MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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ISRG
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Health Care · NYSE: ISRG · MSJ-100
$379.50
▼ $27.62  (▼6.78%) today
After-hours: $381.89  ▲ 0.63%
Headquarters
Sunnyvale, CA
Employees
17,021
Founded
1995
CEO
Mr. David J. Rosa
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $558.01
$380 now
Bear $366 Avg $558 Bull $750
Price history Free
Volume
5.75M
Avg volume
2.46M
Open
$396.10
Day high / low
$397.38 / $378.50
Market cap
$134.4B
About this company
Free
Intuitive Surgical, Inc. is a medical technology company that develops, manufactures, and markets robotic-assisted surgical systems, including the da Vinci surgical systems for a wide range of procedures and the Ion endoluminal system for lung biopsies. The company provides a comprehensive ecosystem of systems, instruments, accessories, learning, and support services to enhance minimally invasive care.
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q1 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 21, 2026Confident
Gary Guthart (CEO), Marshall Mohr (CFO)
Key metrics
Revenue: $2.77B (beat $2.62B est., +23% YoY, +22% constant currency); EPS: $2.50 (beat $2.08-$2.12 est.); Non-GAAP operating margin: 39%; GAAP net income: $822M ($2.28/share); Cash: $8B; Procedures: +15% US total (+14% da Vinci, +37% Ion).
Forward guidance
Anticipated revenue growth in coming quarters with continued expansion of da Vinci systems, particularly in international markets. Non-GAAP operating expense growth expected between 11%-14%. Non-GAAP income tax rate between 22%-23% of pre-tax income; other income forecasted at $315-$335 million.
Notable Q&A
Not available in search snippet.
Surprise items
EPS beat of 17.92% and revenue beat of 5.73%; stock dipped 3.07% regular session but rebounded in aftermarket; $1.1B share repurchases and acquisitions in Italy/Spain/Portugal.
Q1 2026 (Apr 16, 2026) · Confident Q4 2025 (Jan 21, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$603.88 / $378.50
Forward P/E
32.2×
Trailing 46.2×
Dividend
Analysts covering
30
Avg target $558.01
Beta
1.46
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
2.1%
Float shorted
Buy
68%
Hold
26%
Sell
6%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$10,064.7 million
21% YoY
Operating margin
29.3%
Net income
$2,856.0 million
Free cash flow
$2,490.7 million
Dividend / share
null
Total debt
null
Cash: $3,368.0 million
CapEx guidance
null
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:84%
Cash conversion:1.1x
Non-recurring items: New and incremental tariffs increased cost of revenues by approximately $63.0 million in 2025., A charitable contribution of $70 million was made to the Intuitive Foundation in 2025., An excise tax of $5.6 million was accrued for shares repurchased in 2025.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-03
Xavier sector view:
Health Care
See journal
View Health Care journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.7 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
ISRG is trading near its 52-week low ($396.68) despite operationally strong fundamentals: Q1 2026 EPS of $2.50 beat estimates by ~30%, revenue grew 23% YoY, and Q2 2026 earnings on July 16 represent a near-term catalyst with a strong beat history (4 consecutive beats). At ~$407, the stock trades at a ~28% discount to analyst consensus (~$561-572), creating a meaningful asymmetric setup into earnings. The TTM P/E of ~49x is elevated, but the forward P/E of ~34.5x is more defensible given 13-20% procedure growth and a recurring-revenue razor-blade model with >11,000 installed systems.
Strongest bull case
Q2 2026 earnings report on July 16 is 4 days away, and ISRG has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters—including a massive 30% beat in Q1 2026—while procedure growth guidance was raised to 13.5%-15.5% for FY2026; a repeat beat could catalyze a sharp reversal from oversold levels near the 52-week low.
Strongest bear case
A Class II worldwide recall of specific da Vinci system components was voluntarily initiated in April 2026, and Deutsche Bank cut its price target to $366 (below current price) citing structural concerns; if Q2 earnings disappoint or management guides conservatively on recall-related costs or tariff headwinds (~100bps gross margin impact already flagged), the stock could break decisively below its 52-week low of $396.68 with no technical support underneath.
What the market may be missing
The market appears to be conflating a ~27% YTD de-rating (driven by macro multiple compression and the recall headline) with a deteriorating business—but actual procedure volumes grew 17-20% in recent quarters and EPS is accelerating. The recall is Class II (not a safety-critical Class I), and the earnings setup 4 days out with a consistent beat pattern and a stock at 52-week lows creates a contrarian risk/reward that the institutional selling pressure has obscured.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — BULLISH
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_ISRG_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
ISRG
current
$379.50 ▼6.8%
PFE
NEUTRAL
$24.17
ABBV
NEUTRAL
$248.08
JNJ
NEUTRAL
$256.98
DXCM
NEUTRAL
$72.86
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-13
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-12
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-10
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-10
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-10
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — David J. Rosa
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
DJ
David J. Rosa
Chief Executive Officer · Intuitive Surgical Inc.
CEO since 2025
Total compensation
$20,997,480 ▲ 52.6% YoY
Prior year: $13,762,318
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
93%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
8/10 (80%)
Diversity: 60% (4 women)
Base salary$925,000
Bonus / incentive$1,373,859
Stock awards$18,674,872
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
David J. Rosa 2025 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

Dear Owner,

I started with Intuitive in March of 1996 as a mechanical engineer responsible for designing several aspects of our first da Vinci surgical system. My first months were spent in the lab and operating room, trying to understand what was required to perform high-quality, minimally invasive surgery and how robotics could possibly move the field forward. Those early experiences informed the knowledge that behind every design choice, engineering advancement, and surgical intervention there was a patient who trusts their care team, and indirectly, Intuitive and our technology.

Three decades later, this patients-first approach still guides us. 2025 marked 30 years since Intuitive's founding, 20 million total procedures performed with our da Vinci and Ion systems, and 25 years since becoming a public company. While these are remarkable milestones in our pursuit of better patient care, we know that substantial progress is not made in quarters, but in years, and sometimes, decades. In many ways, it feels like our journey is just beginning as advances in technology continue to shape the surgical and interventional landscape and opportunities to improve patient care and outcomes.

Patients first, always.

20.4M+ patients⁴

Serving patients globally in 70+ countries.

In 2024, we launched our fifth-generation multiport system, da Vinci 5. Since then, we have enhanced the system with multiple hardware and software updates while deepening our manufacturing and supply chain capabilities. As of the end of 2025, customers across the United States, Korea, Japan, and Europe had installed more than 1,200 da Vinci 5 systems and used them in more than 270,000 procedures. Customers are responding to improvements in vision, ergonomics, and precision with increased procedural efficiency and greater throughput.

We have also made investments in our digital capabilities; as just one example, physicians and care teams are responding favorably to our initial deployment of My Intuitive+. My Intuitive+ brings together SimNow for skills development; Intuitive Telepresence for case observation, collaboration, and mentoring; and Case Insights for objective performance measurement. We believe these technologies will provide significant value for our stakeholders.

Early data on our Force Feedback instrumentation suggests the potential benefits that can arise when physicians have the ability to measure and then apply objectively gentler force across a broad range of procedures. There is further investigation underway to identify tasks and specific parts of certain procedures that may provide clinical value to patients. We are excited to have greater supply of Force Feedback instrumentation available to our customers in 2026.

We are encouraged that customers have responded to broader availability of da Vinci 5 with increased demand for system upgrades and fleet standardization, thus providing opportunities for prior systems to be repurposed for use in sites of care that may not have had access to da Vinci surgery previously. After hours acute procedures in the U.S. continued to rise as hospitals increased da Vinci system availability—one tangible sign that adoption is expanding in ways that matter to patient access to minimally invasive care.

We designed these innovations and others to support customers globally in their pursuit of the Quintuple Aim as we jointly work to improve outcomes, provide better patient and care team experiences, lower total cost to treat, and expand access to care.

Additional highlights since our correspondence a year ago include:

  • In 2025, our customers used our products in over 3.2 million procedures, up 19% from 2024. Da Vinci procedures increased by 18% to over 3.1 million procedures, including 15% growth in the United States and 23% international growth. International da Vinci procedures topped 1.1 million. Ion procedures increased by 51%.
  • We placed 1,721 da Vinci systems, including 1,614 multi-port systems and 107 Single Port systems. Ion placements were 195.
  • At year end, our total installed base of systems was more than 12,100, with more than 11,100 da Vinci systems—including 377 Single Port systems—and 995 Ion systems installed at customer sites.
  • Utilization of our systems, which is the highest endorsement of our products’ value, increased by 3% across da Vinci platforms to just over 300 procedures per system per year. Ion utilization growth was higher by 9%.
  • Revenue was approximately $10.1 billion, 21% growth from 2024.
  • Research and development spending exceeded $1 billion as our company continued to expand its core capabilities and develop new ones. Throughout 2025, we obtained additional regulatory clearances across both our da Vinci and Ion platforms. In January 2026, we received FDA 510(k) clearance on da Vinci 5 for certain cardiac procedures.
  • We expanded our presence with new facilities in California, Germany, and Bulgaria.
  • In March 2026, we established direct operations in Italy, Spain, and Portugal with the acquisition of our distributors, and we welcomed approximately 250 employees to our company.

Looking to the future, the ways we think about healthcare and providing patient care are changing rapidly. Cancer diagnoses are increasing with an aging population, healthcare costs are rising around the world, AI is driving faster advancements in discovery, and patients are becoming increasingly educated about their choices.

However, in this ever-changing and dynamic environment, we believe one thing remains durable: providing surgeons and their patients with profoundly better care.

In support of this, our priorities for 2026 are clear:

  • Platform growth through the continued global expansion of da Vinci 5, Single Port, and Ion. We will continue to release follow-on digital features and ecosystem enhancements across our platforms.
  • Procedure adoption by country through training, commercial activities, and market access efforts.
  • Global manufacturing with a continued focus on product quality, building industrial scale, and optimizing manufacturing operations.
  • Innovation to reach more patients—advancing early-stage research and development programs for new disease states while expanding the number of procedures in our line of sight.

Thank you for your trust. We will continue to communicate with transparency about where we are making progress and where we need to do more. At our core, we are committed to creating lasting value for patients, the care teams who serve them, and for you as owners.

David J. Rosa
Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses confidence in the company's continuous innovation, strong performance metrics (procedure growth, revenue, installed base), and global expansion, consistently framing market challenges as opportunities and emphasizing future growth.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Product Innovation & Platform Growth
#2Patient-centricity & Quintuple Aim
#3Global Expansion & Market Penetration
#4Operational Excellence & R&D Investment
13 named projects & initiatives
da Vinci surgical system, Ion systems, da Vinci 5, My Intuitive+, SimNow, Intuitive Telepresence +7 more
6 product, 4 technology, 1 r and d, 1 strategic initiative, 1 other
Forward-looking statements
10 total: 0 quantified, 7 directional, 3 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth (R&D & Facilities) → Mergers & Acquisitions
Key quotes
“In many ways, it feels like our journey is just beginning as advances in technology continue to shape the surgical and interventional landscape and opportunities to improve patient care and outcomes.”
Highlights the company's long-term vision and perceived vast growth potential, despite significant past achievements.
“We believe these technologies will provide significant value for our stakeholders.”
A strong statement of confidence in the strategic value and return on investment for their new digital and product innovations.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →2 letters on file (2025, 2023) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Gary S. Guthart, Ph.D.Executive Chair of the Board of Directors$18,094,937
Jamie E. SamathExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Enterprise Technology Leader$8,396,045
Henry L. CharltonExecutive Vice President and Chief Commercial and Marketing Officer$6,240,703
Gary H. LoebExecutive Vice President and Chief Legal and Compliance Officer$5,590,211
Mark P. BrosiusSenior Vice President and Chief Manufacturing and Supply Chain Officer$5,539,390
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-13
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
No financial covenants on file
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.1x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — The commercial landscape is highly competitive, with established and emerging tr
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 75% ISRG is trading near its 52-week low ($396.68) despite operationally strong fundamentals: Q1 2026 EP... $406.78 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 100% ISRG screens as expensive for a 5-day setup: ~49.5x trailing earnings and ~34.5x forward earnings ar... $406.78 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% ISRG trades at ~51x TTM P/E and ~35x forward P/E — expensive by any absolute measure — yet the opera... $422.06 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 100% ISRG's Q1 2026 fundamentals were exceptional — 23% revenue growth, 17% procedure volume expansion, a... $424.64 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% ISRG is caught in a valuation compression cycle: the stock has fallen ~27% from its 52-week high of ... $438.10 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 50% ISRG is trading near its 52-week low (~$421 vs. $417.74 low) after a ~30% drawdown from peak, with Q... $421.12 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 7.1/10 67% ISRG is a high-quality medtech franchise, but the near-term setup is not compelling for the next 5 t... $450.06 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% ISRG delivered a strong Q1 2026 beat (revenue +23% YoY, non-GAAP EPS $2.50 vs. $2.08 consensus), rai... $457.78 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.0/10 50% ISRG is trading roughly 25% below its 52-week high and sits in technically oversold territory ahead ... $450.62 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
ISRG Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-03)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$10,064.7 million 21% YoY
? Operating income
$2,945.5 million
? Net income
$2,856.0 million
? Free cash flow
$2,490.7 million
? EPS (diluted)
$2.28
? Dividend per share
null
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Insufficient data to compute capital metrics for ISRG. Requires beta, market cap, and debt data.
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.