MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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PFE
Pfizer Inc.
Health Care · NYSE: PFE · MSJ-100
$24.25
▼ $0.23  (▼0.94%) today
After-hours: $24.26  ▲ 0.04%
Headquarters
New York, NY
Employees
75,000
Founded
1849
CEO
Dr. Albert Bourla D.V.M., Ph.D.
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $28.79
$24 now
Bear $24 Avg $29 Bull $35
Price history Free
Volume
40.86M
Avg volume
40.48M
Open
$24.37
Day high / low
$24.43 / $24.14
Market cap
$138.2B
About this company
Free
Pfizer Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, manufacturing, and selling innovative medicines and vaccines. The company aims to extend and improve lives by advancing wellness, prevention, treatments, and cures for various diseases across developed and emerging markets.
Its main products include a wide range of biopharmaceutical therapies.
Business segments
10-K
Biopharma
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
May 05, 2026Cautious
● Full transcript on file
Albert Bourla (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), David M. Denton (Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President), Angela Hwang (Chief Commercial Officer and President, Global Biopharmaceuticals Business), Mikael Dolsten (Chief Scientific Officer and President, Worldwide Research, Development and Medical)
Key metrics
Pfizer reported Q1 2026 revenues of approximately $14.5 billion with an operational increase of about 2% year over year.[1] Adjusted diluted EPS was slightly above consensus expectations, supported by stronger performance in key therapeutic areas including vaccines, oncology, and cardiovascular/metabolic. COVID-related product revenue declined sign
Forward guidance
Management guided to full-year 2026 revenues in the mid-teens billions, reflecting low-single-digit operational growth excluding COVID-19 products, and reiterated confidence in achieving its 2026 revenue target range supported by the core biopharma portfolio and new launches. They maintained full-year adjusted EPS guidance, citing continued cost di
Notable Q&A
One notable Q&A exchange involved an analyst asking about the trajectory of the COVID-19 franchise and how waning demand might affect 2026–2027 earnings; management responded that while COVID revenues would continue to decline, the impact was already embedded in guidance and that the company’s growt
Surprise items
The call highlighted that core revenues excluding COVID products grew modestly despite broader industry pricing pressures, which was a mild positive surprise relative to some expectations for flat performance. Conversely, management’s commentary on a steeper-than-expected decline in COVID revenues a
Q4 2025 (Feb 03, 2026) · Cautious
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$28.75 / $23.11
Forward P/E
8.6×
Trailing 18.5×
Dividend
$1.72 / share
Yield 7.03%
Analysts covering
26
Avg target $28.79
Beta
0.31
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
2.9%
Float shorted
Buy
36%
Hold
57%
Sell
7%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$62,579 million
-2% YoY
Operating margin
12.0%
Net income
$7,771 million
Free cash flow
$9,075 million
Dividend / share
$1.72
Total debt
$64,795 million
Cash: $1,142 million
CapEx guidance
$2.5 billion
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:100%
Cash conversion:1.5x
Non-recurring items: Amortization of intangible assets: $4,874 million, Acquisition-related items (including transaction, integration, restructuring charges): $1,285 million, Restructuring charges, inventory write-offs, implementation costs, and additional depreciation for asset restructuring: $1,554 million, Certain asset impairments: $4,940 million
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-26
Xavier sector view:
Health Care
See journal
View Health Care journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.1 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
PFE sits in a valuation no-man's land — TTM P/E of 18.5x is roughly fair vs. the pharma industry average of ~15x, but the forward P/E of ~8.5x reflects a steep earnings cliff as COVID product revenues decline and LOE headwinds intensify in 2026. With Q2 earnings not until August 4 and BofA cutting its price target to $26 just this week alongside HSBC downgrading to Hold, there is no clear near-term re-rating catalyst in the 5-day window. The 7%+ dividend yield provides a floor, but the stock has underperformed its pharma peers by ~15% over the past month, signaling persistent institutional skepticism.
Strongest bull case
A 7.07% dividend yield (with the ex-date approaching July 24) provides near-term income support, and the IBRANCE label expansion plus PADCEV/Keytruda FDA approval in MIBC are concrete commercial wins that modestly expand the addressable market. AstraZeneca's ATTR-CM trial failure also clears competitive space for Pfizer's existing franchise in that indication.
Strongest bear case
EPS is tracking -12.8% YoY for Q2 2026, full-year revenue guidance of $59.5–$62.5B implies a ~$2–3B top-line step-down vs. 2025, the CFO is departing on August 15, BofA just lowered its price target to $26, HSBC downgraded to Hold this week, and the sigvotatug vedotin Phase 3 NSCLC trial missed its primary OS endpoint — all compounding into a pre-earnings overhang with no identifiable 5-day catalyst to reverse the trend.
What the market may be missing
The market may be underweighting the asymmetric optionality of Pfizer's obesity pipeline: berobenatide's Phase 2b data showed up to 15.9% weight loss with monthly dosing — a meaningfully differentiated profile vs. weekly injectables. If Phase 3 VESPER data accelerates the timeline toward 2028 approval and the GLP-1 market re-rates the asset, PFE's forward multiple could compress sharply from its current deep discount. Near-term, this is not a 5-day catalyst, but the market appears to be pricing zero probability on Pfizer becoming a serious GLP-1 competitor.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_PFE_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
PFE
current
$24.25 ▼0.9%
ISRG
NEUTRAL
$406.78
ABBV
NEUTRAL
$248.08
JNJ
NEUTRAL
$256.98
DXCM
NEUTRAL
$72.86
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-13
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-01
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Dr. Albert Bourla
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
DA
Dr. Albert Bourla
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · Pfizer Inc.
CEO since 2019
Total compensation
$27,585,301 ▲ 11.9% YoY
Prior year: $24,648,727
Pay vs performance
MODERATE
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
55%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
11/12 (92%)
Diversity: 42% (2 women)
Base salary$1,800,000
Bonus / incentive$5,400,000
Stock awards$9,442,705
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Industry EventMar 01, 2025
Pfizer's 175th Anniversary Celebration Source ↗
Dr. Albert Bourla D.V.M., Ph.D. (CEO) · LinkedIn
CEO Albert Bourla kicked off Pfizer's 175th anniversary with a video on the company's journey and a LinkedIn message. He welcomed the celebration of 175 years at the forefront of medical and pharmaceutical breakthroughs. Bourla noted how these innova
“For 175 years, Pfizer has been at the forefront of medical and pharmaceutical breakthroughs that have not only changed patient lives but have impacted the world.”
Investor DayDec 31, 2024
Pfizer's 2024 Annual Review Source ↗
Dr. Albert Bourla D.V.M., Ph.D. (CEO) · Pfizer Inc.
CEO Albert Bourla showcased Pfizer's recent highlights and accomplishments in the 2024 Annual Review. He highlighted the company's recognition as one of Fast Company’s Most Innovative Companies. Bourla emphasized Pfizer's commitment to advancing inno
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for PFE
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Dr. Albert BourlaChairman and Chief Executive Officer$27,585,301
David M. DentonChief Financial Officer, EVP$9,670,182
Dr. Chris BoshoffChief Scientific Officer and President, Research & Development$10,006,039
Aamir MalikChief U.S. Commercial Officer, EVP$9,429,227
Douglas M. LanklerChief Legal Officer, EVP$9,106,276
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-12
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Adopt an Independent Chair Policy
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
0.71x
Debt / Equity
2.9x
Interest coverage
3.6x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$62.7B
Net debt
31%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
2.1x
24-06
8.3x
24-09
6.7x
25-03
7.1x
25-06
7.7x
25-09
7.2x
26-03
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.5x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Competitive Product Launches and Pricing Pressures
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% PFE sits in a valuation no-man's land — TTM P/E of 18.5x is roughly fair vs. the pharma industry ave... $24.17 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% Pfizer screens inexpensive on forward earnings and trades close to its 52-week low, but that discoun... $24.17 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 75% PFE's Q1 2026 earnings beat and guidance reaffirmation provide near-term earnings stability, but the... $26.04 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 75% PFE trades at ~9x forward P/E against a 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.80–$3.00, making it statist... $26.18 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% PFE trades at ~9x forward earnings with a ~6.8% dividend yield, which screens as cheap, but the disc... $25.90 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% PFE trades at ~9x forward earnings with a ~6.8% dividend yield, offering genuine value optically, bu... $25.33 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 100% Pfizer screens optically inexpensive on forward earnings and trades below analyst target, but the ma... $25.68 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% PFE trades at 26.33 with Q1 2026 earnings due May 5 — a binary near-term event. The forward P/E of ~... $26.33 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.2/10 100% PFE is range-bound in the $24–$29 band with limited near-term breakout catalysts in the next 5 tradi... $26.92 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
PFE Pfizer Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-26)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$62,579 million -2% YoY
? Operating income
$7,520 million
? Net income
$7,771 million
? Free cash flow
$9,075 million
? EPS (diluted)
$0.47
? Dividend per share
$1.72
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
4.38%
WACC
4.33%
🟡 NEUTRAL — EVA Spread: 0.05%
? WACC
4.33%
? Cost of equity
5.94%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.88%
? Capital structure
E: 68.21% / D: 31.79%
? ROIC
4.38%
? EVA
$83M
? NOPAT
$6.7B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: XBRL, invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.