MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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PLD
Prologis Inc.
Real Estate · NYSE: PLD · MSJ-100
$142.49
▲ $0.33  (▲0.23%) today
After-hours: $143.56  ▲ 0.75%
Headquarters
San Francisco, CA
Employees
2,802
Founded
1979
CEO
Mr. Daniel Stephen Letter
Incorporated
Maryland
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $152.36
$142 now
Bear $138 Avg $152 Bull $170
Price history Free
Volume
3.59M
Avg volume
3.65M
Open
$142.00
Day high / low
$143.41 / $141.58
Market cap
$135.9B
About this company
Free
Prologis is a global leader in logistics real estate, owning, managing, and developing high-quality logistics facilities across 20 countries. The company provides integrated infrastructure solutions, including power and data-intensive operations, to optimize customer supply chains and address evolving needs in the logistics sector.
Business segments
10-K
Real Estate Strategic Capital
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q2 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Jul 16, 2026Neutral
● Full transcript on file
Hamid R. Moghadam (Co-Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Tim Arndt (Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
No actual Q2 2026 reported metrics were available in the provided search results. Consensus expectations mentioned in third-party previews included EPS around $0.79 to $1.54 depending on the measure used by the source.[4][7][8]
Forward guidance
No transcript was available in the provided search results for the Q2 2026 call. Public preview material indicates the company was expected to report on July 16, 2026, but the actual spoken remarks and guidance were not included in the search results.[4][7][8]
Notable Q&A
No Q&A transcript was available in the provided search results for the Q2 2026 earnings call.[4][7][8]
Surprise items
The call appears not yet captured in the provided search results, so no unexpected items can be confirmed from a transcript.[4][7][8]
(Jun 02, 2026) · Q1 2026 (Apr 16, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$150.18 / $103.41
Forward P/E
42.0×
Trailing 35.7×
Dividend
$4.28 / share
Yield 3.01%
Analysts covering
14
Avg target $152.36
Beta
1.34
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.6%
Float shorted
Buy
56%
Hold
44%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$8,790,127 thousand
7.18% YoY
Operating margin
49.6%
Net income
$3,322,349 thousand
Free cash flow
$4,118,882 thousand
Dividend / share
$4.04
Total debt
$35,037,073 thousand
Cash: $1,145,647 thousand
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:93%
Cash conversion:1.5x
Non-recurring items: Net gains on dispositions of development properties and land of $257,731 thousand., Net gains on other dispositions of investments in real estate of $685,831 thousand., Net losses on early extinguishment of debt of $3,498 thousand., Significant decrease in promote revenue from unconsolidated co-investment ventures (from $139,329 thousand in 2024 to $2,105 thousand in 2025).
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-13
Xavier sector view:
Real Estate
See journal
View Real Estate journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.3 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
PLD trades at 35-36x TTM earnings — well above the industrial REIT sector average of ~16x and above a DCF-implied fair P/E of ~31x — with revenue growth near zero and earnings growth in the low single digits, leaving minimal margin of safety. Q2 2026 earnings drop in 4 days (July 16), creating binary event risk that caps near-term upside even if the beat consensus of $1.54 EPS is met. The SEGRO unsolicited all-stock takeover bid introduces meaningful execution and capital allocation overhang that the market has not yet fully priced.
Strongest bull case
PLD posted a record 64 million sq ft leasing quarter in Q1 2026, occupancy rose to 95.3%, industrial vacancy appears to have peaked per Cushman & Wakefield, and the company has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters — setting up a potential Q2 earnings-driven re-rating if results are strong.
Strongest bear case
Earnings release on July 16 (within the 5-day window) creates asymmetric event risk: at 35-36x P/E against a sector averaging ~16x, DCF analysis suggests PLD is overvalued by ~17.5%, meaning any guidance softness, commentary on rent growth deceleration (YoY rent growth has slowed to ~1.2%), or SEGRO deal complications could trigger a sharp de-rating with no valuation support floor nearby.
What the market may be missing
The SEGRO rejected bid is a non-obvious double-edged sword: while framed as a long-term growth story, an unsolicited all-stock acquisition of a UK REIT introduces significant FX risk, cross-border regulatory complexity, and dilution risk that could structurally compress PLD's premium multiple — yet the analyst community, which is unanimously Buy/Hold with zero Sell ratings, has not reflected this in price targets. The market is treating the SEGRO situation as optionality rather than a capital allocation risk.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_PLD_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
PLD
current
$142.49 ▲0.2%
EQR
NEUTRAL
$68.69
DLR
NEUTRAL
$180.41
O
NEUTRAL
$63.31
PSA
NEUTRAL
$320.56
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Hamid R. Moghadam
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
HR
Hamid R. Moghadam
Chief Executive Officer · Prologis Inc.
CEO since 2011
Total compensation
$24,999,873 ▲ 0.6% YoY
Prior year: $24,851,777
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
91%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
9/11 (82%)
Base salary$1
Bonus / incentive$1,617,500
Stock awards$23,369,872
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for PLD
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Hamid R. MoghadamExecutive Chairman (Chief Executive Officer in 2025)$24,999,873
Timothy ArndtChief Financial Officer$9,300,436
Daniel LetterPresident$15,190,625
Carter AndrusChief Operating Officer$6,701,275
Deborah BrionesChief Legal Officer, General Counsel and Secretary$4,954,493
Joseph GhazalFormer Chief Investment Officer$6,428,251
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-19
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of 11 directors to our Board
FOR
Pending
Nonbinding advisory vote to approve the company’s executive compensation for 202
FOR
Pending
Ratification of the appointment of KPMG LLP as our independent registered public
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
89 debt instruments · 30 CUSIPs · 24 unique covenants
0.65x
Debt / Equity
4.6x
Interest coverage
4.3x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$33.8B
Net debt
35%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
8.0x
24-06
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Bond $750,000,000
PROLOGIS, L.P. 4.900% NOTE DUE 2036
Matures 2036-06-15 · Filed 2026-04-23
Fixed
unsecured
74340X CV1
Bond $500,000,000
4.250% Note Due 2031
Matures 2031-06-15 · Filed 2026-04-23
Fixed
unsecured
74340X CU3
Credit
Amended and Restated Global Senior Credit Agreement
Matures 2029-06-29 · Filed 2026-03-31
Floating | Fixed · SOFR | EURIBOR | TIBOR | CORRA | Overnight TIIE | TONAR | Fed Funds | Prime
The facility is senior unsecured. However, the Loan Documents include 'Security Documents' which describe collateral specifically for U.S. Bond L/Cs, involving the assignment of the Issuer's interest in Trust Estate, Revenues, and Bond Documents to a collateral agent. 'Permitted Liens' also include Liens that secure the Obligations under this agreement.
74340YBL2 74340YBM0 74340YBN8
Credit
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2030-06-28 · Filed 2026-03-31
Floating · SOFR, LIBOR, Fed Funds, Prime, CORRA, TONAR, TIIEF
The facility is generally senior unsecured. However, L/C Obligations can be Cash Collateralized. For U.S. Bond L/Cs, liens and security interests securing reimbursement obligations and other obligations are assigned to the U.S. Funding Agent for the benefit of U.S. Lenders.
74340YBP3 74340YBQ1 74340YBR9
Bond C$700,000,000
3.600% Notes due 2032
Matures 2032-02-15 · Filed 2025-10-27
Fixed
Bond €500,000,000
3.875% Notes due 2037
Matures 2037-09-22 · Filed 2025-09-22
Fixed
unsecured
83 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Consolidated Leverage Ratio
ratio of (a) all Indebtedness of the Companies, on a consolidated basis, to (b) Total Asset Value
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT A
Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio
(a) (i) Adjusted EBITDA, minus (ii) Capital Expenditures, to (b) the sum of (i) Debt Service in respect of all Indebtedness, plus (ii) Preferred Dividends
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT A
Unencumbered Debt Service Coverage Ratio
(a) Unencumbered NOI minus Unencumbered Capital Expenditures to (b) Unencumbered Debt Service
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT A
Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 0.60 to 1.0
Indebtedness of the Companies (consolidated) to Total Asset Value
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio
≥ 1.50 to 1.0
(Adjusted EBITDA - Capital Expenditures) to (Debt Service + Preferred Dividends)
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Unencumbered Debt Service Coverage Ratio
≥ 1.50 to 1.0
(Unencumbered NOI - Unencumbered Capital Expenditures) to Unencumbered Debt Service
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Secured Indebtedness
≤ 40%
Aggregate amount of all Secured Debt of the Companies to Total Asset Value
SEVENTH AMENDED AND RESTATED REVOLVING CREDIT AGRE
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
Not specified, but a maximum ratio.
Indebtedness of the Companies (consolidated) / Total Asset Value
AMENDED AND RESTATED GLOBAL SENIOR CREDIT AGREEMEN
16 additional covenants on file
CUSIP identifiers (30 on file)
74340XCK5 74340XBM2 74340XBP5 74340XBZ3 74340XCD1 74340XCT6 74340XBT7 74340XBV2 74340XCB5 74341EAK8 74340XBS9 74340XBU4 +18 more
Cross-default risk
19 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.5x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — The most significant overarching risk relates to social, geopolitical, and econo
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% PLD trades at 35-36x TTM earnings — well above the industrial REIT sector average of ~16x and above ... $140.87 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 75% PLD is a high-quality industrial REIT, but the near-term setup is not compelling: the stock trades a... $140.87 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 100% PLD has strong operational fundamentals — record Q1 2026 leasing of 64M sq ft and 95.3% occupancy — ... $144.54 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% PLD is trading within 3% of its 52-week high at $143.47 with a TTM P/E of 36x and a forward P/E of 4... $143.47 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.5/10 100% PLD is trading essentially at its 52-week high and only modestly below consensus target, while valua... $145.90 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 75% PLD is a best-in-class industrial REIT with genuine Q1 2026 operational momentum — core FFO guided t... $140.53 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% PLD has strong operating quality and benefits from a supportive macro backdrop for risk assets, but ... $144.09 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% PLD has strong quality and benefits from a supportive macro backdrop for risk assets, but the stock ... $141.41 Sched.
Apr 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% PLD delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat with record leasing of 64M sq ft, raised 2026 Core FFO guidance ... $142.34 Event
Apr 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.8/10 50% PLD delivered an operationally outstanding Q1 2026 — record leasing of 64M sq ft, EPS beat, guidance... $144.95 Event
Apr 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% PLD delivered a genuinely strong Q1 2026 beat — record leasing of 64M sq ft, Core FFO of $1.50/share... $142.17 Event
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.9/10 75% PLD is trading at $137.19, roughly 3.4% below the consensus price target of $141.90, with Q1 2026 ea... $137.19 Sched.
Showing last 12 signals
PLD Prologis Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-13)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$8,790,127 thousand 7.18% YoY
? Operating income
$4,357,864 thousand
? Net income
$3,322,349 thousand
? Free cash flow
$4,118,882 thousand
? EPS (diluted)
$1.05
? Dividend per share
$4.04
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
4.83%
WACC
9.32%
🔴 VALUE DESTROYER — EVA Spread: -4.49%
? WACC
9.32%
? Cost of equity
11.62%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.31%
? Capital structure
E: 79.68% / D: 20.32%
? ROIC
4.83%
? EVA
-$3.9B
? NOPAT
$4.2B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.