MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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NEM
Newmont Corporation
Materials · NYSE: NEM · MSJ-100
$94.75
▲ $1.65  (▲1.77%) today
After-hours: $94.91  ▲ 0.17%
Headquarters
Denver, CO
Employees
17,500
Founded
1921
CEO
Ms. Natascha Viljoen BEng (PrEng), EMBA
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $135.81
$95 now
Bear $67 Avg $136 Bull $175
Price history Free
Volume
7.40M
Avg volume
8.00M
Open
$97.81
Day high / low
$98.19 / $94.25
Market cap
$101.2B
About this company
Free
Newmont Corporation is a leading global gold producer with significant mining operations across multiple continents. The company also produces copper, silver, lead, and zinc, focusing on sustainable and responsible mining practices to create value and improve lives.
Business segments
10-K
Lihir Cadia Tanami Boddington Ahafo South Ahafo North Merian Cerro Negro Yanacocha Peñasquito Red Chris Brucejack Nevada Gold Mines
Recent News
Loading news...
Investor day:
Intel
Free
Jul 23, 2026Neutral
● Full transcript on file
Key metrics
Forward guidance
Notable Q&A
Surprise items
(May 12, 2026) · Q1 2026 (Apr 25, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$134.88 / $55.37
Forward P/E
8.7×
Trailing 12.1×
Dividend
$1.04 / share
Yield 1.12%
Analysts covering
21
Avg target $135.81
Beta
0.48
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
2.1%
Float shorted
Buy
82%
Hold
14%
Sell
5%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$22,669 million
21.33% YoY
Operating margin
48.4%
Net income
$7,085 million
Free cash flow
$7,299 million
Dividend / share
$1.01
Total debt
$5,115 million
Cash: $7,647 million
CapEx guidance
Tanami Expansion 2: $1,700-$1,800 million; Cadia Panel Caves (PC2-3 and PC1-2): $2,000-$2,400 million.
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:1.5x
Non-recurring items: Net gain on completed divestments from assets held for sale ($1,066 million gain), Impairment charges, primarily at Yanacocha ($842 million), Change in fair value of investments and options ($604 million gain), Restructuring and severance costs ($186 million)
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-19
Xavier sector view:
Materials
See journal
View Materials journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 5.8 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
NEM trades at a compelling forward P/E of ~8.7x with a 53% YoY EPS growth expected on July 23, and record Q1 FCF of $3.1B supports the bull case. However, gold is in a confirmed near-term downtrend — off 26% from January's $5,598 peak to ~$4,140 — with ~58% market-implied odds of a September Fed rate hike, rising inflation at 4.2%, and ETF outflows creating a hostile macro backdrop for the primary revenue driver. The stock itself is 29% below its 52-week high, trading well below analyst consensus of ~$136, but multiple brokers (Jefferies, RBC, BofA) have been cutting targets in the past week, signaling fading conviction.
Strongest bull case
Record $3.1B Q1 2026 FCF, a $6B buyback authorization, and a 53% projected YoY EPS surge at the July 23 earnings report create a powerful pre-earnings catalyst at a cheap 8.7x forward P/E — if gold stabilizes near $4,140, NEM is genuinely undervalued relative to cash generation.
Strongest bear case
Gold is trading at a critical technical neckline (~$4,200) of a weekly head-and-shoulders pattern; a confirmed weekly close below that level targets $2,575–$2,750 (a ~35% drop), which would devastate NEM's earnings trajectory — and with 58% probability of a September Fed rate hike driving the macro, gold faces its worst fundamental headwind since 2022.
What the market may be missing
The market is treating NEM as a pure gold beta play, but the new leadership team (CEO Viljoen, CFO Tabolt, COO all effective July 1) is an inflection point that could re-rate the stock on operational execution independent of gold price — specifically, 2026 is expected to be a production trough with growth resuming in 2027 toward 6M oz; if Q2 earnings on July 23 show cost discipline and production trajectory beats, the stock could re-rate on fundamentals even in a flat gold environment.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_NEM_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
NEM
current
$94.75 ▲1.8%
MLM
NEUTRAL
$577.72
FCX
NEUTRAL
$61.52
APD
NEUTRAL
$299.53
CF
NEUTRAL
$113.49
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-06
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-06-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-03
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-03
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Tom Palmer
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
TP
Tom Palmer
President & Chief Executive Officer · Newmont Corporation
CEO since 2019-10-01
Total compensation
$15,625,168 ▲ 20.5% YoY
Prior year: $12,965,126
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
87%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
11/12 (92%)
Diversity: 58% (5 women)
Base salary$1,435,000
Bonus / incentive$3,339,604
Stock awards$10,094,351
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Investor DayMay 12, 2026
Newmont Corporation Q1 2026 Earnings Results Announcement Source ↗
Ms. Natascha Viljoen BEng (PrEng), EMBA (CEO) · Newmont Corporation
CEO Natascha Viljoen announced Newmont's Q1 2026 earnings results, highlighting strong production growth and cost efficiencies across key mining operations. She discussed strategic advancements in sustainable mining practices and portfolio optimizati
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Natascha Viljoen 2025 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

To Our Shareholders,

It is my honor to address you for the first time as Chief Executive Officer of Newmont Corporation. I officially assumed this role on January 1, 2026, following my appointment as President and Chief Operating Officer in September 2025. I am deeply grateful to Tom Palmer for his leadership and stewardship during his tenure, to our Board of Directors for their confidence in me, and to all Newmont employees for the privilege of leading this remarkable company.

SAFETY: OUR FOUNDATIONAL COMMITMENT

Before discussing our achievements, I must begin with our foundational safety work. While I am pleased to report that, due to the dedication and vigilance of every team member across our global operations, we achieved zero fatalities in 2025, I am saddened that, in early 2026, we tragically lost a colleague at our TE-2 project in Tanami. This loss is a stark reminder that our recent success cannot become a substitute for continued discipline, it only raises the bar for us and does not lower the need for rigor across all of our sites and processes to ensure that each member of our team goes home safely.

In 2025, we launched Always Safe, our unified approach to health, safety and wellbeing. Operational excellence begins with ensuring every team member returns home safely after every shift. Our success as a company is built on this foundation, and we will protect and strengthen it.

RECORD FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND SHAREHOLDER RETURNS

2025 was a transformative year for Newmont, defined by disciplined execution focused on safety, costs and productivity. Our world-class portfolio of high-quality operations delivered exceptional results while taking meaningful steps to reduce our overall cost base.

We delivered record annual earnings and free cash flow, supported by both favorable gold market conditions and meaningful operational results. Our share price reached an all-time high of $105.78 on December 26, 2025, reflecting our strong sector positioning and disciplined delivery.

We are committed to delivering sustainable value to our shareholders through disciplined capital allocation. In 2025, we completed the initial $3.0 billion share repurchase program announced in 2024, repurchasing $2.3 billion during the year. Recognizing our strong financial position, we announced an additional $3.0 billion share repurchase program. We also returned $1.1 billion to shareholders through regular dividends, consistent with our commitment to providing reliable cash returns.

We maintained a resilient and flexible balance sheet with a net cash position, providing us with financial strength and optionality as we pursue our strategic priorities. This financial discipline positions us to thrive sustainably while driving margin expansion.

OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE ACROSS OUR PORTFOLIO

Our strong execution delivered 5.7 million ounces of attributable gold from our core portfolio, meeting and improving upon the guidance we provided throughout the year. This performance reflects the core of our 2025 success: operational discipline at our producing assets and strategic advancement of our key projects. Our operating teams delivered consistent production while controlling costs, and our project teams achieved critical milestones that position us for future value creation. This balanced execution - optimizing today's performance while building tomorrow's pipeline - underscores the operational discipline that will define Newmont going forward.

Throughout 2025, we advanced key strategic initiatives that enhanced our portfolio and competitive position:

  • We completed strategic asset reviews that connect our world-class endowments to disciplined long-term mine plans while driving immediate operational improvements through focused productivity initiatives.
  • We completed our divestment program, focusing capital on our highest-return assets and strengthening our operational foundation.
  • Our cost-savings and productivity initiatives delivered meaningful results in 2025, establishing a more sustainable cost structure and ensuring our organization is positioned for disciplined execution ahead.
  • We celebrated the opening of Ahafo North and a 10 million ounce production milestone at Ahafo South, reinforcing the quality of our Ghana operations and the trusted relationships we have built.
  • We completed shaft development at Tanami – a major project milestone that positions the site for continued long-term production.
  • We completed a successful rescue mission at Red Chris, ensuring three contract drillers were returned safely to the surface and to their families.
  • We added reserves and resources at several sites, reinforcing the quality and longevity of our portfolio.

Whatever the external environment brings, our portfolio quality, operational discipline and financial strength position us to deliver value across market cycles. Over our nearly 105-year history, Newmont's strength has always been our ability to adapt and transform. That resilience defines us today and will carry us forward.

LOOKING AHEAD WITH CONFIDENCE

I'm honored to lead Newmont as we chart our path forward. We're committed to continuing Newmont's legacy while embracing the transformation necessary to remain the world's leading gold company. Our focus is clear: we will be the best operators of our world-class assets, delivering consistently, efficiently and safely.

Thank you for your continued confidence and support. I am excited and determined to lead Newmont into its next chapter, delivering sustainable value for all stakeholders and building a safer, stronger and more profitable company for the future.

With gratitude,

Natascha Viljoen
President and Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses clear confidence in the company's record financial performance, disciplined execution, strong balance sheet, and future vision, using phrases like 'record annual earnings,' 'all-time high,' and 'world's leading gold company,' despite acknowledging a recent safety incident.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Safety & Wellbeing
#2Operational Excellence & Productivity
#3Financial Performance & Shareholder Returns
#4Portfolio Enhancement & Future Value Creation
#5Leadership & Future Vision
6 named projects & initiatives
TE-2 project in Tanami, Always Safe, Ahafo North, Ahafo South, Tanami, Red Chris
5 facility, 1 program
Forward-looking statements
9 total: 0 quantified, 8 directional, 1 vague
Capital allocation priority
Share Repurchases → Dividends → Strengthening Balance Sheet / Financial Strength → Pursuing Strategic Priorities / Margin Expansion
Key quotes
“Operational excellence begins with ensuring every team member returns home safely after every shift. Our success as a company is built on this foundation, and we will protect and strengthen it.”
Highlights safety as the absolute foundational priority for the company's success and a core value.
“We delivered record annual earnings and free cash flow, supported by both favorable gold market conditions and meaningful operational results.”
Summarizes the strong financial performance, attributing it to both market conditions and effective internal operations.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →3 letters on file (2025, 2024, 2023) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Peter WexlerChief Legal Officer & Interim Chief Financial Officer$4,393,916
Natascha ViljoenPresident & Chief Operating Officer$7,123,767
Peter TothChief Sustainability & Development Officer$4,256,836
Francois HardyChief Technical Officer$3,095,934
Karyn OvelmenFormer Chief Financial Officer$3,819,456
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-26
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of Directors
FOR
Pending
Advisory Vote to Approve Executive Compensation
FOR
Pending
Ratification of Auditors
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
7 debt instruments · 1 CUSIP · 7 unique covenants
0.15x
Debt / Equity
-0.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$-3.7B
Net debt
9%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit $4,000,000,000
AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2029-02-15 · Filed 2024-02-22
Floating · SOFR | Prime
Unsecured. The agreement contains negative pledges restricting the Borrower and its Subsidiaries from creating liens on their assets, with specified exceptions.
Revolver $3,000,000,000
Credit Agreement (as amended by the First Amendment, dated as of March 30, 2021 and as amended by th
Matures 2026-03-30 · Filed 2023-04-27
Floating | Fixed · SOFR | Prime | Fed Funds
Unsecured, but subject to negative pledges on Margin Stock and other assets as described in Article X. Guaranteed by Newmont USA Limited.
Bond $1,000,000,000
2.600% Sustainability-Linked Senior Notes due 2032
Matures 2032-07-15 · Filed 2021-12-21
Variable
unsecured
651639 AZ9
Credit $3,000,000,000
CREDIT AGREEMENT (as amended by the First Amendment, dated as of March 30, 2021) dated as of April 4
Matures 2026-03-30 · Filed 2021-03-31
Floating | Fixed · LIBOR | SOFR | Prime | Fed Funds
Unsecured, with specific cash collateralization requirements for LC Exposure in certain circumstances (e.g., Event of Default, over-exposure) and negative pledges on Margin Stock.
Bond $600.0 million
SECOND SUPPLEMENTAL INDENTURE dated as of August 23, 2019 to INDENTURE dated as of March 22, 2005
Matures 2035-12-31 · Filed 2019-08-29
Fixed
unsecured
651639AE6
Bond $1,726,316,000
Indenture for 3.625% Notes due 2021, 3.700% Notes due 2023, and 5.450% Notes due 2044
Matures · Filed 2019-04-23
Fixed
Unsecured. The Indenture includes a 'Limitation on Liens' covenant, which requires the Notes to be secured equally and ratably if certain other Debt is secured by a Mortgage on Principal Property, unless specific exceptions apply.
1 additional agreement on file
Financial covenants
Maximum Total Indebtedness to Total Capitalization Ratio
≤ 62.5%
Total Indebtedness / Total Capitalization
AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Consolidated Indebtedness to Total Capitalization Ratio
≤ 62.5%
Total Indebtedness / Total Capitalization
Credit Agreement (as amended by the First Amendmen
Sustainability Performance Target 1
32% reduction relative to 2018 baseline
Scope 1 and 2 GHG Emissions reduction
2.600% Sustainability-Linked Senior Notes due 2032
Sustainability Performance Target 2
30% reduction relative to 2019 baseline
Scope 3 GHG Emissions reduction
2.600% Sustainability-Linked Senior Notes due 2032
Sustainability Performance Target 3
50% representation
Representation of women in senior leadership positions
2.600% Sustainability-Linked Senior Notes due 2032
Limitation on Liens
≤ 10% of Consolidated Net Tangible Assets
Aggregate principal amount of secured Debt plus Attributable Debt from Sale and Leaseback Transactions
Indenture for 3.625% Notes due 2021, 3.700% Notes
Limitation on Sale and Leaseback Transactions
Permitted if (1) Company could create Debt secured by a Mortgage on the Principal Property to be leased back in an amount equal to the Attributable Debt without equally and ratably securing the Notes pursuant to Section 4.08; OR (2) Company, within 180 days, applies an amount equal to the greater of (i) net proceeds of sale or (ii) fair market value of property to purchase other property/facilities/equipment or retire Funded Debt.
Attributable Debt with respect to Sale and Leaseback Transaction or net proceeds/fair market value of property
Indenture for 3.625% Notes due 2021, 3.700% Notes
CUSIP identifiers (1 on file)
651639AE6
Cross-default risk
5 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.5x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — A substantial or extended decline in gold, copper, silver, lead or zinc prices w
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% NEM trades at a compelling forward P/E of ~8.7x with a 53% YoY EPS growth expected on July 23, and r... $95.29 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 50% NEM screens inexpensive on earnings with a mid-teens trailing P/E and lower forward multiple, but th... $95.29 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 67% NEM has suffered a severe single-day drawdown of ~8%, breaking sharply below prior support and sitti... $99.71 Sched.
May 31, 2026 BULLISH 6.7/10 50% NEM trades at a compelling 9.6x forward P/E — a deep discount to both the S&P 500 and its own histor... $109.81 Sched.
May 24, 2026 BULLISH 6.5/10 50% NEM trades at a deeply discounted 13.96x TTM P/E with a forward P/E of just 9.4x — among the cheapes... $107.64 Sched.
May 17, 2026 BEARISH 6.8/10 75% NEM just suffered a sharp -6.25% single-day decline on elevated volume (~18% above average), reflect... $109.06 Sched.
May 10, 2026 BULLISH 7.1/10 75% NEM trades at a forward P/E of ~10x with record Q1 2026 free cash flow of $3.1B, a fresh $6B buyback... $116.51 Sched.
May 03, 2026 BULLISH 7.0/10 50% NEM trades at a deep discount (9.6x forward P/E) to intrinsic value despite record Q1 2026 free cash... $108.62 Sched.
May 01, 2026 BULLISH 7.2/10 75% NEM trades at a compelling 9.8x forward P/E with gold spot prices currently near ~$4,600/oz — far ab... $111.00 Sched.
Apr 24, 2026 BULLISH 7.8/10 75% NEM just delivered a massive Q1 2026 earnings beat — $2.90 adj. EPS vs. $2.18 consensus (33% beat) a... $111.06 Event
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 7.8/10 100% NEM is trading at $120.90 with a forward P/E of ~11.2x versus a TTM of ~18.9x, implying the market i... $120.90 Sched.
Showing last 11 signals
NEM Newmont Corporation
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-19)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$22,669 million 21.33% YoY
? Operating income
$10,961 million
? Net income
$7,085 million
? Free cash flow
$7,299 million
? EPS (diluted)
$3.00
? Dividend per share
$1.01
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
30.66%
WACC
6.76%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 23.90%
? WACC
6.76%
? Cost of equity
6.90%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
3.91%
? Capital structure
E: 95.22% / D: 4.78%
? ROIC
30.66%
? EVA
$7.5B
? NOPAT
$9.6B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.