MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
Information Technology · NYSE: MSFT · MSJ-100
$384.93
▼ $6.06  (▼1.55%) today
After-hours: $386.50  ▲ 0.41%
Headquarters
Redmond, WA
Employees
228,000
Founded
1975
CEO
Mr. Satya Nadella
Incorporated
Washington
Fiscal Year End
June
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $559.86
$385 now
Bear $400 Avg $560 Bull $870
Price history Free
Volume
27.86M
Avg volume
40.03M
Open
$382.50
Day high / low
$388.19 / $378.65
Market cap
$2.86T
About this company
Free
Microsoft is a technology company that develops and supports a wide range of software, services, devices, and AI-powered solutions. It focuses on cloud computing, productivity and collaboration, and personal computing, aiming to empower individuals and organizations globally.
Business segments
10-K
Productivity and Business Processes Intelligent Cloud More Personal Computing
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q3 FY2026 FY2026
Intel
Free
Apr 30, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Satya Nadella (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Amy Hood (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer), Jonathan (Operator/IR host) (Conference Call Moderator)
Key metrics
Revenue for Q3 FY2026 was **$82.9 billion**, up 18% year over year and 15% in constant currency.[1][2] Microsoft Cloud revenue exceeded **$54 billion**, rising 29% year over year, with Azure and other cloud services revenue up about 40% as reported and 39% in constant currency.[1][2] Earnings per share were **$4.27**, increasing 21% year over year
Forward guidance
Management guided to another year of **double-digit revenue and operating income growth in FY2027**, emphasizing continued strength in Microsoft Cloud and AI-driven workloads.[1] They highlighted an expansive AI opportunity and indicated that Azure and AI-related growth would remain elevated, supported by strong customer demand and ongoing infrastr
Notable Q&A
In the Q&A, analysts focused on **AI monetization and capital intensity**, asking how Microsoft would balance very high AI-related CapEx (with calendar 2026 CapEx expectations near $190 billion) against returns and margins; management responded that current investments are building durable AI and cl
Surprise items
The scale of AI-driven revenue was notable, with AI business ARR surpassing **$37 billion** and growing 123% year over year, underscoring faster-than-expected commercialization of AI services.[1][2] Management’s explicit guidance for **another year of double-digit revenue and operating income growth
Q3 2026 (Apr 29, 2026) · Confident Q2 FY2026 (Jan 23, 2026) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$555.45 / $349.20
Forward P/E
19.9×
Trailing 23.0×
Dividend
$3.64 / share
Yield 0.93%
Analysts covering
55
Avg target $559.86
Beta
1.13
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.2%
Float shorted
Buy
95%
Hold
5%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$281,724 million
15% YoY
Operating margin
45.6%
Net income
$101,832 million
Free cash flow
$71,611 million
Dividend / share
$3.32
Total debt
$43,151 million
Cash: $30,242 million
CapEx guidance
The company has committed $32.1 billion for future construction of new buildings, building improvements, and datacenters.
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:60%
Cash conversion:1.3x
Non-recurring items: Acquisition of Activision Blizzard, Inc. for $75.4 billion in fiscal year 2024, impacting fiscal year 2025 results., Net recognized losses on equity method investments, including OpenAI, of $4,725 million., Notices of Proposed Adjustment (NOPAs) from the IRS seeking $28.9 billion plus penalties and interest related to intercompany transfer pricing for tax years 2004-2013, which the company is vigorously contesting.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2025-07-30
Xavier sector view:
Information Technology
See journal
View Information Technology journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.3 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
MSFT trades at ~25x TTM P/E and ~21.5x forward P/E — not cheap but not stretched given its $627B contracted revenue backlog and strong Q3 FY2026 beat. However, the stock is already 25% off its 52-week high, and near-term headwinds — FTC investigation into cloud/AI bundling practices, a Trump executive order on AI model review programs, a June 1 Copilot outage, and a neutral-to-bearish macro regime — cap directional conviction over the next 5 trading days. The analyst consensus target of ~$561 implies ~35% upside, but the gap between price and target has been persistent and is not a near-term catalyst in itself.
Strongest bull case
Strong Q3 FY2026 earnings beat with robust Azure and AI segment growth, a $627B contracted revenue backlog, and a forward P/E of ~21.5x that is actually reasonable for a high-quality compounder with durable AI monetization underway — the valuation has compressed meaningfully from the 52-week high.
Strongest bear case
The FTC has broadened its investigation into Microsoft's cloud, AI, and software bundling practices — a regulatory escalation that, combined with a Trump executive order requiring AI model review submissions, introduces headline risk and potential operational friction precisely as Microsoft is scaling its $190B AI infrastructure buildout, threatening near-term sentiment.
What the market may be missing
The market may be underweighting the capital intensity risk: property and equipment on the balance sheet surged from ~$205B to ~$283B in just nine months (10-Q data), while short-term investments declined from $64B to $46B, signaling an aggressive capex burn cycle. If Azure growth moderates even modestly, the return on this infrastructure spend will be questioned and consensus estimates revised down — the bull case depends entirely on AI revenue acceleration that has yet to fully materialize in margins.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BULLISH
msj100_MSFT_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
MSFT
current
$384.93 ▼1.6%
ADBE
NEUTRAL
$223.64
AMD
NEUTRAL
$557.89
ORCL
NEUTRAL
$140.64
AVGO
NEUTRAL
$399.97
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-01
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-16
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-12
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-12
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Satya Nadella
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
SN
Satya Nadella
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · Microsoft Corporation
CEO since 2014
Total compensation
$96,496,790 ▲ 22.0% YoY
Prior year: $79,106,183
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
91%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
11/12 (92%)
Base salary$2,500,000
Bonus / incentive$9,555,000
Stock awards$84,245,496
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
TestimonyMay 11, 2026
Elon Musk vs. OpenAI Trial Source ↗
Mr. Satya Nadella (CEO) · Federal Courthouse, Oakland, California
Satya Nadella testified about Microsoft's investment in OpenAI, expressing pride in the profitable stake that grew from $13 billion to an estimated $135 billion. He highlighted how the investment supported OpenAI's nonprofit arm, creating one of the
“"Very proud" of the investment; "It has worked out well because we took the risk"; "one of the largest, most well-funded nonprofits in the world."”
TestimonyMay 11, 2026
Elon Musk vs. OpenAI Trial - Nadella Testimony Source ↗
Mr. Satya Nadella (CEO) · Federal Courthouse, Oakland, California
Nadella arrived to testify in the high-profile court battle between Elon Musk and OpenAI, with former OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever also appearing. The testimony focused on Microsoft's role and investments in OpenAI amid allegations of missio
TestimonyMay 11, 2026
OpenAI Trial Resumes Source ↗
Mr. Satya Nadella (CEO) · Federal Courthouse, Oakland, California
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella took the witness stand as the OpenAI trial continued, addressing key issues in the dispute with Elon Musk. Testimony likely covered Microsoft's control expectations and investments in OpenAI. The session was reported live
“"expect to have control over OpenAI"”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Satya Nadella 2025 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

Dear shareholders, colleagues, customers, and partners:

Fifty years after our founding, Microsoft is once again at the heart of a generational moment in technology as we

find ourselves in the midst of the AI platform shift. More than any transformation before it, this generation of AI is

radically changing every layer of the tech stack, and we are changing with it.

Across the company, we are accelerating our pace of innovation and adapting to both a new tech stack and a new

way of working. We are delivering our current platforms at scale while building the next generation, always striving to

create more value for our customers, our partners, and the world.

Striking this balance is hard work, and few companies over the years have been able to do it. To succeed, we must

continue to think in decades but execute in quarters, approaching each day with the humility and curiosity required

to continuously improve, while being guided by our bold vision for the future.

Financially, it was a year of record performance. Revenue was $281.7 billion, up 15 percent. Operating income grew

17 percent to $128.5 billion. And Azure surpassed $75 billion in revenue for the first time, up 34 percent. These

results reflect the growing demand for our platform and the trust customers are placing in us. We take neither for

granted.

We must earn our permission to operate every day, in every country, every community, and every customer

interaction. That’s why we remain grounded in our mission: to empower every person and every organization on

the planet to achieve more.

Imagine a world where every person can get help from a researcher, a coder, or an analyst on demand. Not just

information, but deep, contextual expertise paired with action. Or where every organization, no matter its size or

sector, can reinvent employee experiences, reimagine customer engagement, reshape business processes, and bend

the curve on innovation for their people, businesses, and industries. This is the new frontier and how we will unlock

the next level of productivity and growth for the world.

But it is not some far off vision—we are already seeing what’s possible when AI reaches the frontlines of human

potential, helping small businesses become more productive, multinationals more competitive, nonprofits more

effective, governments more efficient, and improving healthcare and education outcomes.

To share just a few examples across industries: Mercy, one of the largest health systems in the US, has saved

caregivers over 100,000 hours by automatically documenting physician-patient encounters. As one physician put it:

“the best thing to happen to my practice in 10 years.” A grandmother in Japan, who lost her hearing at age two, can

now communicate with her voice, thanks to an AI app. A judge in Colombia is using Copilot to expedite due process

and help tackle a backlog of court cases. Barclays Bank is putting AI in the hands of 100,000 employees, transforming

the employee experience by simplifying how they access information and get things done. Ralph Lauren is helping

customers find the perfect look for any occasion, thanks to a new conversational shopping experience. Carvana has

reduced inbound calls per sale by 45 percent, freeing its staff to focus on complex, high-value support.

These examples, and so many others like them, are made possible by our clear focus on our priorities, our

responsibility, and our culture.

OUR PRIORITIES

To deliver on our mission, we remain focused on three core business priorities as our North Star: security, quality, and

AI innovation.

Security and quality are non-negotiable. Our infrastructure and services are mission critical for the world. This year,

we made significant progress across both our Secure Future Initiative (SFI) and Quality Excellence Initiative (QEI), but

we recognize our work here is never done. We must continuously raise the bar for ourselves and our customers.

Security

Through SFI, we have dedicated the equivalent of 34,000 full-time engineers to our highest-priority security work. We

strengthened identity protections, secured our networks and systems, enhanced threat detection and response, and

embedded secure-by-design practices across everything we build.

Quality

With QEI, we created frameworks that increase accountability and accelerate progress against our engineering

objectives to ensure we deliver durable, high quality-experiences at global scale. This includes improvements to

change management, incident management, platform resiliency, and service health.

Together, these initiatives are laying the foundation for a renaissance of our engineering culture, where we build

planet-scale systems that power the world, with the security and quality they require.

AI innovation

At the same time, we have made major advances in AI innovation, including across two foundational areas: our Cloud

and AI infrastructure, and our family of Copilots and agents.

Our Cloud and AI infrastructure

We continue to lead the AI infrastructure wave. We opened new datacenters across six continents and now operate

more than 400 datacenters in 70 regions, more than any other cloud provider. This year alone, we added over two

gigawatts of new capacity. Every Azure region is now AI-first and can support liquid cooling, increasing the fungibility

and the flexibility of our fleet. And just last month, we announced the world’s most powerful AI datacenter, Fairwater

in southeastern Wisconsin, which will deliver 10x the performance of the world’s fastest supercomputer today.

We are also driving and benefiting from compounding improvements in silicon, systems, and models to improve

performance and efficiency. And we continue to invest in sovereign cloud offerings to meet the unique data

residency needs of governments and industries worldwide.

We have made meaningful progress on the next frontier in cloud systems: quantum. We announced Majorana-1, the

first quantum chip with a topological core, and deployed the world’s first operational Level 2 quantum computer in

partnership with Atom Computing.

In data and analytics, Microsoft Fabric is becoming the unified platform for the AI era. It is now our fastest-growing

analytics product ever, with 25,000 paid customers. OneLake spans all databases and clouds, including Power BI

semantic models, making it the best foundation for building enterprise AI applications.

We also introduced Azure AI Foundry, a platform to design, customize, and run powerful AI apps and agents.

Foundry includes access to more than 11,000 models from partners like OpenAI, Cohere, DeepSeek, Meta, Mistral,

xAI, and others, ensuring our customers can choose from the best frontier and open models in one place. Already,

80 percent of the Fortune 500 use Foundry for their AI workloads.

And this fall, we introduced our first in-house models: MAI-1 preview, our first foundation model trained end-to-end

in-house, as well as MAI-Voice-1 for natural voice generation and MAI-Image-1 for image generation.

Copilots and agents

Our Copilot family of products is helping people thrive at home, at school, and at work. This year, we surpassed

100 million monthly active users across both commercial and consumer.

We rolled out a major update to Microsoft 365 Copilot this spring, bringing together chat, search, create, notebooks,

and role-specific agents like Analyst and Researcher into a single experience. And earlier this month, we announced

Agent Mode, which allows you to start with a simple prompt and then work iteratively with Copilot—steering it as it

orchestrates multistep tasks to deliver high-quality Office documents, spreadsheets, and presentations.

Give Copilot a prompt like, “Run a full analysis on this sales data set. I want to understand some important insights to

help me make decisions about my business. Make it visual.” Agent Mode gets to work deciding which formulas to use,

producing new sheets, and creating data visualizations. It’s pretty remarkable.

Copilot Studio continues to grow as well, with more than 230,000 organizations using it to extend Microsoft 365

Copilot or to build their own agents using no-code/low-code tools.

In software development, GitHub Copilot now has more than 20 million users and has evolved into a peer

programmer, capable of executing tasks on our behalf asynchronously. In healthcare, Dragon Copilot is being used

to document millions of clinical encounters, saving precious time that healthcare providers can spend on patients,

not paperwork. And in security, we were the first in the industry to introduce AI agents that help defenders

autonomously manage high-volume security and IT tasks.

On the consumer front, Copilot is now integrated across Bing, Edge, GroupMe, MSN, Windows, and Xbox. We also

refreshed our Copilot consumer app this year as a more natural, conversational, and personal AI companion. One

highlight is Copilot Mode in Edge, which lets you chat directly with your open tabs.

More broadly, we continue to expand our reach with consumers. LinkedIn is now home to 1.2 billion members, and

we are bringing AI agents into the core workflows of sales, hiring, and learning. And across gaming, we have

500 million monthly active users across platforms and devices.

OUR RESPONSIBILITY

At Microsoft, we have always believed that we do well when the world around us does well. We demonstrate this,

year after year, by making progress on our commitments to create technology that benefits everyone on the planet,

along with the planet itself.

This means that as we drive the AI economy, we are also providing the skills and opportunities for everyone to

participate in it. That’s why we launched Microsoft Elevate this year, an initiative that unites our technology, skills,

research, and philanthropic investments, so AI can benefit every classroom, community, and cause. Over the next five

years, we will invest $4 billion in cash and AI cloud technology to schools, community and technical colleges, and

nonprofit organizations. And we will partner with organizations like UNICEF, Code.org, and more to extend AI skilling

opportunities to people around the globe.

Our skilling initiatives will help 20 million people earn AI credentials over the next two years, from foundational

fluency to advanced technical training. And to support our work with deeper research and policy insights, our new AI

Economy Institute will explore how AI is reshaping education and work, helping us bridge the gap between

technological innovation and societal impact.

We are also focused on empowering teachers and students with the latest AI tools, making Microsoft 365 Copilot

Personal free for 12 months for every college student in the United States. And we’re introducing new LinkedIn

courses for teachers and students, enabling them to earn LinkedIn certifications that will help boost their resumes

and open doors.

Across all of this, one thing is clear: People want technology they can trust. That’s why we are committed to driving

responsible AI innovation and building safe and secure technology. As we do, we are guided by our values of respect,

integrity, and accountability. They are built into the design of our software and services, the security of our data, our

privacy protections, and our engagement with employees, customers, suppliers, communities, and governments

around the world.

As a multinational company, we remain dedicated to creating jobs, promoting economic opportunities, and

strengthening cybersecurity, digital stability, sovereignty, and resilience globally. In Europe, we announced five

commitments to strengthen digital stability this year. They start with an expansion of our cloud and AI infrastructure,

so every country can compete in the global economy. And they include a promise to uphold Europe’s digital

resilience regardless of geopolitical and trade volatility.

Responsible business practices are embedded across our operations and supply chain. Following the UN Guiding

Principles on Business and Human Rights, we’ve strengthened our due diligence processes, expanded stakeholder

engagement, and launched new governance mechanisms to ensure accountability. Our second annual Responsible AI

Transparency Report highlighted our work to build and deploy AI responsibly. This includes developing new AI tools

and resources to help our customers innovate within evolving regulatory requirements.

Another key component of earning trust is contributing to a safer online ecosystem, including protecting those who

use our services from illegal and harmful content and conduct. We continue to take new steps to advance safety,

especially for children, while balancing our commitments to free expression and privacy. Over the past year, we’ve

focused on addressing risks related to abusive AI-generated content and partnered with StopNCII.org to detect

victim-reported imagery in Bing.

Our solutions, partnerships, and programs reach people and organizations of all abilities to help them thrive. More

than 5 million people have participated in our AI Skilling programs focused on accessibility. We launched new

technology to help people with disabilities play, work, and live—through an Adaptive Joystick for Xbox, sign

language detection in Teams, low-vision keyboards for Surface, and AI-powered visual descriptions in Windows.

2025 also marked the midpoint in our journey to become a carbon negative, water positive, zero waste company,

and to protect more land than we use. We are on track to meet many of our targets and continue to accelerate

progress for others.

Our renewable energy procurement increased from 1.8 gigawatts in 2020 to 34 gigawatts in 2024, and we contracted

nearly 30 million metric tons of carbon removal—playing a pivotal role in scaling the carbon removal market. We

provided more than 1.5 million people with clean water and sanitation and plan to replenish more than 100 million

cubic meters of water around the world. We are getting closer to zero waste through new Circular Centers, which

contribute to the reuse and recycling of nearly 91 percent of servers and components decommissioned from our

datacenters. And we’ve reached nearly 95 percent recyclability in our product packaging.

We are learning how to make AI more sustainable by design and improve AI-powered solutions. Platforms like our

Planetary Computer and our AI for Good Lab are helping us find new ways to address the world’s most pressing

challenges.

Making progress on these commitments takes time. But here, too—we are guided by a bold vision, thinking in

decades and executing in quarters.

OUR CULTURE

Amid this rapid progress, our culture is more important than ever. The AI platform shift is reshaping not just our

products and business models, but how we work.

Our growth mindset is essential to our ability to continue leading this AI era. It enables us to innovate both within

Microsoft and with those we serve. We must be learn-it-alls, willing to experiment, guided by evaluations, and

committed to continuous improvement. I am continually impressed by how our people do just that.

We are focused on being Customer Zero, applying AI to reduce toil and improve flow in our own work while creating

a playbook we can share with the world.

We’re also embracing a new way of working—one that expands job scopes, reduces handoffs, and gives teams tools

to scale productivity in nonlinear ways. This isn’t just about driving efficiency. It’s about empowering our people to

dream bigger and get to “job complete” faster, with less friction and greater impact than ever before.

Our employees also continue to find ways to bring their purpose and passion to the causes and communities they

care deeply about. This year, they volunteered over 1.2 million hours and gave $263 million (including company

match) to 37,000 nonprofit organizations in 110 countries.

**

In July, after we reported our earnings results—including surpassing $75 billion in annual Azure revenue for the first

time—I shared a reflection with all employees. Fifteen years ago, when we set out on our cloud journey, we had a bold

vision, and we persisted through all the ups and downs.

I asked our team: What are you working on today that, 15 years from now, you will look back on and say, “we got it

right”? Hundreds of answers poured in spanning near-term priorities and long-term ambitions alike:

“Helping the world be safe from cybercrime”

“Speech is now a standard human-machine interface”

“Using AI to improve the lived experience for people with disabilities”

“We changed the way people learn”

“Access to millions of agents powered by orders of magnitude larger models”

“Medical knowledge has become ambient, embedded in clinical workflows”

“We helped billions become skilled in AI”

These responses and so many others reflected a deep sense of purpose and belief in what’s possible. And that is

precisely what is needed for us to succeed.

Microsoft has an immense opportunity and responsibility—not just in building these futures, but in helping shape

the world’s future. And I’m confident that together, we can continue to think in decades and execute in quarters on

this journey to empower us all.

Satya Nadella

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

October 15, 2025

Xavier analysis
The letter consistently highlights record financial performance, leadership in the AI platform shift, and successful innovation, projecting a strong sense of future opportunity and capability, balanced with an understanding of ongoing effort.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1AI Platform Shift & Innovation
#2Security & Quality
#3Customer & Societal Impact / Responsibility (ESG)
#4Cloud Infrastructure & Scale
#5Culture & Talent
#6Financial Performance
53 named projects & initiatives
AI platform shift, Azure, Mercy, Copilot, Barclays Bank, Ralph Lauren +47 more
19 product, 10 partnership, 6 other, 6 r and d, 5 platform, 4 program, 2 facility, 1 strategic initiative
Forward-looking statements
19 total: 5 quantified, 7 directional, 7 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth (AI, Cloud & AI Infrastructure, R&D) → Strategic Partnerships (OpenAI, Atom Computing, etc.) → Social & Philanthropic Investments (Microsoft Elevate)
Key quotes
“Fifty years after our founding, Microsoft is once again at the heart of a generational moment in technology as we find ourselves in the midst of the AI platform shift.”
Sets the overarching strategic context for the company's current position and future direction, emphasizing AI as the core driver.
“To succeed, we must continue to think in decades but execute in quarters, approaching each day with the humility and curiosity required to continuously improve, while being guided by our bold vision f”
Articulates Microsoft's operating philosophy, balancing long-term strategic vision with rigorous, agile execution and a culture of learning.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →2 letters on file (2025, 2023) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Amy E. HoodExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer$29,481,551
Judson B. AlthoffExecutive Vice President and CEO Microsoft Commercial$28,198,734
Takeshi NumotoExecutive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer$11,876,630
Bradford L. SmithVice Chair and President$28,267,295
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2025-10-21
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
European Security Program Censorship Risk Audit
AGAINST
Pending
Report on Risks of Censorship in Generative Artificial Intelligence
AGAINST
Pending
Report on AI Data Usage Oversight
AGAINST
Pending
Report on Data Operations in Human Rights Hotspots
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
0.12x
Debt / Equity
52.7x
Interest coverage
0.1x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$17.0B
Net debt
7%
Debt / Assets
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.3x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Cyberattacks and security vulnerabilities, exacerbated by the increasing sophist
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Bullish
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% MSFT trades at ~25x TTM P/E and ~21.5x forward P/E — not cheap but not stretched given its $627B con... $416.67 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 67% MSFT is a high-quality mega-cap with durable AI and cloud leadership, but at ~26.8x trailing earning... $450.24 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% MSFT remains a high-quality large-cap with solid earnings and revenue growth, and its valuation is n... $418.57 Sched.
May 17, 2026 BULLISH 6.5/10 50% MSFT just reported a strong Q3 FY26 beat — EPS $4.27 vs. $4.07 consensus, revenue +18% YoY, Azure +4... $421.92 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.9/10 67% Microsoft is a high-quality mega-cap with solid earnings and a supportive macro backdrop, but at rou... $415.12 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.9/10 50% MSFT just delivered a strong Q3 FY2026 beat — Azure +40%, EPS $4.27 vs $4.06 est., AI ARR at $37B (+... $414.44 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.2/10 50% MSFT is trading ~33% below its 52-week high near multi-year support, with a forward P/E of ~20x — we... $370.87 Sched.
Showing last 7 signals
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2025-07-30)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$281,724 million 15% YoY
? Operating income
$128,528 million
? Net income
$101,832 million
? Free cash flow
$71,611 million
? EPS (diluted)
$4.27
? Dividend per share
$3.32
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
27.89%
WACC
10.36%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 17.53%
? WACC
10.36%
? Cost of equity
10.46%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
4.44%
? Capital structure
E: 98.31% / D: 1.69%
? ROIC
27.89%
? EVA
$75.6B
? NOPAT
$120.3B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.