expectations, citing strong backlog and visibility into second-half defense and commercial deliveries. They highlighted continued expectations for full-year organic sales growth in the high single to low double digits, margin expansion across all
Notable Q&A
Analysts pressed management on the sustainability of the EPS beat given the revenue shortfall; leadership responded that the upside was primarily driven by execution, mix, and cost productivity rather than one-time items, and that they expect a more balanced contribution from both revenue growth and
Surprise items
The magnitude of the EPS beat versus consensus (over 100% upside) was a notable positive surprise, especially given that revenue slightly missed expectations. Management’s decision to maintain full-year guidance despite the revenue shortfall signaled confidence in second-half execution and could be
(May 09, 2026) · Q1 2026 (Apr 26, 2026) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$214.50 / $143.56
Forward P/E
25.5×
Trailing 36.4×
Dividend
$2.92 / share
Yield 1.49%
Analysts covering
22
Avg target $215.14
Beta
0.30
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.2%
Float shorted
Buy
65%
Hold
35%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$88,603 million
9.74% YoY
Operating margin
10.5%
Net income
$6,732 million
Free cash flow
$7,940 million
Dividend / share
$2.670
Total debt
$37,904 million
Cash: $7,435 million
Earnings quality: LOW
Recurring revenue:28%
Cash conversion:1.5x
Non-recurring items: Gain on sale of actuation and flight control business ($0.2 billion), Gain on sale of Simmonds Precision Products business ($0.1 billion), Pension settlement charge ($0.3 billion), Restructuring charges ($0.2 billion)
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-06
Xavier sector view:
Industrials
See journal
View Industrials journal ↗
Xavier's signal
BULLISH
↑ Changed from BULLISH · May 31, 2026
Signal
Confidence 6.5 / 10  ·  50% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
RTX is trading ~16% below its 52-week high and ~15% below the consensus analyst price target of $215.73, having been pressured by tariff headwinds (~$850M full-year impact), defense sector rotation, and ceasefire-related sentiment — not fundamental deterioration. The underlying business is executing exceptionally: Q1 2026 EPS of $1.78 beat by ~18%, organic sales grew 10%, Raytheon's book-to-bill hit 1.48x, and the total backlog has grown to ~$271B. With Forward P/E at ~23.9x contracting toward more reasonable territory and a recent Jefferies upgrade to Buy with a $220 target, the risk/reward over 5 trading days tilts modestly bullish as macro sentiment around tariffs and geopolitics stabilizes.
Strongest bull case
Massive and growing $271B backlog — including $107B+ in defense with Raytheon's 1.48x book-to-bill and urgent Tomahawk/AMRAAM replenishment demand from the Iran conflict — provides multi-year revenue visibility that the current depressed price does not reflect; a recent Jefferies upgrade to Buy ($220 PT) adds near-term positive catalyst momentum.
Strongest bear case
RTX disclosed ~$850M in full-year 2026 tariff cost absorption under IEEPA, and the Pratt & Whitney GTF engine crisis continues to generate ~$1M loss per new engine delivery with multi-billion dollar cash drag projected through 2027, creating persistent margin compression that could weigh on sentiment if Q2 pre-announcements surface any negative revisions.
What the market may be missing
The defense sector sold off on 'Iran ceasefire hopes' narratives, but RTX's Raytheon segment is booking orders at 1.48x book-to-bill — meaning geopolitical de-escalation doesn't eliminate the years-long munitions replenishment cycle already locked into backlog; the market is conflating short-term sentiment with multi-year contractual obligations already on the books.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — BULLISH
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BULLISH
msj100_RTX_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
RTX
current
$193.39 ▼1.5%
EMR
NEUTRAL
$138.88
CAT
NEUTRAL
$952.41
UPS
NEUTRAL
$112.47
HON
NEUTRAL
$226.42
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-06
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
8-K — 2026-05-04
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-04
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-04
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-04
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Christopher T. Calio
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
CT
Christopher T. Calio
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer · RTX Corporation
CEO since May 2024
Total compensation
$24,846,826 ▲ 38.0% YoY
Prior year: $18,004,831
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
96%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
9/10 (90%)
Base salary$1,525,000
Bonus / incentive$5,100,000
Stock awards$10,875,391
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Investor DayMay 04, 2026
RTX 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareowners Source ↗
Mr. Christopher T. Calio J.D. (CEO) · RTX Corporation
Calio highlighted RTX's record $271 billion backlog (up 25% year-over-year) and announced over $10.5 billion in 2026 CapEx and R&D investments to expand manufacturing capacity. He outlined three strategic priorities: execution, innovation, and scale,
“"our record $271 billion backlog" and RTX remains focused in 2026 on three priorities: "executing on our commitments, innovating for future growth, and leveraging our breadth and scale."”
Investor DayApr 21, 2026
RTX Q1 2026 Earnings Call Source ↗
Mr. Christopher T. Calio J.D. (CEO) · RTX Corporation
Calio discussed RTX's strong Q1 2026 performance with double-digit organic sales and earnings growth across all three segments, driven by execution focus and backlog delivery. The company raised 2026 outlook for adjusted sales and adjusted EPS while
“"RTX delivered a very strong start to 2026 with organic sales and adjusted operating profit growth across all three segments, driven by our continued focus on execution and delivering our backlog."”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for RTX
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Neil G. Mitchill, Jr.Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer$10,607,402
Philip J. JasperPresident, Raytheon$6,745,831
Shane G. EddyPresident, Pratt & Whitney$6,611,393
Troy D. BrunkPresident, Collins Aerospace$5,891,818
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-09
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of Ten Director Nominees
FOR
Pending
Advisory Vote to Approve Executive Compensation
FOR
Pending
Appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP to Serve as Independent Auditor for 20
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
2 debt instruments · 1 unique covenant
0.50x
Debt / Equity
$26.4B
Net debt
19%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
1.1x
24-06
4.1x
24-09
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Term Loan $4,000,000,000
TERM LOAN Credit Agreement dated as of November 7, 2023
Matures 2026-11-07 · Filed 2023-11-08
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
Bridge $10,000,000,000
BRIDGE Credit Agreement
Matures · Filed 2023-10-25
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
Financial covenants
Maximum Secured Debt and Attributable Debt
≤ 10% of Consolidated Net Tangible Assets
(Secured Debt + Attributable Debt from Sale and Leaseback Transactions) / Consolidated Net Tangible Assets
TERM LOAN Credit Agreement dated as of November 7,
Cross-default risk
2 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
Low quality — review accruals (cash conversion 1.5x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — The Powder Metal Matter impacting Pratt & Whitney's GTF fleet, requiring acceler
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautious
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 BULLISH 6.5/10 50% RTX is trading ~16% below its 52-week high and ~15% below the consensus analyst price target of $215... $180.99 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% RTX has exceptional operational momentum — a $271B backlog, book-to-bill of 1.56, Q1 2026 EPS beat o... $179.66 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 75% RTX has genuine fundamental strength — a $268B backlog, raised FY2026 EPS guidance to $6.70–$6.90, a... $177.01 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 75% RTX has exceptional fundamental underpinnings — a $271B record backlog, a Q1 2026 EPS beat of 17% vs... $171.18 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 50% RTX delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat — EPS of $1.78 vs. $1.51 consensus, 10% organic growth, record $... $176.09 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 75% RTX delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat (EPS $1.78 vs. $1.51 estimate, +21% YoY) and raised full-year gu... $173.99 Sched.
May 01, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% RTX has outstanding fundamental credentials — a $271B backlog, consistent beat-and-raise earnings, a... $175.01 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 7.3/10 75% RTX enters Q1 2026 earnings on April 21 with a record $268B backlog, a freshly awarded $50B Patriot ... $201.56 Sched.
Showing last 8 signals
RTX RTX Corporation
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-06)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$88,603 million 9.74% YoY
? Operating income
$9,300 million
? Net income
$6,732 million
? Free cash flow
$7,940 million
? EPS (diluted)
$1.51
? Dividend per share
$2.670
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
8.24%
WACC
5.15%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 3.09%
? WACC
5.15%
? Cost of equity
5.89%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.08%
? Capital structure
E: 87.29% / D: 12.71%
? ROIC
8.24%
? EVA
$3.0B
? NOPAT
$8.0B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: Gemini 10-K, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.