Prologis is a global leader in logistics real estate, owning, managing, and developing high-quality logistics facilities across 20 countries. The company provides integrated infrastructure solutions, including power and data-intensive operations, to optimize customer supply chains and address evolving needs in the logistics sector.
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10-K
Real EstateStrategic Capital
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Earnings call: Q2 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Jul 16, 2026Neutral
● Full transcript on file
Hamid R. Moghadam (Co-Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Tim Arndt (Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
No actual Q2 2026 reported metrics were available in the provided search results. Consensus expectations mentioned in third-party previews included EPS around $0.79 to $1.54 depending on the measure used by the source.[4][7][8]
Forward guidance
No transcript was available in the provided search results for the Q2 2026 call. Public preview material indicates the company was expected to report on July 16, 2026, but the actual spoken remarks and guidance were not included in the search results.[4][7][8]
Notable Q&A
No Q&A transcript was available in the provided search results for the Q2 2026 earnings call.[4][7][8]
Surprise items
The call appears not yet captured in the provided search results, so no unexpected items can be confirmed from a transcript.[4][7][8]
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$8,790,127 thousand
7.18% YoY
Operating margin
49.6%
Net income
$3,322,349 thousand
Free cash flow
$4,118,882 thousand
Dividend / share
$4.04
Total debt
$35,037,073 thousand
Cash: $1,145,647 thousand
Earnings quality:HIGH
Recurring revenue:93%
Cash conversion:1.5x
Non-recurring items: Net gains on dispositions of development properties and land of $257,731 thousand., Net gains on other dispositions of investments in real estate of $685,831 thousand., Net losses on early extinguishment of debt of $3,498 thousand., Significant decrease in promote revenue from unconsolidated co-investment ventures (from $139,329 thousand in 2024 to $2,105 thousand in 2025).
PLD trades at 35-36x TTM earnings — well above the industrial REIT sector average of ~16x and above a DCF-implied fair P/E of ~31x — with revenue growth near zero and earnings growth in the low single digits, leaving minimal margin of safety. Q2 2026 earnings drop in 4 days (July 16), creating binary event risk that caps near-term upside even if the beat consensus of $1.54 EPS is met. The SEGRO unsolicited all-stock takeover bid introduces meaningful execution and capital allocation overhang that the market has not yet fully priced.
Strongest bull case
PLD posted a record 64 million sq ft leasing quarter in Q1 2026, occupancy rose to 95.3%, industrial vacancy appears to have peaked per Cushman & Wakefield, and the company has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters — setting up a potential Q2 earnings-driven re-rating if results are strong.
Strongest bear case
Earnings release on July 16 (within the 5-day window) creates asymmetric event risk: at 35-36x P/E against a sector averaging ~16x, DCF analysis suggests PLD is overvalued by ~17.5%, meaning any guidance softness, commentary on rent growth deceleration (YoY rent growth has slowed to ~1.2%), or SEGRO deal complications could trigger a sharp de-rating with no valuation support floor nearby.
What the market may be missing
The SEGRO rejected bid is a non-obvious double-edged sword: while framed as a long-term growth story, an unsolicited all-stock acquisition of a UK REIT introduces significant FX risk, cross-border regulatory complexity, and dilution risk that could structurally compress PLD's premium multiple — yet the analyst community, which is unanimously Buy/Hold with zero Sell ratings, has not reflected this in price targets. The market is treating the SEGRO situation as optionality rather than a capital allocation risk.
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter.
When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and
forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
Name
Title
Total compensation
Hamid R. Moghadam
Executive Chairman (Chief Executive Officer in 2025)
$24,999,873
Timothy Arndt
Chief Financial Officer
$9,300,436
Daniel Letter
President
$15,190,625
Carter Andrus
Chief Operating Officer
$6,701,275
Deborah Briones
Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel and Secretary
$4,954,493
Joseph Ghazal
Former Chief Investment Officer
$6,428,251
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-19
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares:No
Poison pill:No
Clawback policy:Yes
Stock ownership req.:Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of 11 directors to our Board
FOR
Pending
Nonbinding advisory vote to approve the company’s executive compensation for 202
FOR
Pending
Ratification of the appointment of KPMG LLP as our independent registered public
The facility is senior unsecured. However, the Loan Documents include 'Security Documents' which describe collateral specifically for U.S. Bond L/Cs, involving the assignment of the Issuer's interest in Trust Estate, Revenues, and Bond Documents to a collateral agent. 'Permitted Liens' also include Liens that secure the Obligations under this agreement.
74340YBL274340YBM074340YBN8
Credit
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT AGREEMENT
The facility is generally senior unsecured. However, L/C Obligations can be Cash Collateralized. For U.S. Bond L/Cs, liens and security interests securing reimbursement obligations and other obligations are assigned to the U.S. Funding Agent for the benefit of U.S. Lenders.
74340YBP374340YBQ174340YBR9
BondC$700,000,000
3.600% Notes due 2032
Matures 2032-02-15 · Filed 2025-10-27
Fixed
Bond€500,000,000
3.875% Notes due 2037
Matures 2037-09-22 · Filed 2025-09-22
Fixed
unsecured
83 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Consolidated Leverage Ratio
ratio of (a) all Indebtedness of the Companies, on a consolidated basis, to (b) Total Asset Value
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT A
Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio
(a) (i) Adjusted EBITDA, minus (ii) Capital Expenditures, to (b) the sum of (i) Debt Service in respect of all Indebtedness, plus (ii) Preferred Dividends
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT A
Unencumbered Debt Service Coverage Ratio
(a) Unencumbered NOI minus Unencumbered Capital Expenditures to (b) Unencumbered Debt Service
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT A
Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 0.60 to 1.0
Indebtedness of the Companies (consolidated) to Total Asset Value
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio
≥ 1.50 to 1.0
(Adjusted EBITDA - Capital Expenditures) to (Debt Service + Preferred Dividends)
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Unencumbered Debt Service Coverage Ratio
≥ 1.50 to 1.0
(Unencumbered NOI - Unencumbered Capital Expenditures) to Unencumbered Debt Service
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Secured Indebtedness
≤ 40%
Aggregate amount of all Secured Debt of the Companies to Total Asset Value
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
Not specified, but a maximum ratio.
Indebtedness of the Companies (consolidated) / Total Asset Value
AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT AGREEMEN
16 additional covenants on file
CUSIP identifiers (30 on file)
74340XCK574340XBM274340XBP574340XBZ374340XCD174340XCT674340XBT774340XBV274340XCB574341EAK874340XBS974340XBU4+18 more
Cross-default risk
19 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.5x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — The most significant overarching risk relates to social, geopolitical, and econo
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
Date
Direction
Conf.
Agree.
Thesis
Price
Type
Jul 12, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.3/10
100%
PLD trades at 35-36x TTM earnings — well above the industrial REIT sector average of ~16x and above ...
$140.87
Sched.
Jul 11, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.5/10
75%
PLD is a high-quality industrial REIT, but the near-term setup is not compelling: the stock trades a...
$140.87
Sched.
Jun 07, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.4/10
100%
PLD has strong operational fundamentals — record Q1 2026 leasing of 64M sq ft and 95.3% occupancy — ...
$144.54
Sched.
May 31, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.1/10
100%
PLD is trading within 3% of its 52-week high at $143.47 with a TTM P/E of 36x and a forward P/E of 4...
$143.47
Sched.
May 24, 2026
NEUTRAL
5.5/10
100%
PLD is trading essentially at its 52-week high and only modestly below consensus target, while valua...
$145.90
Sched.
May 17, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.1/10
75%
PLD is a best-in-class industrial REIT with genuine Q1 2026 operational momentum — core FFO guided t...
$140.53
Sched.
May 10, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.2/10
100%
PLD has strong operating quality and benefits from a supportive macro backdrop for risk assets, but ...
$144.09
Sched.
May 03, 2026
NEUTRAL
5.8/10
100%
PLD has strong quality and benefits from a supportive macro backdrop for risk assets, but the stock ...
$141.41
Sched.
Apr 24, 2026
NEUTRAL
5.7/10
100%
PLD delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat with record leasing of 64M sq ft, raised 2026 Core FFO guidance ...
$142.34
Event
Apr 17, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.8/10
50%
PLD delivered an operationally outstanding Q1 2026 — record leasing of 64M sq ft, EPS beat, guidance...
$144.95
Event
Apr 17, 2026
NEUTRAL
6.2/10
100%
PLD delivered a genuinely strong Q1 2026 beat — record leasing of 64M sq ft, Core FFO of $1.50/share...
$142.17
Event
Apr 12, 2026
BULLISH
6.9/10
75%
PLD is trading at $137.19, roughly 3.4% below the consensus price target of $141.90, with Q1 2026 ea...
$137.19
Sched.
Showing last 12 signals
PLDPrologis Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-13)
INCOME STATEMENT
?Revenue
$8,790,127 thousand7.18% YoY
Total revenue from rents, property management fees, and real estate operations. Up 7.18% from last year.
?Operating income
$4,357,864 thousand
What remains after subtracting all operating costs — salaries, materials, rent, R&D — from revenue. This is the profit from actually running the business, before interest and taxes. Operating margin is 49.6%, meaning 50 cents of every dollar of revenue becomes operating profit.
?Net income
$3,322,349 thousand
The bottom line — what the company actually earned after all expenses, interest, and taxes. This is the number that gets divided by shares outstanding to calculate earnings per share (EPS), which directly affects the stock price. Net margin is 42.7%. Note: results include non-recurring items (net gains on dispositions of development properties and land of $257,731 thousand., net gains on other dispositions of investments in real estate of $685,831 thousand.) that may not repeat.
?Free cash flow
$4,118,882 thousand
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditure. This is the money available for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or acquisitions. Free cash flow is what many professional investors consider the truest measure of financial health.
?EPS (diluted)
$1.05
Earnings per share — net income divided by total shares outstanding (including stock options and convertible bonds that could become shares). This is the single number most investors watch because it directly connects company profits to your ownership stake.
?Dividend per share
$4.04
Cash paid to shareholders each year for every share they own. REITs are required by law to distribute 90% of taxable income as dividends, making yields typically higher than other sectors.
BALANCE SHEET
?Total assets
$98.1B
Everything the company owns — cash, factories, equipment, patents, inventory, investments. Includes owned properties, land, development projects, and lease agreements.
?Cash & equivalents
$1,145,647 thousand
Money available right now — bank accounts, money market funds, short-term government bonds. This is the company's financial cushion. More cash means more flexibility to invest, acquire, or survive a downturn without borrowing.
?Total debt
$35,037,073 thousand
All money the company owes — bonds, bank loans, credit facilities. Compare this to cash to understand the net debt position. The company holds $1,145,647 thousand in cash against this debt.
?Shares outstanding
929,153 thousand
Total number of shares that exist — owned by all investors, insiders, and institutions combined. When the company reports EPS, this is the denominator. Share buybacks reduce this number, which increases EPS even without earnings growth.
?Debt-to-equity ratio
0.6%
How much debt the company uses for every dollar of shareholder equity. Under 100% means more equity than debt (conservative). Over 200% means heavy leverage. Banks and utilities naturally run higher ratios.
CASH FLOW
?Operating cash flow
$1.3B
Actual cash generated from running the business — not accounting profits, real money coming in the door. This is more trustworthy than net income because it's harder to manipulate. A company can report profits but still run out of cash.
?Depreciation & amortization
$732M
A non-cash expense that spreads the cost of commercial buildings, tenant improvements, and property infrastructure over their useful life. This reduces reported income but no cash actually leaves the company — that's why it gets added back to calculate EBITDA and operating cash flow.
EARNINGS QUALITY
?Accrual quality
HIGH
Measures how well reported earnings match actual cash generation. HIGH means earnings are backed by real cash. LOW means the company may be using accounting techniques to inflate reported numbers. Professional investors check this before trusting EPS.
?Recurring revenue
93%
93% of revenue comes from repeat sources — ongoing contracts, subscriptions, or regular customer purchasing patterns rather than one-time sales. Higher recurring revenue means more predictable future earnings.
?Cash conversion
1.5x
Operating cash flow divided by net income. Above 1.0x means the company generates more cash than it reports in profits — a sign of high-quality earnings. At 1.5x, the company is generating significantly more cash than reported profits — very healthy.
?Non-recurring items
4 identified
One-time items that affect the bottom line but won't repeat: net gains on dispositions of development properties and land of $257,731 thousand., net gains on other dispositions of investments in real estate of $685,831 thousand., net losses on early extinguishment of debt of $3,498 thousand., significant decrease in promote revenue from unconsolidated co-investment ventures (from $139,329 thousand in 2024 to $2,105 thousand in 2025).. When evaluating the company's true earning power, investors strip these out to see what the business earns on a normal basis.
?Management tone
Cautious Optimistic
How management sounds in their SEC filings — are they confident, cautious, or defensive? This is analyzed from the actual language used in the 10-K annual report. A shift in tone from prior years can signal changing conditions before the numbers reflect it.
?Top risk factor
Increasing
The most significant overarching risk relates to social, geopolitical, and economic conditions globally, which can materially and adversely affect operations, financial condition, foreign investments, and currency valuations. Risk trend: increasing. This is the single biggest threat to the company's future earnings as identified in their SEC filing.
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
4.83%
WACC
9.32%
🔴 VALUE DESTROYER — EVA Spread: -4.49%
?WACC
9.32%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital — the minimum return Prologis Inc. must earn on its investments to satisfy both debt holders and shareholders. Computed from a 79.68% equity / 20.32% debt capital structure. If the company earns less than 9.32% on its invested capital, it is destroying shareholder value.
?Cost of equity
11.62%
The return shareholders demand for holding PLD stock instead of a risk-free Treasury bond. Computed using the Capital Asset Pricing Model: Risk-Free Rate (4.25%) + Beta (1.34) × Equity Risk Premium (5.50%). A beta of 1.34 means PLD is more volatile than the overall market.
?Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.31%
What Prologis Inc. effectively pays on its borrowed money after the tax deduction on interest. Interest is tax-deductible, so the true cost is lower than the stated rate. Effective tax rate used: 10.14%.
?Capital structure
E: 79.68% / D: 20.32%
How Prologis Inc. finances its operations — the split between equity (stock market value: $135.9B) and debt (total borrowings: $34.7B). More debt means more leverage — higher potential returns but higher risk.
?ROIC
4.83%
Return on Invested Capital — how efficiently Prologis Inc. turns its total invested capital into after-tax operating profit. NOPAT ($4.2B) ÷ Invested Capital ($87.3B). This is below WACC, meaning the company is not earning enough to cover its cost of capital.
?EVA
-$3.9B
Economic Value Added — the dollar amount of value Prologis Inc. created (or destroyed) above its cost of capital. NOPAT ($4.2B) minus the capital charge (Invested Capital × WACC = $8.1B). Negative EVA means the company would create more value by returning capital to shareholders.
?NOPAT
$4.2B
Net Operating Profit After Tax — operating income adjusted for taxes, ignoring how the company is financed. Operating Income ($4.7B) × (1 - Tax Rate 10.14%). This isolates the company's core business profitability from its financing decisions.
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.