MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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HAL
Halliburton Company
Energy · NYSE: HAL · MSJ-100
$35.42
▲ $0.21  (▲0.60%) today
After-hours: $35.45  ▲ 0.08%
Headquarters
Houston, TX
Employees
46,000
Founded
1933
CEO
Mr. Jeffrey Allen Miller CPA
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $44.00
$35 now
Bear $28 Avg $44 Bull $55
Price history Free
Volume
8.65M
Avg volume
12.00M
Open
$36.10
Day high / low
$36.20 / $34.91
Market cap
$29.6B
About this company
Free
Halliburton Company is a global provider of products and services to the energy industry. It helps customers maximize asset value across the reservoir lifecycle, including locating hydrocarbons, managing geological data, drilling, well construction, completion, and production optimization.
Business segments
10-K
Completion and Production Drilling and Evaluation
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 22, 2026Optimistic
● Full transcript on file
Jeff Miller (Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer), Eric Carre (Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer), Operator (Conference Call Operator)
Key metrics
Management discussed two main buckets of financial impact from geopolitical and logistical issues: lost revenue and inflated costs (logistics and fuel), which are factored into their Q2 2026 outlook.[1] They cited an expected $0.07–$0.09 negative EPS effect from Middle East disruptions in Q2 2026 and reaffirmed a 2026 capital expenditure target of
Forward guidance
Management highlighted that North America is in an early-stage recovery and expressed confidence that Halliburton will benefit as customers prioritize technology, efficiency, and execution, particularly in a tightening service market.[1] They indicated that international business is expected to grow outside the Middle East, with offshore markets an
Notable Q&A
In a Q&A exchange with an analyst identified as Neil, CFO Eric Carre emphasized that there has been no change in Halliburton’s focus on shareholder returns or its philosophy on share buybacks, clarifying that lower early‑year buyback activity versus 2025 is a timing issue rather than a shift in capi
Surprise items
The explicit quantification of a $0.07–$0.09 EPS headwind from Middle East disruptions for Q2 2026, along with detail on lost revenue and inflated logistics and fuel costs, provided more granular near‑term impact than is often given and could adjust market expectations.[1] Despite these disruptions,
Q4 2025 (Jan 23, 2026) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$43.59 / $20.17
Forward P/E
12.1×
Trailing 19.6×
Dividend
$0.68 / share
Yield 1.93%
Analysts covering
25
Avg target $44.00
Beta
0.72
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
5.1%
Float shorted
Buy
71%
Hold
21%
Sell
7%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$22.2 billion
-3% YoY
Operating margin
10.2%
Net income
$1,292 million
Free cash flow
$1,672 million
Dividend / share
$0.68
Total debt
$7,158 million
Cash: $2,206 million
CapEx guidance
$1.1 billion
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:2.3x
Non-recurring items: Severance costs of $299 million, Impairment of assets held for sale related to chemical business of $224 million, Fixed and other asset write-offs of $115 million, Impairment associated with facility closures and lease terminations of $53 million
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-06
Xavier sector view:
Energy
See journal
View Energy journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.1 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
HAL trades at a reasonable 19x TTM P/E with a deeply discounted 11.7x forward P/E, and the stock sits ~21% below its 52-week high with a meaningful gap to the $44 consensus target — value optics are genuine. However, Q2 2026 earnings due July 21 (just 7 trading days out) are projected to show year-over-year EPS decline (~$0.54 vs $0.55 prior year), North America activity remains pressured (-4% YoY in Q1), and the recent geopolitical oil price pop from Iran tensions is fragile and could reverse rapidly if diplomacy resumes. With earnings risk imminent and revenue growth essentially flat, the 5-day risk/reward is balanced rather than compelling.
Strongest bull case
Forward P/E of ~11.7x is deeply discounted relative to the S&P 500, the stock is 21% below its 52-week high with a 28% gap to analyst consensus target ($44), HAL has beaten EPS estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters, and new multi-year contract wins in Iraq, Argentina (YPF), and Vaca Muerta provide durable international earnings visibility.
Strongest bear case
Q2 2026 earnings report lands July 21 — within the 5-day window — with consensus EPS of $0.54 representing a year-over-year decline; the company guided for a $0.07–$0.09/share Middle East conflict headwind in Q2 (up from $0.02–$0.03 in Q1), North America revenue is structurally weak, and the recent oil price spike is driven purely by Iran geopolitical risk premium that could evaporate if ceasefire talks resume — creating a double risk of both a weak print and a crude oil reversal simultaneously.
What the market may be missing
The market may be underweighting the asymmetry around the July 21 earnings event: HAL's guidance explicitly flagged a larger Middle East conflict drag in Q2 vs Q1, meaning even a 'beat' could be on depressed expectations set partly by management sandbagging. If oil stabilizes at current elevated levels and the Iraq/Vaca Muerta contract ramp begins contributing in H2, the forward earnings revision cycle could inflect — a dynamic not yet priced into the 11.7x forward multiple.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BEARISH
msj100_HAL_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
HAL
current
$35.42 ▲0.6%
BKR
NEUTRAL
$57.56
OXY
NEUTRAL
$52.89
MPC
NEUTRAL
$283.74
EOG
NEUTRAL
$134.10
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-06-30
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 COND
8-K — 2026-06-29
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-22
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
8-K — 2026-05-20
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-18
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Jeffrey A. Miller
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
JA
Jeffrey A. Miller
Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer · Halliburton Company
CEO since 2017
Total compensation
$16,525,407 ▼ 9.8% YoY
Prior year: $18,326,343
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
94%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
10/12 (83%)
Base salary$1,700,000
Bonus / incentive
Stock awards$7,992,782
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for HAL
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Jeffrey A. MillerChairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer$16,525,407
Eric J. CarreExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer$5,472,992
Van H. BeckwithExecutive Vice President, Secretary and Chief Legal Officer$5,176,142
Mark J. RichardSpecial Advisor to CEO$6,797,234
J. Shannon SlocumDirector, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer$6,531,938
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-31
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of Directors
FOR
Pending
Ratification of Selection of Principal Independent Public Accountants
FOR
Pending
Advisory Approval of Executive Compensation
FOR
Pending
Approval of the Halliburton Energy Services, Inc. Charter Amendment
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
4 debt instruments · 9 unique covenants
0.66x
Debt / Equity
1.4x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$5.2B
Net debt
28%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Revolver $3,500,000,000
U.S. $3,500,000,000 FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of August 18, 2025
Matures 2030-08-16 · Filed 2025-08-20
Floating · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime
Unsecured. Cash collateral is required for specific events related to Letters of Credit or Defaulting Banks, but the facility itself is unsecured.
Revolver $3,500,000,000
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures 2027-04-27 · Filed 2022-04-28
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
Bond $1,000,000,000
2.920% Senior Notes due March 1, 2030
Matures 2030-03-01 · Filed 2020-03-03
Fixed
unsecured
406216 BL4
Revolver $3,500,000,000
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
Matures 2024-03-05 · Filed 2019-03-07
Floating · LIBOR | Fed Funds | Prime
Unsecured. Cash collateral is required for Letters of Credit in specific scenarios (e.g., non-extending banks, change of control, default).
Financial covenants
Limitation on Liens (General Basket)
≤ 15% of Consolidated Net Worth
Sum of principal amount of Indebtedness and maximum possible reimbursement obligations in respect of letters of credit secured by Liens
U.S. $3,500,000,000 FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGR
Limitation on Subsidiary Indebtedness Liens
≤ $200,000,000 at any time outstanding
Indebtedness incurred by Subsidiaries of HALCO (other than HOFC) secured by Liens
U.S. $3,500,000,000 FIVE YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGR
Limitation on Subsidiary Indebtedness Liens
≤ $200,000,000
Indebtedness incurred by Subsidiaries secured by Liens
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
Cross-Default (Payment Default)
> $200,000,000
Payment default on other Indebtedness
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
Cross-Default (Acceleration/Cash Collateral)
> $200,000,000
Acceleration or required cash collateral on other Indebtedness
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
Judgment Default
> $200,000,000 over and above insurance coverage
Unpaid judgments
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
ERISA Liability Default
> $250,000,000
Aggregate ERISA liability
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
Maximum Liens for Other Indebtedness
≤ 15%
Sum of principal amount of Indebtedness and maximum reimbursement obligations in respect of letters of credit secured by Liens (excluding certain permitted Liens) / Consolidated Net Worth
Five Year Revolving Credit Agreement
1 additional covenant on file
Cross-default risk
4 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 2.3x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Trends in oil and natural gas prices affect the level of exploration, developmen
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 75% HAL trades at a reasonable 19x TTM P/E with a deeply discounted 11.7x forward P/E, and the stock sit... $34.39 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 75% HAL screens as reasonably valued on forward earnings, but not obviously cheap enough to create a str... $34.39 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 50% HAL is down ~5% today on the back of collapsing oil prices driven by a U.S.-Iran peace deal progress... $39.18 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.6/10 100% HAL trades at 21.5x TTM P/E — a 44% premium to its own 5-year median of ~15x — with near-zero revenu... $38.85 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% HAL trades at $41.47, essentially at Morningstar's fair value estimate of ~$41.64 and just 4.8% belo... $41.47 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.6/10 100% HAL trades at 96% of its 52-week high and within 2% of the consensus analyst price target of $42.48 ... $41.76 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 50% HAL presents a mixed risk/reward at current levels: the stock is trading near its 52-week high (~$39... $39.83 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 75% HAL just delivered a Q1 2026 EPS beat of 10.5% ($0.55 vs $0.50 est.) with net income more than doubl... $41.66 Sched.
May 01, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 100% HAL trades essentially at its analyst consensus price target (~$41.64) after a ~1.84% down day, offe... $41.52 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.6/10 75% HAL reports Q1 2026 earnings on April 21 — just days away — and while analysts expect a 15% EPS decl... $37.59 Sched.
Showing last 10 signals
HAL Halliburton Company
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-06)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$22.2 billion -3% YoY
? Operating income
$2.3 billion
? Net income
$1,292 million
? Free cash flow
$1,672 million
? EPS (diluted)
$0.55
? Dividend per share
$0.68
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
12.75%
WACC
6.88%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 5.87%
? WACC
6.88%
? Cost of equity
8.24%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
1.24%
? Capital structure
E: 80.52% / D: 19.48%
? ROIC
12.75%
? EVA
$936M
? NOPAT
$2.0B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.