MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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LIN
Linde plc
Materials · NYSE: LIN · MSJ-100
$522.54
▼ $1.52  (▼0.29%) today
After-hours: $524.00  ▲ 0.28%
Headquarters
Woking, Connecticut
Employees
65,034
Founded
1879
CEO
Mr. Sanjiv Lamba
Incorporated
Ireland
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $547.72
$523 now
Bear $400 Avg $548 Bull $622
Price history Free
Volume
2.15M
Avg volume
2.25M
Open
$524.40
Day high / low
$531.62 / $521.00
Market cap
$241.6B
About this company
Free
Linde plc is the world's largest industrial gas company, specializing in the production and distribution of atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon) and process gases (hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide). The company also designs and constructs plants for industrial gas production and processing, serving diverse sectors including healthcare, chemicals, manufacturing, and electronics.
Business segments
10-K
Americas EMEA APAC Engineering
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
May 01, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Sanjiv Lamba (Chief Executive Officer), Matthew J. White (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
The company reported year-over-year growth in sales and operating profit, with adjusted EPS rising versus the prior-year quarter, driven by pricing, productivity, and project start-ups. Operating margin expanded compared to the prior year, and management highlighted continued strong cash generation and returns on capital employed.
Forward guidance
Management reiterated full-year 2026 guidance for adjusted earnings per share growth in the high-single to low-double-digit range, supported by continued pricing discipline and volume growth in key end markets. They emphasized a robust backlog of large on-site and clean energy projects that are expected to contribute more meaningfully to earnings i
Notable Q&A
One notable Q&A exchange involved an analyst asking about incremental project opportunities in clean hydrogen and carbon capture; management responded that they see a growing pipeline of decarbonization projects and expect a steady increase in investment commitments from customers over the next few
Surprise items
The call suggested stronger-than-expected momentum in the project backlog for clean energy and decarbonization applications, which could imply upside to medium-term growth expectations. Management also indicated that pricing and productivity are offsetting cost inflation more effectively than antici
Q4 2025 (Feb 05, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$548.20 / $387.78
Forward P/E
26.5×
Trailing 34.7×
Dividend
$6.40 / share
Yield 1.22%
Analysts covering
25
Avg target $547.72
Beta
0.72
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.4%
Float shorted
Buy
78%
Hold
19%
Sell
4%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$33,986 million
3% YoY
Operating margin
26.3%
Net income
$6,898 million
Free cash flow
$5,089 million
Dividend / share
$6.00
Total debt
$26,989 million
Cash: $5,056 million
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:89%
Cash conversion:1.5x
Non-recurring items: Cost reduction program and other charges: $273 million (global severance, divestiture benefits), Merger-related purchase accounting impacts: $164 million charge
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-25
Xavier sector view:
Materials
See journal
View Materials journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.5 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
Linde is a best-in-class industrial gases compounder with consistent mid-single-digit EPS growth, industry-leading margins (~30% adjusted operating margin), and a pristine capital allocation track record — but at 33.7x TTM P/E and trading within 3% of its 52-week high of $521, the stock is priced for perfection with essentially no near-term margin of safety. The most recent Q1 2026 beat (EPS $4.00, revenue +8.2% YoY) and subsequent analyst price target upgrades from BMO ($560), RBC ($570), Citi ($585), and Seaport ($575) provide some upside to consensus at $545, but in a NEUTRAL macro regime with 2 of 4 models bearish, that upside is insufficient to justify a BULLISH conviction call for the next 5 trading days.
Strongest bull case
Post-Q1 2026 earnings beat with raised full-year guidance, a wave of analyst price target upgrades from major banks, and Linde's near-monopolistic take-or-pay contract structure providing earnings visibility even during stagnant industrial activity — the CEO explicitly noted EPS at an all-time high despite weak industrial volumes, underscoring pricing power and margin resilience.
Strongest bear case
At 33.7x TTM P/E (above the ~30x threshold) with revenue growing at only ~8% YoY (slowing from prior years) and volume growth still negative in manufacturing/metals end markets, the valuation requires near-flawless execution. Trading within 3% of the 52-week high with no imminent catalyst in the next 5 days, and a NEUTRAL-to-bearish macro backdrop, any global industrial sentiment deterioration or tariff escalation could compress the multiple meaningfully with no valuation buffer.
What the market may be missing
The consensus is focused on the bull narrative around hydrogen/clean energy as a long-duration growth driver, but Linde's CEO language in Q3 2025 — 'we remain guarded on any near-term industrial recovery' — signals that organic volume growth remains elusive. The stock's re-rating upward is almost entirely multiple expansion in a slowing growth environment, and with insiders collectively selling $109M more than bought over the past 12 months, the smart money appears to view current levels as fair-to-rich rather than a bargain.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_LIN_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
LIN
current
$522.54 ▼0.3%
MLM
NEUTRAL
$577.72
FCX
NEUTRAL
$61.52
NEM
NEUTRAL
$95.29
APD
NEUTRAL
$299.53
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-10
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-18
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 COND
8-K — 2026-05-13
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Sanjiv Lamba
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
SL
Sanjiv Lamba
Chief Executive Officer · Linde plc
CEO since 2022-03-01
Total compensation
$21,777,870 ▲ 5.2% YoY
Prior year: $20,696,088
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
Shareholder vote
Board independence
8/9 (89%)
Diversity: 22% (3 women)
Base salary$1,575,000
Bonus / incentive$3,197,250
Stock awards$11,680,804
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Interview
Inside the Corner Office #15 Source ↗
Mr. Sanjiv Lamba (CEO) · YouTube
Leadership philosophy emphasizing clarity, judgment, and strong values. Discussion of decentralization as a strategic advantage in managing complex, capital-intensive global organizations operating across 80+ countries in healthcare, manufacturing, c
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Sanjiv Lamba 2025 Annual Report CONFIDENT

Dear Fellow Shareholders,

2025 was marked by heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. Against that backdrop, the Linde team once again showed that disciplined execution and a resilient operating model can deliver strong results, even in challenging conditions.

We achieved record earnings per share of $16.46, generated $10.4 billion in operating cash flow and expanded our operating margin to 29.8%. Our 24.2% return on capital remains best-in-class and is a clear reflection of the strength of our integrated business model, exceptional network density and disciplined approach to capital allocation. With a strong balance sheet, we returned $7.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, while reinvesting $5.3 billion into the business to support future growth.

Strong financial performance matters, but it is not the only measure of success.

Safety remains our highest priority. In 2025, our employees delivered best-in-class results, achieving a lost workday case rate more than nine times better than the U.S. OSHA industrial average. We continue to strengthen an inclusive culture across more than 80 countries, with women now representing nearly 30% of the global workforce. Beyond operations, nearly 400,000 people benefited from approximately 900 employee-led community projects, and our Global Giving program supported over 2,000 organizations worldwide.

We also made meaningful progress in reducing our environmental footprint. In 2025, we increased active low-carbon power sourcing by 26%, with 50% of our global electricity consumption now coming from low-carbon sources. This contributed to a reduction of nearly two million metric tons of CO2, supporting our goal to reduce absolute emissions 35% by 2035. In addition, we diverted more than 200 million pounds of waste from landfills and conserved over 1 billion gallons of water.

Looking ahead, we remain focused on executing our growth strategy in markets where Linde has clear and sustained competitive advantages. Reliable and efficient operations remain mission-critical for the industries we serve, and our gas and engineering solutions help our customers achieve both. At the same time, powerful secular growth trends-from electronics and commercial space to clean energy-continue to create attractive opportunities for Linde.

Demand from semiconductor manufacturers and the expansion of Al-related digital infrastructure remain strong. We continue to invest alongside many of the world's most advanced electronics fabs as they execute their growth plans. The U.S. space sector is another compelling example. In 2025, we supported a record number of launches and have recently invested nearly $1 billion to meet growing demand from contracted space-launch customers, while building an ecosystem that supports even more launches in the years ahead.

Today, Linde is executing more than $7 billion in projects secured under long-term sale-of-gas contracts, with two-thirds supporting high-quality clean energy customer investments. During 2025, we also signed several new projects, including a $400 million investment in Louisiana to supply oxygen and nitrogen to the Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project. Supported by our world-class engineering capabilities and portfolio of proprietary technologies, we continue to unlock attractive opportunities that reinforce confidence in Linde's long-term growth outlook.

At the heart of Linde's performance is our operating model-and above all, our people. Local accountability and disciplined execution, supported by an unparalleled global network, allow us to serve customers reliably while maintaining a relentless focus on pricing, productivity and cost and capital allocation discipline.

That is how value is created at Linde—not through any single year, but through consistent, disciplined execution across decades and economic cycles.

Even as geopolitical and economic volatility persists, I am confident that our proven operating model, disciplined capital allocation and high-quality project backlog position Linde to continue compounding EPS growth to create sustained long-term value for shareholders.

Thank you for your continued trust and support.

Sincerely,
Sanjiv Lamba
Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses confidence in the company's ability to deliver strong results despite external challenges, citing record earnings, best-in-class metrics, and a robust operating model, and projects continued compounding EPS growth.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Financial Performance & Capital Allocation
#2Growth Strategy & Market Opportunities
#3Sustainability & ESG
#4Operational Excellence & Business Model
#5Resilience in Challenging Macro Environment
3 named projects & initiatives
Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project, Global Giving program, U.S. OSHA industrial average
2 other, 1 facility
Forward-looking statements
8 total: 1 quantified, 7 directional, 0 vague
Capital allocation priority
Shareholder Returns (dividends and share repurchases) → Reinvestment for future growth (Capital Expenditures) → Strategic project investments → Strong balance sheet maintenance
Key quotes
“2025 was marked by heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. Against that backdrop, the Linde team once again showed that disciplined execution and a resilient operating ”
Sets the challenging external context for the year but immediately frames the company's performance as resilient and successful due to its internal strengths.
“Our 24.2% return on capital remains best-in-class and is a clear reflection of the strength of our integrated business model, exceptional network density and disciplined approach to capital allocation”
Highlights a key financial metric (ROC) as a testament to core competitive advantages and a disciplined capital strategy.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →3 letters on file (2025, 2024, 2022) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Sanjiv LambaChief Executive Officer$21,777,870
Matthew J. WhiteExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer$9,670,160
Guillermo BicharaExecutive Vice President & Chief Legal Officer$6,231,934
Sean F. DurbinChief Operating Officer$6,075,414
David P. StraussFormer Executive Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer$5,251,214
Benjamin W. GlazerSenior Vice President, Americas$4,363,629
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-29
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Appointment of nine director nominees
FOR
Pending
Non-Binding Ratification of the Appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers as indepen
FOR
Pending
Authorization of the Board to Determine the Auditor's Remuneration
FOR
Pending
Advisory and Non-Binding Vote on Named Executive Officer Compensation
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
8 debt instruments · 12 CUSIPs · 31 unique covenants
0.68x
Debt / Equity
15.9x
Interest coverage
1.6x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$22.4B
Net debt
30%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Revolver $1,500,000,000
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of December 3, 2025
Matures 2026-12-02 · Filed 2025-12-03
Floating · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime | SONIA | EURIBOR
Unsecured. The Lenders represent they are not relying on Margin Stock as collateral. Section 5.03 imposes a Negative Pledge covenant.
G5500PAL5 G5500PAM3
Revolver $1,500,000,000
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of December 4, 2024
Matures 2025-12-03 · Filed 2024-12-04
Floating | Fixed · SOFR | SONIA | EURIBOR | Fed Funds | Prime
Unsecured. Lenders represent they are not relying upon any Margin Stock as collateral.
G5500PAJ0 G5500PAK7
Revolver $1,500,000,000
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2024-12-04 · Filed 2023-12-06
Floating · SOFR | EURIBOR | SONIA | Fed Funds | Prime
Unsecured. Section 11.13 states Lenders are not relying on Margin Stock as collateral. Section 5.03 imposes a negative pledge on Restricted Property, limiting the creation of Liens.
G5500PAG6 G5500PAH4
Revolver $1,500,000,000
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of December 7, 2022
Matures 2023-12-06 · Filed 2022-12-08
Variable · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime | SONIA | EURIBOR
Unsecured. Lenders represent they are not relying upon any Margin Stock as collateral.
G5500PAE1 G5500PAF8
Credit $5,000,000,000
Five Year Credit Agreement
Matures 2027-12-07 · Filed 2022-12-08
Floating · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime | SONIA | EURIBOR
Unsecured. Lenders represent they are not relying on any Margin Stock as collateral.
G5500PAC5 G5500PAD3
Credit
The Credit Agreement dated as of March 26, 2019
Matures · Filed 2019-09-06
2 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Maximum Secured Debt on Restricted Property
≤ greater of (x) 15% of Consolidated Net Tangible Assets and (y) $7,500,000,000
Debt secured by Liens on Restricted Property
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as o
Maximum Off-Balance Sheet Unconditional Purchase Obligations
≤ 5% of net sales
Aggregate present value of unconditional purchase obligations (off-balance sheet)
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as o
Maximum Total Outstanding Amount due to Currency Fluctuation
≤ 107% (trigger for prepayment), then reduced to ≤ 100%
Total Outstanding Amount as a percentage of aggregate Commitments
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as o
Limitation on Liens
not to exceed the greater of (x) 15% of Consolidated Net Tangible Assets (measured at the time of incurrence of such Debt) and (y) $7,500,000,000
Debt secured by Liens
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as o
Limitation on Guarantees (Unconditional Purchase Obligations)
equal to or less than 5% of the net sales of the Company and its Consolidated Subsidiaries
Aggregate present value amount of all such obligations of the Company and its Consolidated Subsidiaries (other than amounts reflected on the balance sheet of the Company and its Consolidated Subsidiaries)
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as o
Limitation on Liens (Judgments)
not exceeding $500,000,000
Amount of Liens resulting from judgments
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT
Limitation on Liens (General Basket)
not to exceed the greater of (x) 15% of Consolidated Net Tangible Assets and (y) $7,500,000,000
Aggregate principal amount of Debt secured by Liens
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT
Limitation on Unconditional Purchase Obligations
equal to or less than 5% of the net sales
Aggregate present value amount of unconditional purchase obligations
$1,500,000,000 364-DAY CREDIT AGREEMENT
23 additional covenants on file
CUSIP identifiers (12 on file)
G5500PAH4 G5500PAG6 G5500PAF8 G5500PAE1 G5500PAC5 G5500PAD3 G5500PAL5 G5500PAM3 G5500PAK7 G5500PAJ0 G5500PAA9 G5500PAB7
Cross-default risk
7 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.5x)
Risk trend
Insufficient data — Weakening economic conditions in markets in which Linde does business may advers
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Bullish
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 100% Linde is a best-in-class industrial gases compounder with consistent mid-single-digit EPS growth, in... $507.90 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 100% LIN is a best-in-class industrial gas compounder with durable margins (~30% adj. operating margin), ... $497.69 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% LIN is a high-quality compounder with a strong Q1 2026 beat (adj. EPS $4.33 vs. $4.27 est., +10% YoY... $517.58 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% LIN is a world-class compounder with consistent earnings beats, a 30% operating margin, and 33 conse... $506.11 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% LIN is a best-in-class industrial gas compounder with strong Q1 2026 results (10% EPS growth, raised... $493.16 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 75% LIN just delivered a clean Q1 2026 earnings beat — adj. EPS of $4.33 vs. $4.27 consensus, revenue of... $507.92 Sched.
May 01, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 100% Linde just reported Q1 2026 earnings today (May 1) with adjusted EPS of $4.33 beating estimates of $... $517.33 Sched.
Apr 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% Linde is a high-quality compounder with a record ~$10B backlog, 6-9% guided EPS growth for 2026, and... $499.22 Event
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.7/10 50% Linde trades near its 52-week high (~$503) with Q1 2026 earnings due May 1, creating a pre-earnings ... $503.15 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
LIN Linde plc
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-25)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$33,986 million 3% YoY
? Operating income
$8,923 million
? Net income
$6,898 million
? Free cash flow
$5,089 million
? EPS (diluted)
$3.98
? Dividend per share
$6.00
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
11.51%
WACC
7.42%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 4.09%
? WACC
7.42%
? Cost of equity
8.23%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.02%
? Capital structure
E: 90.18% / D: 9.82%
? ROIC
11.51%
? EVA
$2.5B
? NOPAT
$7.0B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.