MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
KR
The Kroger Co.
Consumer Staples · NYSE: KR · MSJ-100
$58.74
▼ $0.57  (▼0.96%) today
After-hours: $58.72  ▼ 0.03%
Headquarters
Cincinnati, OH
Employees
400,000
Founded
1883
CEO
Mr. Gregory S. Foran
Incorporated
Ohio
Fiscal Year End
January
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $70.64
$59 now
Bear $58 Avg $71 Bull $86
Price history Free
Volume
7.13M
Avg volume
7.28M
Open
$58.66
Day high / low
$59.33 / $58.44
Market cap
$36.0B
About this company
Free
Kroger is a major retail grocery company operating supermarkets with pharmacies and fuel centers across 35 states. The company focuses on growing customer loyalty through fresh products, private brands, personalization, and e-commerce, while also leveraging customer data to generate alternative profits from retail media and data analytics.
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q1 2027 2027
Intel
Free
Jun 18, 2026Cautious
Rodney McMullen (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Gary Millerchip (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer), Ciaran McCarthy (Vice President, Investor Relations)
Key metrics
For Q1 2027, Kroger reported adjusted EPS of approximately $1.28, ahead of consensus by about $0.08, with net margin around 0.69%.[1][2] Total sales grew modestly year over year, with identical sales excluding fuel positive but in a low single-digit range, while fuel sales and gross margin remained pressured by price investments and mix.[1][2]
Forward guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year FY2027 EPS guidance in line with prior expectations, calling for adjusted EPS growth in the low- to mid-single-digit range, supported by stable food-at-home demand and ongoing cost savings initiatives.[2] They guided identical sales (excluding fuel) to grow modestly for the year, with expectations for continued inves
Notable Q&A
Analysts pressed management on the sustainability of margin improvement in the face of heightened price competition and a new CEO’s more aggressive pricing stance; management responded that productivity programs, merchandising mix, and supply-chain efficiencies give them room to invest in price whil
Surprise items
The upside EPS versus consensus, despite ongoing price investments and competitive pressure, was a modest positive surprise.[1][2] Commentary about an intensified price war under new leadership and lingering effects from a terminated merger raised investor focus on long-term margin durability and co
Q1 2026 (Jun 18, 2026) · Confident Q4 2025 (Mar 05, 2026) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$76.58 / $54.15
Forward P/E
10.6×
Trailing 34.4×
Dividend
$1.44 / share
Yield 2.43%
Analysts covering
22
Avg target $70.64
Beta
0.43
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
4.5%
Float shorted
Buy
46%
Hold
54%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$147,642 million
0.4% YoY
Operating margin
1.3%
Net income
$1,016 million
Free cash flow
$3,449 million
Dividend / share
$1.34
Total debt
$17,566 million
Cash: $3,334 million
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:7.2x
Non-recurring items: Fulfillment network impairment and related charges of $2.5 billion, Merger-related litigation and settlement charges of $161 million, Store closure costs of $100 million, Impairment of intangible assets of $50 million
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-03-31
Xavier sector view:
Consumer Staples
See journal
View Consumer Staples journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.0 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
KR sits at a deeply uncomfortable valuation dislocation: TTM P/E of 35.4x is egregiously expensive for a 1-2% identical-sales-growth grocery retailer, though the Forward P/E of ~11x reflects a large one-time impairment charge distorting TTM earnings — the true operating earnings picture (Adjusted EPS ~$4.85 FY25) is more reasonable at ~12-13x forward. Post-earnings-sell-off (shares fell ~8% on Q1 results), the stock has partially recovered but still trades 21% below its 52-week high with no near-term catalyst to close the gap; the Giant Eagle deal ($1.65B, closing 2027) is modest and regulatory risk is real given the failed Albertsons merger precedent. The bull/bear cases are roughly balanced, making NEUTRAL the disciplined call.
Strongest bull case
Forward P/E of ~11x on adjusted earnings is genuinely cheap for a defensive Consumer Staples compounder with a $2B buyback program, 11% dividend increase, eCommerce growing 19% YoY, and retail media (Kroger Precision Marketing) up 20%+ — these high-margin alternative revenue streams are not yet fully reflected in consensus estimates.
Strongest bear case
Identical sales growth is decelerating for the third consecutive quarter (now just 1.0% ex-fuel), gross margin compressed 30 bps YoY to 22.7%, OG&A rose 16 bps, and Evercore ISI just cut its price target from $80 to $78 — the operating leverage story is deteriorating while intense price competition from Walmart, Costco, and Aldi forces ongoing price investment that caps margin recovery.
What the market may be missing
The market is treating KR's TTM P/E of 35x as a structural valuation problem, but it is almost entirely distorted by a $2.5B automated fulfillment network impairment charge taken in FY2025 that inflates the TTM EPS denominator downward to $1.71. The 'real' earnings power on an adjusted basis is ~$4.85/share (FY25) and tracking to ~$4.90-5.00 in FY26, which puts the stock at ~12x — not 35x. The market knows this at the forward level, but retail and quant screens flagging the TTM P/E may be creating artificial selling pressure that a patient buyer could exploit.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_KR_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
KR
current
$58.74 ▼1.0%
PM
NEUTRAL
$181.62
COST
NEUTRAL
$916.25
KO
NEUTRAL
$83.49
PEP
NEUTRAL
$137.38
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-14
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-14
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 COND
8-K — 2026-07-01
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-26
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-06-26
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — W. Rodney McMullen
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
WR
W. Rodney McMullen
Former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · The Kroger Co.
CEO since None
Total compensation
$15,631,028 ▼ 0.5% YoY
Prior year: $15,710,572
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
91%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
9/10 (90%)
Base salary$1,433,913
Bonus / incentive
Stock awards$10,600,023
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Investor DayMar 05, 2026
Kroger Q4 2025 Earnings Call Source ↗
Mr. Gregory S. Foran (CEO) · Kroger Co.
Greg Foran outlined his vision for accelerating growth at Kroger, building on the pivot from large automated fulfillment centers to a hybrid model using in-store fulfillment and third-party delivery partnerships to cut e-commerce costs. He highlighte
“"Long runway to accelerate growth." | null”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Ronald L. Sargent 2024 Annual Report CONFIDENT

Fellow Shareholders,

A long career in the retail industry has shown me that while customers' needs change, the fundamentals for running successful stores remain the same. My time as Kroger's Chairman and CEO – about eight weeks as I write this – has only deepened my conviction about what it takes to be a great retailer.

Our strong go-to-market strategy is rooted in our strategic priorities of Fresh, Our Brands, personalization and eCommerce. We have a proven and experienced management team, including incredibly strong division leaders. And most important, our dedicated frontline associates provide customers with friendly service and exceptional value. As I spend more time with associates at all levels of our business, I am confident we have the right people to drive our continued success.

Together, we are reaffirming our commitment to grow Kroger's core business, to support our associates and to strengthen our communities.

Growing the core

Putting the customer at the center, and streamlining our priorities are key ways we will support our continued success. It can be easy to get distracted with projects that pull focus from the basics of running excellent stores. Our teams are making decisions faster, ensuring their day-to-day work improves sales, and walking away from any projects or programs that do not provide customers with fresh products at the best prices. Our customers need access to affordable food now more than ever, and we are holding ourselves accountable to delivering for them.

Because our best customers shop both in store and online, we are bringing more balance to our capital investments across brick-and-mortar stores and eCommerce. In 2024, we built more new stores and engaged in more large-scale store renovations than in the previous five years, and we will continue that momentum this year. At the same time, we have established a dedicated eCommerce business unit to better align all teams who touch the digital experience.

These decisions bring us even closer to our customers and their needs, drive better accountability, and improve our understanding of how to deliver a best-in-class shopping experience.

Our customers tell us they want to shop fresher, trendier foods. So, we are moving items through our supply chain faster. And the Our Brands teams continue taking a new approach to their work, introducing 900 new products in 2024 alone. When we bring those fresher, more interesting products to our shelves, more customers will shop with Kroger. A bigger customer base translates into more opportunities for alternative profit streams to grow, and as a result, we can keep bringing prices down.

One thing is clear, our competition is changing faster than ever, which means we need to move faster. An outstanding grocery store has the food customers want at prices they can afford, and we are working to deliver on both.

Supporting our associates

Great retail businesses are built by great people. Whether in stores, distribution or manufacturing centers, fulfillment facilities or offices, we respect and appreciate our associates and will continue the historic investments Kroger has made in the past five years to grow wages and improve benefits.

During my time on Kroger's board, I got to know the senior leadership team well. They always impressed me with their strategic approach, clear vision and belief in our associates. As I spend more time in our divisions and meeting more team members, I see the depth and breadth of talent our organization has. Our division teams know their communities better than anyone. Our manufacturing and Our Brands teams are experts at making great food that customers love. Our supply chain and distribution teams move product with precision. I am confident in the strong bench of talent at Kroger and what we are capable of achieving.

Strengthening communities

We understand the important role a grocery store plays in a community. We offer employment opportunities that range from first jobs to career-defining roles, and we give back to those in need. With Zero Hunger | Zero Waste at the center, a Kroger in your community typically means millions more meals feeding hungry families. In fact, since 2017, the Company donated more than 3.4 billion meals to communities across the country.

And when a crisis hits, Kroger aims to be among the first to help. Earlier this year, our business supported thousands of families impacted by the Los Angeles wildfires. And alongside amazing organizations like Feeding America, the USO and Red Cross, we ensure our neighbors have the fresh foods they need to thrive.

Looking to the future

Kroger's foundation is strong, and our company is well-positioned for continued growth. I am committed to serve as Chairman and CEO for as long as needed while our Board conducts a thorough search for Kroger's next leader. While in this role, I plan to move the company forward with an eye toward building to the future.

With all of this in mind, I keep returning to one question: What does Kroger look like in eight years when we celebrate our 150th anniversary? I am proud to lead this company as we answer this vital question together.

Thank you for the trust you are placing in me to lead Kroger to an even brighter future.

Ronald L. Sargent
Chairman and Interim CEO, The Kroger Co.

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses strong conviction in Kroger's strategy, people, and future, using words like 'confident,' 'strong,' 'well-positioned,' and 'proud to lead' despite acknowledging changing competition.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Customer Experience & Value
#2Core Business Growth & Operational Efficiency
#3Associate Investment & Talent Development
#4Community Engagement & Social Responsibility
#5Future Leadership & Vision
9 named projects & initiatives
Fresh, Our Brands, personalization, eCommerce, Zero Hunger | Zero Waste, Los Angeles wildfires +3 more
3 partnership, 2 other, 1 product, 1 technology, 1 platform, 1 restructuring
Forward-looking statements
10 total: 0 quantified, 7 directional, 2 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth (Stores & eCommerce) → Human Capital (Wages & Benefits) → Customer Value (Price Reduction) → Alternative Profit Streams
Key quotes
“A long career in the retail industry has shown me that while customers' needs change, the fundamentals for running successful stores remain the same.”
Highlights the CEO's deep experience and belief in foundational retail principles amidst market evolution.
“Our strong go-to-market strategy is rooted in our strategic priorities of Fresh, Our Brands, personalization and eCommerce.”
Clearly outlines the core pillars of Kroger's current strategic approach.
View 2024 Annual Report (PDF) →2 letters on file (2024, 2023) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
W. Rodney McMullenFormer Chairman and Chief Executive Officer$15,631,028
Todd FoleySenior Vice President and Interim Chief Financial Officer$4,039,390
Mary Ellen AdcockExecutive Vice President and Chief Merchant and Marketing Officer$6,737,886
Yael CossetExecutive Vice President and Chief Digital Officer$7,486,266
Timothy A. MassaExecutive Vice President and Associate Experience Officer$6,362,073
Gary MillerchipFormer Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer$169,015
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2025-05-15
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Report on discarded cigarette pollution
AGAINST
Pending
Report on adopting a third-party mandated framework on U.S. farmers
AGAINST
Pending
Report on safeguarding the privacy of consumer health data
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
7 debt instruments · 4 CUSIPs · 5 unique covenants
2.91x
Debt / Equity
2.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$13.9B
Net debt
35%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
18.6x
24-08
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Term Loan
Term Loan Credit Agreement
Matures · Filed 2024-10-09
Credit
Credit Agreement, dated as of September 13, 2024
Matures · Filed 2024-10-09
Term Loan U.S. $4,750,000,000
Term Loan Credit Agreement
Matures · Filed 2024-09-13
Floating · SOFR | Federal Funds | Prime
unsecured
Credit $5,000,000,000
U.S. $5,000,000,000 CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2029-09-13 · Filed 2024-09-13
Floating · SOFR
Unsecured, except for Cash Collateral and Eligible Securities pledged to secure Letter of Credit Obligations under specific circumstances (e.g., 30 days prior to Termination Date if L/C Obligations remain outstanding, or if a Defaulting Lender exists).
50102PAS5 50102PAT3
Credit $2,750,000,000
AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2026-07-06 · Filed 2022-11-10
Floating · SOFR (transitioning from LIBOR)
Unsecured, except for cash collateral for Letter of Credit Obligations, which is pledged and assigned to the Paying Agent for the benefit of the Paying Agent, Issuing Banks, and Lenders upon certain events (e.g., 30 days prior to Termination Date if L/C Obligations remain, or upon Defaulting Lender status).
50102PAM8 50102PAN6
Term Loan $4,750,000,000
U.S. $4,750,000,000 TERM LOAN CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures · Filed 2022-11-10
Floating · SOFR | Federal Funds | Prime
Unsecured
1 additional agreement on file
Financial covenants
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 4.50:1.00 (initial), stepping down to 3.50:1.00
Net Debt to Consolidated EBITDA
Term Loan Credit Agreement
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio (Pre-Acorn Closing Date)
≤ 3.50:1.00
Net Debt to Consolidated EBITDA
U.S. $5,000,000,000 CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio (Post-Acorn Closing Date)
≤ 4.50:1.00
Net Debt to Consolidated EBITDA
U.S. $5,000,000,000 CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 3.50:1.00
Net Debt to Consolidated EBITDA
AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 4.50:1.00 (initial), stepping down to ≤ 4.25:1.00, then ≤ 4.00:1.00, then ≤ 3.75:1.00, then ≤ 3.50:1.00. Can reset to ≤ 4.00:1.00 for 4 fiscal quarters upon certain acquisitions.
Leverage Ratio (Net Debt / Consolidated EBITDA)
U.S. $4,750,000,000 TERM LOAN CREDIT AGREEMENT
CUSIP identifiers (4 on file)
50102PAM8 50102PAN6 50102PAS5 50102PAT3
Cross-default risk
5 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
High leverage — no covenants on file
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 7.2x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Competitive environment, including evolving customer preferences, e-commerce, an
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Bullish
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% KR sits at a deeply uncomfortable valuation dislocation: TTM P/E of 35.4x is egregiously expensive f... $60.54 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 75% Kroger looks optically inexpensive on forward earnings, but the trailing P/E above 35x combined with... $60.54 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% KR is caught in a classic value-trap setup: the TTM P/E of 41x is severely distorted by a $2.5B impa... $63.57 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% KR is caught in a valuation trap: the TTM P/E of 40x is deeply misleading due to a $2.5B impairment ... $62.15 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% KR's TTM P/E of 43.7x is deeply misleading — it reflects the Q3 FY2025 $2.6 billion non-cash impairm... $67.25 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% KR trades at a deeply distorted TTM P/E of ~43x due to one-time charges suppressing reported EPS ($1... $66.02 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 100% KR has a supportive defensive backdrop and a low-beta profile that can work in a bullish macro tape,... $65.64 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 75% KR's TTM P/E of 44x is massively distorted by one-time GAAP charges (reported net earnings collapsed... $67.77 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.2/10 50% KR has pulled back ~3.4% today and sits roughly 11% below its 52-week high, creating a potential re-... $67.99 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
KR The Kroger Co.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-03-31)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$147,642 million 0.4% YoY
? Operating income
$1,890 million
? Net income
$1,016 million
? Free cash flow
$3,449 million
? EPS (diluted)
$1.46
? Dividend per share
$1.34
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
7.64%
WACC
4.91%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 2.72%
? WACC
4.91%
? Cost of equity
6.64%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
1.09%
? Capital structure
E: 68.90% / D: 31.10%
? ROIC
7.64%
? EVA
$540M
? NOPAT
$1.5B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.