MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
Health Care · NYSE: JNJ · MSJ-100
$253.85
▼ $3.92  (▼1.52%) today
After-hours: $254.41  ▲ 0.22%
Headquarters
New Brunswick, NJ
Employees
138,200
Founded
1886
CEO
Mr. Joaquin Duato
Incorporated
New Jersey
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $262.27
$254 now
Bear $190 Avg $262 Bull $300
Price history Free
Volume
8.77M
Avg volume
8.10M
Open
$255.53
Day high / low
$256.39 / $252.14
Market cap
$611.1B
About this company
Free
Johnson & Johnson is a global healthcare company focused on human health and well-being. It operates through two main segments: Innovative Medicine, which develops and sells pharmaceutical products across various therapeutic areas, and MedTech, which manufactures medical devices for cardiovascular, orthopaedics, surgery, and vision care.
Business segments
10-K
Innovative Medicine MedTech
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 14, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Joaquin Duato (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Joe Wolk (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
Johnson & Johnson reported first-quarter 2026 operational sales growth of 6.4%. The company posted adjusted EPS of $2.70, beating consensus by $0.02, and GAAP EPS of $2.14, missing consensus by $0.13. Revenue was about $24.06 billion, and the quarter beat revenue expectations by about $881.84 million.
Forward guidance
Management raised full-year 2026 operational sales guidance to 5.9%-6.9%, with a midpoint of about $100.2 billion, reflecting 6.4% growth at the midpoint. They also raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $11.45-$11.65, implying continued confidence in the company’s growth trajectory.
Notable Q&A
Analysts focused on the sustainability of growth across Innovative Medicine and MedTech, as well as the pace of margin improvement and the impact of pipeline and portfolio execution. Management responded that the company’s diversified portfolio and R&D investment support durable growth, while reaffi
Surprise items
The most notable stock-moving item was the increase in full-year operational sales guidance and raised EPS guidance. The quarter also showed a meaningful revenue beat, which reinforced confidence in near-term execution.
Q4 2025 (Jan 27, 2026) · Neutral Q1 2024 (Apr 16, 2024) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$269.43 / $154.80
Forward P/E
19.9×
Trailing 29.4×
Dividend
$5.36 / share
Yield 2.08%
Analysts covering
22
Avg target $262.27
Beta
0.23
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.2%
Float shorted
Buy
65%
Hold
30%
Sell
4%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$94.2 billion
6.0% YoY
Operating margin
26.8%
Net income
$26.8 billion
Free cash flow
$19.7 billion
Dividend / share
$5.14
Total debt
$47.9 billion
Cash: $19.7 billion
Earnings quality: MEDIUM
Cash conversion:0.9x
Non-recurring items: Reversal of approximately $7.0 billion of previously accrued talc reserve, Expense of $0.8 billion for Auris shareholder litigation, Net acquisition, integration and divestiture related expense of $0.4 billion in Innovative Medicine (primarily Intra-Cellular and Halda acquisitions), Net acquisition, integration and divestiture related income of $0.2 billion in MedTech (primarily Abiomed contingent value right liability reduction)
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-11
Xavier sector view:
Health Care
See journal
View Health Care journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.2 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
JNJ is trading at ~30x TTM P/E with near-zero revenue growth (0.1%) and negative earnings growth (-0.5%), making the current price difficult to justify on fundamentals alone. The stock pulled back ~0.8% to $256.98 after a 3.7% surge on July 7, now sitting just 4.6% below the 52-week high with a consensus analyst target of only $257.50 — virtually no upside priced in. Q2 earnings on July 15 (within the 5-day window) represent a binary event with options implying a 4.3% move, creating a symmetrical risk/reward that argues for NEUTRAL rather than a directional bet.
Strongest bull case
Q2 earnings on July 15 carry meaningful beat potential: analysts project $2.85 EPS (+2.9% YoY) and $25.14B revenue (+5.9% YoY), DARZALEX is expected to grow 17.5% YoY, the forward P/E of ~20x is reasonable for a defensive compounder, and the company raised its full-year 2026 EPS guidance to $11.45–$11.65 — suggesting management visibility is high.
Strongest bear case
Talc litigation remains a live, unresolved liability: with 68,000+ MDL plaintiffs still in play after the third bankruptcy settlement attempt failed, individual jury verdicts continue (including a recent $45M verdict), and the stock has already front-run positive Q2 sentiment with a 3.7% surge on July 7 — meaning a 'meet' rather than a 'beat' on July 15 could trigger a sell-the-news reversal, especially with volume running below average near 52-week highs.
What the market may be missing
The stock's TTM P/E of ~30x is being justified by forward earnings of ~$11.57 for FY2026, but Stelara biosimilar erosion is an ongoing and escalating headwind that risks making those consensus estimates too optimistic by H2 2026 — the market may be under-pricing the pace of STELARA revenue decay relative to DARZALEX/CARVYKTI ramp, creating asymmetric downside if Q2 guidance commentary signals accelerating Stelara erosion.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BEARISH
msj100_JNJ_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
JNJ
current
$253.85 ▼1.5%
PFE
NEUTRAL
$24.17
ISRG
NEUTRAL
$406.78
ABBV
NEUTRAL
$248.08
DXCM
NEUTRAL
$72.86
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-06-12
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-04
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Joaquin Duato
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
JD
Joaquin Duato
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer · Johnson & Johnson
CEO since 2022
Total compensation
$32,758,111 ▲ 34.8% YoY
Prior year: $24,302,360
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
92%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
11/12 (92%)
Diversity: 42% (5 women)
Base salary$1,600,000
Bonus / incentive$3,502,000
Stock awards$15,028,948
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
InterviewJun 16, 2026
Joaquin Duato Interview Source ↗
Mr. Joaquin Duato (CEO) · The Economic Club of Washington, D.C.
Under Joaquin Duato’s leadership, Johnson & Johnson has focused on healthcare innovation, developing breakthrough medicines and medical technology for complex diseases. The event celebrates J&J's 140th anniversary with an interview by David Rubenstei
Investor DayMay 12, 2026
Q1 2026 Earnings Call Source ↗
Mr. Joaquin Duato (CEO) · Johnson & Johnson Investor Call
J&J reported strong Q1 results with $24.1 billion in sales, up 9.9%, driven by oncology drug Darzalex ($4B sales) and immunology drug Tremfya ($1.6B). CEO Duato affirmed the company is on track for $100 billion annual revenue in 2026, raising guidanc
“"We are on track to meet our 2026 target of $100 billion in annual revenue for the first time." "J&J is off to a fast start in 2026."”
Investor DayMay 12, 2026
Q1 2026 Earnings Discussion Source ↗
Mr. Joaquin Duato (CEO) · Johnson & Johnson
Duato forecasted strong growth acceleration for 2026, driven by oncology and the new IL-23 psoriasis pill Icotyde to replace Stelara sales gap. Analysts project Icotyde to reach $4.4 billion in global sales by 2032. The company anticipates double-dig
Industry EventMay 09, 2026
America's Biopharmaceutical Innovation Advantage Source ↗
Mr. Joaquin Duato (CEO) · Fortune
Duato discussed America's health innovation engine, highlighting AI-accelerated drug discovery and a $55 billion domestic manufacturing push. Emphasis on biopharmaceutical advancements positioning the U.S. as a global leader.
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Joaquin Duato 2025 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

Dear shareholders,

March 2026

2025 was a catapult year for Johnson & Johnson, propelling the company into a new era of accelerated impact and growth.

Johnson & Johnson leads the industry as the most comprehensive healthcare innovation powerhouse and today we have the strongest portfolio and pipeline in our history.

Over the last 12 months, we increased our focus on areas of high-growth and high-unmet need, expanding leadership positions across six key areas: Oncology, Immunology, Neuroscience, Cardiovascular, Surgery and Vision.

With a unique business model that spans both Innovative Medicine and MedTech, we have the depth and scale to shape the future of healthcare in ways no other company can.

Performance and priorities

In 2025, Johnson & Johnson delivered strong operational sales growth of 5.3%(1). Excluding STELARA, where sales were negatively impacted by loss of exclusivity, the Company grew 11.5%(1).

Full year adjusted net earnings were $26.2 billion(1). Adjusted diluted net earnings per share were $10.79(1). The power and resilience of our portfolio continued to grow, as Shockwave and CARVYKTI joined our list of platforms with more than $1 billion in annual sales, bringing the total number of platforms to 28 across the portfolio.

Our strong balance sheet, fueled by free cash flow of nearly $20 billion(1), enables us to drive value for shareholders. In 2025, we increased our dividend for the 63rd consecutive year. Our share price increased 43% yielding a total shareholder return of 47.5%, delivering one of our best annual returns in our 82-year history as a publicly traded company.

We remained steadfast in our capital allocation priorities to position Johnson & Johnson for sustained growth through the end of the decade and beyond. In 2025, we invested more than $32 billion in research, development and strategic acquisitions, including Intra-Cellular Therapies and Halda Therapeutics, as well as 40 other collaborations, partnerships and licenses.

We also initiated billions of dollars in new state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities as we continue to deliver on our plans to invest $55 billion in the U.S. over the next four years, accelerating our next wave of innovation.

Innovative Medicine

Innovative Medicine reported operational sales growth of 5.3%(1), with 13 brands growing double digits, and full-year sales exceeding $60 billion for the first time.

In 2025, we secured 51 approvals and filed 32 submissions across major markets. Additionally, we had positive readouts from 17 key studies and initiated 11 new Phase 3 programs.

In Oncology, we are advancing innovative therapies to treat and intercept disease, with the aspiration to one day cure cancer. Growth was driven through high-performing brands such as DARZALEX, which generated more than $14 billion in annual sales, and CARVYKTI, our CAR-T therapy in multiple myeloma, which is the most successful cell therapy ever launched with over 10,000 patients treated across 14 markets. Regulatory milestones included FDA approvals for RYBREVANT FASPRO, the first subcutaneous therapy for EGFR-mutated, non-small cell lung cancer, and INLEXZO, a novel drug-releasing system for bladder cancer that offers a transformative alternative to bladder removal. We also published impressive results on the investigational combination of TECVAYLI and DARZALEX for patients with previously treated multiple myeloma and were awarded a national priority review voucher by the FDA.

In Immunology, we are continuously transforming the standard of care for people living with immune-mediated disease. TREMFYA became the first and only IL-23 inhibitor with a fully subcutaneous treatment regimen for both ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease, and is now the fastest-growing IL-23 therapy in the U.S. With recent momentum in inflammatory bowel disease, TREMFYA delivered more than $5 billion in global sales in 2025. Building on that success, we recently filed for approval of icotrokinra. Once approved, icotrokinra will become the first targeted oral peptide to deliver an unprecedented combination of complete skin clearance and favorable safety profile with the simplicity of a daily pill for patients with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis.

In Neuroscience, SPRAVATO continued its strong trajectory with more than 200,000 patients now treated worldwide, and we solidified our leadership in this therapeutic area with the U.S. launch of CAPLYTA as an adjunctive therapy for major depressive disorder.

MedTech

MedTech delivered operational sales growth of 5.4%(1), with record full-year sales of nearly $34 billion. In 2025, we launched 15 major products and secured more than 40 regulatory approvals across major markets and progressed more than 60 active clinical trials.

Johnson & Johnson is the market leader in three Cardiovascular businesses. In electrophysiology, we expanded our position in pulsed field ablation, with continued global adoption of our VARIPULSE platform, which has been used to treat over 40,000 atrial fibrillation patients. We also received positive 3-month data for our investigational OMNYPULSE Catheter and completed first cases with our Dual Energy THERMOCOOL SMARTTOUCH SF Catheter in Europe.

In Surgery, our advancements in robotics, digital, and surgical instrumentation are creating new possibilities to improve outcomes. We filed our FDA de novo submission for OTTAVA, our next-generation robotic surgery system, and we launched the ETHICON 4000 Stapler, which is designed to minimize risk factors for surgical complications across multiple surgery types.

In Vision, we launched ACUVUE OASYS MAX 1-day disposable lenses for astigmatism and presbyopia and saw newly launched TECNIS Odyssey become the fastest-growing intra-ocular lens in the U.S.

We also announced the planned separation of our Orthopaedics business, a move that will increase our focus on high-growth areas and enable both organizations to pursue leadership positions in their respective markets.

Fueling our success

Johnson & Johnson ended 2025 stronger than ever with an unrivaled portfolio and pipeline, and with sharpened focus and expertise across Oncology, Immunology, Neuroscience, Cardiovascular, Surgery and Vision.

In 2026, this will translate into accelerated growth and impact with game-changing innovation reaching more patients faster. Our people continue to fuel everything we do, and in 2025 more than 90% of our employees said they were willing to go the extra mile to ensure Johnson & Johnson meets its goals. Whether in research labs, manufacturing sites, an office, or in the field, our employees are guided by Our Credo and share a deep commitment to improving lives.

Together we are driving innovation that will profoundly impact health for humanity.

Sincerely,
Joaquin Duato
Chairman and CEO

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses strong confidence in the company's performance, strategic positioning, pipeline, and future growth prospects, using terms like 'catapult year,' 'strongest portfolio and pipeline,' 'unrivaled portfolio,' and 'accelerated growth and impact.'
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Overall Vision, Leadership & Strategic Direction
#2MedTech Business Performance & Pipeline
#3Financial Performance & Capital Allocation
#4Innovative Medicine Business Performance & Pipeline
#5Employee Contributions & Culture
21 named projects & initiatives
STELARA, Shockwave, CARVYKTI, Intra-Cellular Therapies, Halda Therapeutics, DARZALEX +15 more
14 product, 4 r and d, 2 acquisition, 1 restructuring
Forward-looking statements
9 total: 1 quantified, 4 directional, 2 vague
Capital allocation priority
Investing in R&D and Strategic Acquisitions → Investing in Manufacturing Facilities and Innovation → Shareholder Returns (Dividends) → Driving Shareholder Value (General)
Key quotes
“2025 was a catapult year for Johnson & Johnson, propelling the company into a new era of accelerated impact and growth.”
Sets an optimistic tone and highlights the transformative nature of the past year for the company's future trajectory.
“With a unique business model that spans both Innovative Medicine and MedTech, we have the depth and scale to shape the future of healthcare in ways no other company can.”
Emphasizes the company's competitive advantage and broad capabilities across different healthcare sectors.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →4 letters on file (2025, 2024, 2023, 2022) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Joaquin DuatoChairman/CEO$32,758,111
Joseph WolkEVP, CFO$14,405,442
Jennifer TaubertEVP, WWC Innovative Medicine$14,030,063
John ReedEVP, Innovative Medicine, R&D$12,214,062
Tim SchmidEVP, WWC, MedTech$9,336,765
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-11
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Shareholders ask the Board to adopt a policy, and amend the bylaws as necessary,
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
0.68x
Debt / Equity
24.0x
Interest coverage
1.0x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$33.3B
Net debt
27%
Debt / Assets
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
MEDIUM (cash conversion 0.9x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Product liability and mass tort litigation, particularly related to talc claims.
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% JNJ is trading at ~30x TTM P/E with near-zero revenue growth (0.1%) and negative earnings growth (-0... $256.98 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% JNJ screens as roughly fully valued to slightly expensive for a 5-day tactical horizon: the stock is... $256.98 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% JNJ is trading at ~27x TTM P/E — modestly above sector norms and stretched for a company posting nea... $232.77 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% JNJ is caught between a credible fundamental recovery story and a crowded near-term risk surface. Th... $225.33 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 75% JNJ trades at 27x TTM P/E — modestly above the S&P 500 average — with near-zero revenue growth (0.09... $234.34 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% JNJ trades at ~26x TTM P/E — modestly above the sector average — with near-zero revenue growth and n... $226.71 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 67% JNJ has a supportive macro backdrop and trades below analyst consensus target, but the stock is not ... $221.32 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 100% JNJ delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat — 9.9% reported revenue growth to $24.1B and raised full-year gu... $227.19 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.5/10 50% JNJ reports Q1 2026 earnings on April 14 — two trading days away — with analysts expecting $2.68 EPS... $238.46 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
JNJ Johnson & Johnson
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-11)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$94.2 billion 6.0% YoY
? Operating income
$25.3 billion
? Net income
$26.8 billion
? Free cash flow
$19.7 billion
? EPS (diluted)
$2.14
? Dividend per share
$5.14
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
19.04%
WACC
5.48%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 13.56%
? WACC
5.48%
? Cost of equity
5.54%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
4.81%
? Capital structure
E: 91.74% / D: 8.26%
? ROIC
19.04%
? EVA
$15.5B
? NOPAT
$21.8B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.