MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
Industrials · NYSE: LMT · MSJ-100
$514.99
▼ $5.69  (▼1.09%) today
After-hours: $516.90  ▲ 0.37%
Headquarters
Bethesda, MD
Employees
123,000
Founded
1912
CEO
Mr. James D. Taiclet Jr.
Incorporated
Maryland
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $608.42
$515 now
Bear $487 Avg $608 Bull $756
Price history Free
Volume
698.5K
Avg volume
1.39M
Open
$518.36
Day high / low
$526.26 / $514.87
Market cap
$118.7B
About this company
Free
Lockheed Martin Corporation is a global aerospace and defense technology company that develops and delivers advanced military aircraft, missile defense systems, rotary and mission systems, and space technologies. The company provides integrated solutions for national security and scientific exploration to U.S. and international government customers.
Business segments
10-K
Aeronautics Missiles and Fire Control Rotary and Mission Systems Space
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q2 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Jul 23, 2026Neutral
Key metrics
No transcript-based quarterly metrics were available in the search results for Q2 2026. The only nearby data point in the results was analyst expectation of $7.23 EPS for the quarter, which is not a reported result.
Forward guidance
No earnings call transcript was found in the provided results for Q2 2026. The search results indicate the company was expected to report on 2026-07-23, but no spoken remarks or Q&A transcript source was available.
Notable Q&A
No Q&A transcript was found for this quarter in the provided results.
Surprise items
No transcript or webcast replay source was identified in the search results for the Q2 2026 call, so any stock-moving surprises cannot be confirmed from the available material.
Q1 2026 (Apr 22, 2026) · Cautious Q4 2025 (Jan 23, 2026) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$692.00 / $410.11
Forward P/E
16.1×
Trailing 25.2×
Dividend
$13.80 / share
Yield 2.65%
Analysts covering
19
Avg target $608.42
Beta
0.11
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.8%
Float shorted
Buy
33%
Hold
62%
Sell
5%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$75.048 billion
5.6% YoY
Operating margin
10.3%
Net income
$5.017 billion
Free cash flow
$6.908 billion
Dividend / share
$13.35
Total debt
$21.7 billion
Cash: $4.121 billion
CapEx guidance
Obligated capital expenditures of $638 million are expected to be incurred in 2026.
Earnings quality: LOW
Cash conversion:1.7x
Non-recurring items: Pension settlement charge of $479 million ($377 million after-tax) in connection with the transfer of gross defined benefit pension obligations to insurance companies in December 2025., Impairment and other charges totaling $66 million ($52 million after-tax) primarily for the write-off of fixed assets resulting from the U.S. Air Force’s Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) competition down-select decision., Reach-forward losses of $950 million on an ongoing classified program at Aeronautics business segment., Reach-forward losses of $570 million on Canadian Maritime Helicopter Program (CMHP) at Rotary and Mission Systems business segment.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-01-29
Xavier sector view:
Industrials
See journal
View Industrials journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.6 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
LMT sits 24% below its 52-week high and trades at a meaningful discount to analyst consensus ($523 vs. $625 target), supported by a robust 2026 contract stack exceeding $10B YTD including PAC-3, Aegis, NGI, and HIMARS awards. However, near-term earnings headwinds are real — Q1 2026 EPS fell 12% YoY, free cash flow went deeply negative at -$291M, and Q2 2026 consensus projects another YoY EPS decline — making it difficult to build high-conviction upside for a 5-day window without a near-term catalyst. The forward P/E of ~16x is genuinely attractive for a defense prime, but that discount exists for a reason given decelerating earnings and margin pressure.
Strongest bull case
Massive 2026 contract momentum — PAC-3 ($4.76B), Aegis Guam ($1.9B+), NGI facility opening, Canada HIMARS purchase, and PrSM propulsion milestone collectively signal a durable multi-year revenue ramp that the forward P/E of ~16x (a discount to the aerospace/defense industry average of 22x) does not yet fully price in.
Strongest bear case
Q1 2026 showed free cash flow of -$291M vs. +$1.4B in Q1 2025, EPS fell 12% YoY, and Q2 2026 consensus projects another ~2.7% EPS decline YoY — contract bookings are strong but execution and cash conversion are lagging, and the next earnings catalyst is not until July 21, leaving no near-term re-rating event in the 5-day window.
What the market may be missing
The contract definitization risk on the large undefinitized PAC-3 award ($4.8B) and the DoD's January 2026 executive order on 'warfighter-first' contracting accountability could compress margins on ramp contracts if cost structures are locked in before production efficiencies are realized — the bullish contract backlog story masks a potential margin-execution gap that the sell-side has not fully stress-tested.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BULLISH
msj100_LMT_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
LMT
current
$514.99 ▼1.1%
EMR
NEUTRAL
$138.88
CAT
NEUTRAL
$952.41
UPS
NEUTRAL
$112.47
HON
NEUTRAL
$226.42
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-15
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
8-K — 2026-05-13
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-04-23
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — James D. Taiclet
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
JD
James D. Taiclet
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer · Lockheed Martin Corporation
CEO since June 2020
Total compensation
$23,453,308 ▼ 1.3% YoY
Prior year: $23,753,914
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
92%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
8/9 (89%)
Base salary$1,751,000
Bonus / incentive
Stock awards$13,667,645
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Investor DayApr 23, 2026
Lockheed Martin Q1 2026 Earnings Call Source ↗
Mr. James D. Taiclet Jr. (CEO) · Lockheed Martin Corporation
James Taiclet discussed the Trump administration's support for the defense industry, characterizing current geopolitical conditions as a 'golden opportunity' for Lockheed Martin. He highlighted strong demand for defense products, billions in Pentagon
“"This is a golden opportunity right now based on who's in government" and cited officials' "willingness to change" and "the demand that they have for what we do and what our partners in our industry d”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
James D. Taiclet 2025 Annual Report CONFIDENT

Fellow Shareholders:

Extraordinary performance of Lockheed Martin's products and solutions throughout the year demonstrated why we are the trusted defense technology innovator for America and its allies. When it mattered most, we delivered the capabilities our soldiers, sailors, marines, airmen, and guardians needed to deter wider conflict, protect citizens and ensure a sustained military advantage in an increasingly complex global security environment.

2025 Combat-Proven Performance

During Operation Midnight Hammer, pilots flying the F-35 Lightning II and the F-22 Raptor stealth fighters provided the air dominance required for bombers to reach Iran's hardened nuclear sites.¹ Then and in missions since, our platforms operated essentially undetected in highly defended and contested airspace, underscoring the value of advanced stealth, superior electronic warfare and resilient broadband communications technologies.

Our systems were also integral to 100% effectively protecting American troops. When Iran retaliated with a salvo of ballistic missiles targeting U.S. forces stationed at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, Patriot missiles successfully intercepted the incoming threats.² This engagement occurred in a region also supported by THAAD and Aegis. Together, these systems form a multiple-layered defense shield protecting U.S. strategic assets and allied nations in the Middle East.

A clear display of American military might, this operation validated our customers' vision for modern deterrence and demonstrated what our four business areas Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS) and Space can deliver as one integrated company with unmatched integration, reliability and scale.

Unprecedented Demand

This performance has translated into unprecedented demand for Lockheed Martin's technology. We finished 2025 with a record backlog of nearly $194 billion, representing more than two-and-a-half years of sales. We were awarded $10.9 billion for CH-53K helicopters, $9.8 billion for Patriot Missile Segment Enhancement (PAC-3 MSE) missiles—the largest contracts in RMS and MFC history, respectively-$9.5 billion for JASSM and LRASM missiles, lots 18 and 19 for F-35 fighters, and contracts for critical capabilities in our Space business area, including the Next Generation Interceptor and the Fleet Ballistic Missile program. Elevated demand continued in 2026 with Lockheed Martin reaching landmark, seven-year agreements with the Department of War to triple PAC-3 MSE missile production and to quadruple THAAD production.

These wins reflect our customers' unwavering confidence in Lockheed Martin's ability to deliver, and we will meet the moment. We are maintaining sharp focus on operational execution-holding ourselves accountable for cost, quality and schedule, while strengthening supply chain resilience and expanding production capacity.

This focus helped us deliver solid financial results in 2025, summarized below.

Investing and Innovating

Lockheed Martin is significantly increasing our investments while maintaining our historical practice of using a disciplined and dynamic approach to capital allocation. Every investment decision is guided by our mission to provide decisive capability to our customers, and by our focus on growing the business and delivering shareholder value in 2026 and beyond.

  • Air Dominance: We are accelerating upgrades to the F-35 through Block 4 enhancements; advancing concepts informed by sixth-generation development; improving sensors, electronic warfare and data links; and integrating autonomous systems such as drone wingmen. In 2025, an F-22 pilot controlled an autonomous drone from the cockpit for the first time, demonstrating that the future of air dominance is here today.
  • Homeland Defense: Lockheed Martin is ready to help make the promise of the Golden Dome for America a reality. We are investing in our production capacity for our proven land-, sea- and space-based systems, as well as command and control technology. In December, the Space Force announced operational acceptance of the Long-Range Discrimination Radar, making this system officially available for ballistic missile defense. These systems can not only play an integral role in a Golden Dome architecture, but also in allied homeland defense systems-an important growth area for Lockheed Martin.
  • Transformation: Our strategic investments over many years have positioned Lockheed Martin to succeed under the Department of War's acquisition transformation framework. For example, we developed autonomous systems like the U-Hawk, Vectis and the Common Multi-Mission Truck ahead of formal requirements and with internal investment. We also continue to partner with leading tech companies—including Meta, IBM, NVIDIA, Verizon and others—to integrate cutting-edge commercial offerings into our defense platforms, enabling us to deliver more advanced solutions faster and more affordably.

Equally important, we recognize that we must evolve to help our customers transform. Through our 1LMX initiative, we are driving enterprise-wide modernization-adopting advanced digital tools, harnessing artificial intelligence, improving speed and affordability, and enhancing our ability to deliver best-value solutions at the pace required to stay ahead of the threat landscape. We made significant progress on 1LMX in 2025, enabling MFC to launch the first release of our new enterprise resource planning and manufacturing execution systems in January 2026. This major milestone streamlines our operations, optimizes our business systems and positions us to deploy additional 1LMX capabilities across the corporation.

Strategic Execution in 2026

In 2026, Lockheed Martin will continue to execute along our strategic lines of effort, driving relentless focus on operational performance to ensure our customers have the tools they need when they need them and to position the company for future growth opportunities by:

  • Accelerating digital technology across the defense enterprise through commercial partnerships, targeted investments and in-house innovation.
  • Increasing the resilience of the defense industrial base through close collaboration with our customers and Congress on acquisition transformation and anti-fragility measures.
  • Advancing American and allied interoperability by expanding our international operations through strategic co-production agreements that strengthen U.S. and allied manufacturing, increase efficiency and ultimately deliver greater capability than any of us could achieve alone.

We made significant progress on all of these priorities this year, thanks to the dedication of our skilled and committed workforce and the support of you, our shareholders. Thank you for your continued investment and confidence in Lockheed Martin. Together, we will continue to advance modern deterrence and help secure a safer, more stable world.

James D. Taiclet
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The letter consistently highlights extraordinary performance, unprecedented demand, record backlog, and unwavering confidence, coupled with strong commitments to future growth and execution.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Combat-Proven Performance & Deterrence
#2Investing & Innovating (R&D & Digital Transformation)
#3Strategic Execution & Future Growth (2026 Focus)
#4Unprecedented Demand & Backlog Growth
#5Operational Execution & Production Capacity
#6Financial Performance
28 named projects & initiatives
F-35 Lightning II, F-22 Raptor, Operation Midnight Hammer, Patriot missiles, Al Udeid Air Base, THAAD +22 more
15 product, 5 restructuring, 4 partnership, 2 other, 2 r and d
Forward-looking statements
10 total: 2 quantified, 7 directional, 1 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth / Investment in Capabilities → Shareholder Value Creation → Supply Chain Resilience / Production Capacity
Key quotes
“Extraordinary performance of Lockheed Martin's products and solutions throughout the year demonstrated why we are the trusted defense technology innovator for America and its allies.”
Sets the overarching positive tone and competitive positioning from the outset.
“This performance has translated into unprecedented demand for Lockheed Martin's technology.”
Connects combat performance directly to business growth and financial success.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →3 letters on file (2025, 2024, 2023) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
James D. TaicletChairman, President and Chief Executive Officer$23,453,308
Evan T. ScottChief Financial Officer$2,769,284
Frank A. St. JohnChief Operating Officer$9,861,161
Timothy S. CahillPresident Missiles & Fire Control$6,839,089
Kevin J. O’ConnorSenior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary$12,696,720
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-26
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Stockholder Proposal Requiring Independent Board Chairman
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
10 debt instruments · 3 CUSIPs · 7 unique covenants
2.76x
Debt / Equity
6.6x
Interest coverage
$18.8B
Net debt
35%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Revolver $3,000,000,000
364-DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2026-12-04 · Filed 2025-12-09
Floating · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime
unsecured
Revolver $3,000,000,000
$3,000,000,000 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of August 24, 2022
Matures 2030-08-24 · Filed 2025-08-29
Floating · SOFR | Federal Funds | Prime
unsecured
539831AS6 539831AT4
Revolver $3,000,000,000
$3,000,000,000 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of August 24, 2022
Matures 2029-08-24 · Filed 2024-08-27
Variable · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime
unsecured
539831AS6 539831AT4
Revolver
Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures 2028-08-24 · Filed 2023-08-24
Revolver $3,000,000,000
$3,000,000,000 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of August 24, 2022
Matures 2027-08-24 · Filed 2022-08-24
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
539831AS6 539831AT4
Revolver $3,000,000,000
REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of August 24, 2021
Matures 2026-08-24 · Filed 2021-08-24
Floating · LIBOR | SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime
unsecured
539831AQ8 539831AR8
4 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Limitation on Liens (Basket)
does not at the time exceed the greater of 15% of Stockholders' Equity as of the end of the fiscal quarter preceding the date of determination or $1,500,000,000
Aggregate Debt of the Company and its Restricted Subsidiaries secured by Liens not otherwise permitted
364-DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Exempt Subsidiary Asset Limitation
does not exceed 7% of the book value of the total assets of the Company and its Consolidated Subsidiaries
Aggregate book value of assets of all Exempt Subsidiaries (excluding those disclosed on Effective Date)
364-DAY REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Limitation on Liens
does not at the time exceed the greater of 15% of Stockholders' Equity as of the end of the fiscal quarter preceding the date of determination or $1,500,000,000
Secured Debt
$3,000,000,000 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as
Maximum Debt to Debt plus Stockholders' Equity Ratio
≤ 65.0%
Debt to (Debt + Stockholders' Equity)
$3,000,000,000 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 65.0%
Debt to the sum of Debt and Stockholders’ Equity
$3,000,000,000 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as
Limitation on Liens (General Basket)
does not at the time exceed the greater of 15% of Stockholders’ Equity as of the end of the fiscal quarter preceding the date of determination or $1,500,000,000
Debt of the Company and its Restricted Subsidiaries that is secured by Liens not otherwise permitted
$3,000,000,000 REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 65.0%
Debt to the sum of Debt and Stockholders’ Equity
REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of August 24,
CUSIP identifiers (3 on file)
539831AQ0 539831AS6 539831AT4
Cross-default risk
6 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
High leverage — no covenants on file
Earnings quality
Low quality — review accruals (cash conversion 1.7x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — The company's substantial dependence on U.S. Government contracts and the F-35 p
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Hold — watch for drift
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 75% LMT sits 24% below its 52-week high and trades at a meaningful discount to analyst consensus ($523 v... $523.76 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% LMT presents a genuinely bifurcated picture: a historically unprecedented contract award cycle in 20... $530.45 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.6/10 100% LMT sits in a structurally favorable defense environment — a $186B backlog, relentless contract flow... $533.24 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% LMT sits in a genuine tug-of-war: a once-in-a-generation munitions ramp (PAC-3, JASSM, FY27 missile ... $516.01 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% LMT trades at ~$506, roughly 27% below its 52-week high of $692 and ~21% below the analyst consensus... $506.51 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.9/10 75% LMT is trading ~26% below its 52-week high and ~25% below the consensus analyst target of $641, with... $512.77 Sched.
Apr 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 75% LMT reported a clear Q1 2026 earnings miss — EPS of $6.44 vs. $6.77 consensus, revenue of $18.0B vs.... $529.79 Event
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.9/10 75% LMT is trading ~11% below its 52-week high despite a $4.7B PAC-3 MSE contract awarded April 10 and a... $613.72 Sched.
Showing last 8 signals
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-01-29)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$75.048 billion 5.6% YoY
? Operating income
$7.731 billion
? Net income
$5.017 billion
? Free cash flow
$6.908 billion
? EPS (diluted)
$6.44
? Dividend per share
$13.35
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
23.68%
WACC
4.32%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 19.36%
? WACC
4.32%
? Cost of equity
4.87%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
1.17%
? Capital structure
E: 85.16% / D: 14.84%
? ROIC
23.68%
? EVA
$5.1B
? NOPAT
$6.2B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.