MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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ES
Eversource Energy
Utilities · NYSE: ES · MSJ-100
$74.64
▼ $0.22  (▼0.29%) today
After-hours: $75.25  ▲ 0.82%
Headquarters
Springfield, MA
Employees
10,731
Founded
1926
CEO
Mr. Joseph R. Nolan Jr.
Incorporated
Massachusetts
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $72.83
$75 now
Bear $54 Avg $73 Bull $85
Price history Free
Volume
1.61M
Avg volume
2.54M
Open
$75.41
Day high / low
$76.00 / $74.44
Market cap
$28.1B
About this company
Free
Eversource Energy is a public utility holding company primarily engaged in the energy delivery business through its regulated utility subsidiaries. It operates in electric distribution, electric transmission, natural gas distribution, and water distribution, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
Business segments
10-K
Electric Distribution Electric Transmission Natural Gas Distribution Water Distribution
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q4 2025 2025
Intel
Free
2026-02-XXNeutral
● Full transcript on file
Joseph R. Nolan Jr. (Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer), John Moreira (Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer), Investor Relations Representative (Vice President, Investor Relations)
Key metrics
For full‑year 2025, Eversource’s net income was reported at approximately $1.69 billion, more than double 2024’s roughly $0.81 billion, reflecting a normalization of earnings following prior‑year one‑offs and ongoing cost recovery progress.[5] Management discussed quarterly and segment‑level performance on the call, highlighting stable regulated el
Forward guidance
On the Q4 2025 call, management framed 2026 as a year of transition with regulatory risk around transmission returns but reiterated their multi‑year capital investment plan in electric and gas infrastructure.[7] They indicated that detailed 2026 guidance would incorporate potential FERC decisions and state‑level regulatory outcomes, but that the lo
Notable Q&A
During Q&A, analysts focused on regulatory and political risk in Eversource’s New England territories, including concerns over high customer bills and potential reforms.[7][10] Management responded that they were working closely with regulators and policymakers to balance affordability with the need
Surprise items
A notable item was the magnitude of the recovery in 2025 net income versus 2024—over 100% year‑on‑year—which underscored how much prior‑year results had been depressed by non‑recurring items and regulatory timing.[5] Management also spent significant time addressing political scrutiny of electric bi
Q1 (May 07, 2026) · Neutral Q1 2026 (May 07, 2026) · Cautious
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$76.41 / $61.53
Forward P/E
15.2×
Trailing 16.0×
Dividend
$3.15 / share
Yield 4.21%
Analysts covering
12
Avg target $72.83
Beta
0.71
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
3.9%
Float shorted
Buy
25%
Hold
56%
Sell
19%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$13,547,244 Thousand
13.83% YoY
Operating margin
22.1%
Net income
$1,692,372 Thousand
Free cash flow
-$45,097 Thousand
Dividend / share
$3.01
Total debt
$28,265,381 Thousand
Cash: $135,351 Thousand
CapEx guidance
$26.51 billion from 2026 through 2030, including $11.24 billion in electric distribution, $6.80 billion in natural gas distribution, and $7.24 billion in electric transmission. An additional $1.23 billion is projected for information technology and facilities upgrades and enhancements. Investments for the water distribution business are expected to total approximately $1.3 billion from 2026 through 2030.
Earnings quality: MEDIUM
Recurring revenue:90%
Cash conversion:2.4x
Non-recurring items: Aggregate net after-tax charge from offshore wind investments of $75.0 million (pre-tax charge of $284.0 million from increased contingent liability, offset by $209 million tax benefits) in 2025, Aggregate net after-tax loss on sale of offshore wind investments of $524.0 million in 2024, After-tax loss from expected sale of Aquarion of $298.3 million in 2024 (pre-tax goodwill impairment of $297 million and transaction costs)
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-17
Xavier sector view:
Utilities
See journal
View Utilities journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 5.7 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
ES is trading at ~$74.82, within 2.5% of its 52-week high of $76.41 and above the consensus analyst price target of ~$72.42, leaving limited near-term upside priced in. The March 2026 FERC ROE cut from 10.57% to 9.57% — applied retroactively to 2011 — forced a guidance cut to $4.57–$4.72 from $4.80–$4.95, creating a persistent earnings cloud. A challenged legal rehearing and a ~16x forward P/E make the risk/reward roughly balanced, warranting a hold stance rather than a directional bet.
Strongest bull case
Eversource's $26.5B capital plan through 2030, reaffirmed 5–7% long-term EPS growth target, a 4.2%+ dividend yield, and Q1 2026 earnings that beat consensus by ~5.5% provide a credible floor; any favorable FERC rehearing outcome would be a meaningful positive catalyst.
Strongest bear case
The stock is already trading above the consensus analyst price target (~$72.42 vs. $74.82 current price), analysts have recently cut targets (BMO to $73, Wells Fargo to $74, UBS to $74), and the FERC ROE reduction is expected to reduce 2026 after-tax earnings by ~$70 million with retroactive refund obligations — a headwind not fully resolved and with lingering legal uncertainty.
What the market may be missing
The retroactive FERC ROE refund liability and Eversource's $2.06 billion in deferred storm costs pending prudency review at CT and NH regulators represent a compounding balance-sheet risk that could pressure the credit profile — Moody's already downgraded CL&P to Baa1. If the FERC rehearing is denied and Connecticut regulators prove adversarial on storm cost recovery, the combined earnings and balance-sheet hit could be meaningfully worse than current sell-side models reflect.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_ES_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
ES
current
$74.64 ▼0.3%
ETR
NEUTRAL
$115.05
D
NEUTRAL
$70.08
SO
NEUTRAL
$95.61
DUK
NEUTRAL
$125.48
Recent SEC filings
Signal
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-07-01
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-05
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-18
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-11
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-05-06
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Joseph R. Nolan, Jr.
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
JR
Joseph R. Nolan, Jr.
Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer · Eversource Energy
CEO since 2021
Total compensation
$14,987,168 ▲ 10.4% YoY
Prior year: $13,578,154
Pay vs performance
MODERATE
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
57%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
9/10 (90%)
Base salary$1,432,308
Bonus / incentive$3,000,000
Stock awards$9,020,890
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Joe Nolan 2024 Annual Report MIXED

Dear Shareholders,

In 2024, Eversource's dedicated team of more than 10,000 employees again excelled in delivering safe, reliable electricity, natural gas and water to our more than 4.6 million customers. We worked safely, met financial goals, increased our dividend, and executed on key strategic initiatives. I am very proud of our team's performance.

This past year, though not without challenges, brought wins and accomplishments throughout the business. On the strategic front, we completed our divestiture of offshore wind assets and announced the sale of Aquarion Water. These steps position Eversource as a pure-play, regulated "pipes and wires" utility company – the largest in New England – with tremendous opportunities for system investment. These strategic initiatives also enhanced our financial position and improved our risk profile.

We are forecasting a cumulative long-term earnings per share growth rate in the range of 5 to 7 percent through 2029. Also, we successfully raised $1 billion of equity to enhance our balance sheet condition, while raising our annualized dividend by 5.9 percent over 2023 to $2.86 per share to position Eversource as a sound choice for investors. The chart accompanying this letter displays our recent growth in recurring earnings per share and dividends per share.

Regulatory and legislative decisions enabled progress in important areas such as advancing the region's clean energy goals and planning for future load growth. Massachusetts passed a forward-looking climate bill that included infrastructure siting reforms, crucial to the clean energy transition. Massachusetts also approved our Electric Sector Modernization Plan, a comprehensive framework for the extensive system investments needed to enable clean energy and support the state's decarbonization and electrification goals.

We filed rate requests for our Connecticut natural gas and New Hampshire electric operations, which are under review. In New Hampshire, we received a productive decision on temporary rates while the rate request is being reviewed. We have also proposed Performance-Based Regulation in both states; this ratemaking model, which ties revenue to performance metrics, is successfully used in Massachusetts. We also have significant storm cost recovery filings under review in all three states. While we pursue recovery of prior investments, we recognize affordability as an important concern, and are involved in state dockets and discussions while offering customers a variety of assistance programs.

We continue to share our perspective with Connecticut regulatory and legislative stakeholders, as well as customers, to ensure they understand the need for a constructive regulatory climate. We worked with Connecticut leaders to advance clean energy solutions in a balanced manner and obtained constructive outcomes, such as a positive Rate Adjustment Mechanism decision that provided timely recovery of public benefit related charges.

In the clean energy space, our innovative networked geothermal pilot project in Framingham, Massachusetts, was commissioned. We received approval for projects combining solar energy and storage; completed Phase 1 of our Cape Cod Solution transmission project, which will enable clean energy interconnection; earned approval for our Greater Cambridge Energy Program, an innovative transmission and distribution program with resiliency and clean energy benefits; and made a strategic acquisition of a uniquely positioned property in Everett, Massachusetts, which has strong potential as a clean energy hub.

We continued to implement systems, both internal and external, to streamline operations and provide better, more convenient customer service. These include game-changing Advanced Metering Infrastructure, or "smart meters," in Massachusetts, which we are on schedule to begin installing by the end of 2025.

However, some operating challenges we faced in 2024 remain, and we are laser-focused on addressing them. Our total shareholder return has lagged our industry peers and the S&P 500, as uncertainty over the Connecticut regulatory environment, our risk associated with offshore wind asset sales and the need for balance sheet enhancement has affected our share price. We believe our renewed focus on regulated utility operations and our commitment to enhancing our balance sheet offer strong promise for the future, and we are working hard to execute on this strategy.

The offshore wind sector faced increasing supply and project costs challenges that led to project repricing and, in some cases, project cancellations across the industry, as well as impairment costs. While we faced some delays in selling our wind assets in an extremely tough market for renewables, we succeeded in completing this important strategic step.

Our commitment to human capital, community, customer service, and clean energy remains deep, and I will close by returning to highlights in those areas. We continued work on reducing emissions from operations, leading by example to support our states' decarbonization goals. We maintained strong ratings from sustainability evaluators and produced informative reports that summarized our accomplishments and commitments in this area. We continue to incorporate equity consideration into all our decisions and deepened our commitment through companywide training, taken by all employees.

Eversource held a successful slate of community signature events, benefiting worthy organizations in the places where we work and live. Employees and retirees provided strong support for our annual United Way campaign, as well as volunteer events.

Our commitment to our core values again earned national recognition from numerous external parties, including JUST Capital, Time, Newsweek, USA Today, the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, and the U.S. Department of Labor.

I thank our employees for their hard work and dedication to our customers, as well as our investors, state and community partners. I also appreciate the continued positive collaboration of our union partners. I look forward to what we will accomplish in 2025.

Joe Nolan
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The letter balances celebration of achievements and strategic progress with candid acknowledgment of challenges like lagging shareholder return and regulatory uncertainties, while maintaining an optimistic outlook for the future.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Strategic Portfolio Optimization/Divestitures
#2Clean Energy Transition & Infrastructure Investment
#3Financial Performance & Shareholder Returns
#4Regulatory & Legislative Engagement
#5Human Capital & Community Engagement
#6Customer Service & Reliability
10 named projects & initiatives
Aquarion Water, offshore wind investments, Electric Sector Modernization Plan, networked geothermal pilot project, Cape Cod Solution transmission project, Greater Cambridge Energy Program +4 more
5 restructuring, 2 facility, 1 other, 1 r and d, 1 technology
Forward-looking statements
5 total: 1 quantified, 3 directional, 1 vague
Capital allocation priority
System Investment / Organic Growth → Dividends → Balance Sheet Enhancement → Divestitures / Portfolio Optimization
Key quotes
“I am very proud of our team's performance.”
Conveys leadership's confidence and appreciation for the workforce's achievements.
“These steps position Eversource as a pure-play, regulated "pipes and wires" utility company – the largest in New England – with tremendous opportunities for system investment.”
Clearly articulates the strategic direction of the company and its market positioning following divestitures.
View 2024 Annual Report (PDF) →2 letters on file (2024, 2022) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Joseph R. Nolan, Jr.Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer$14,987,168
John M. MoreiraExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer$5,757,862
Paul W. Chodak IIIExecutive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer$4,217,111
Gregory B. ButlerExecutive Vice President and General Counsel$2,969,012
James W. Hunt, IIIExecutive Vice President, Corporate Relations and Sustainability and Secretary$2,638,583
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-27
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Independent Board Chairman
AGAINST
47%
Debt intelligence
Pro
14 debt instruments · 6 CUSIPs · 3 unique covenants
1.78x
Debt / Equity
2.4x
Interest coverage
5.3x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$29.2B
Net debt
46%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
3.1x
24-06
4.1x
24-09
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Bond $600,000,000
Senior Notes, Series HH, Due 2030
Matures 2030-12-15 · Filed 2025-10-17
Fixed
unsecured
30040WBB3
Revolver $2,000,000,000
Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Matures 2029-10-11 · Filed 2024-11-06
Floating · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime
Unsecured. The facility is referred to as 'long-term senior unsecured, non-credit enhanced debt' in the context of Reference Ratings. Cash collateral provisions exist for Defaulting Lenders and Swing Line Loans, but not for the main facility.
30040TAH8 30040TAJ4
Revolver $650,000,000
Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Matures 2029-10-11 · Filed 2024-11-06
Floating · SOFR | Fed Funds | Prime
67020NAE4 67020NAF1
Bond $800,000,000
Senior Notes, Series CC, Due 2029
Matures 2029-02-01 · Filed 2023-11-13
Fixed
unsecured
30040WAW8
Bond $750,000,000
Senior Notes, Series Z, Due 2028
Matures 2028-03-01 · Filed 2023-03-06
Fixed
unsecured
30040W AT5
Credit $2,000,000,000
Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Matures 2027-10-15 · Filed 2022-11-04
Floating · SOFR | Base Rate
Unsecured. The facility is a revolving credit facility without explicit collateral for the revolving loans. The agreement contains negative covenants on Liens, including permitted Liens for other types of indebtedness (e.g., First Mortgage Indentures, purchase money liens, liens on Regulatory Assets).
30040TAH8 30040TAJ4
8 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Consolidated Indebtedness to Capitalization Ratio
Eversource: ≤ 0.70:1.00; Other Borrowers: ≤ 0.65:1.00
Consolidated Indebtedness / Consolidated Capitalization
Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Maximum Consolidated Indebtedness to Capitalization Ratio
≤ 0.65:1.00
Consolidated Indebtedness to Capitalization Ratio
Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Consolidated Indebtedness to Capitalization Ratio
≤ 0.65x
Consolidated Indebtedness / Consolidated Capitalization
Credit Agreement
CUSIP identifiers (6 on file)
30040TAH8 30040WAY4 67020NAE4 30040WBB3 30040WBA5 30040WAZ1
Cross-default risk
9 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Moderate leverage — no covenants on file
Earnings quality
MEDIUM (cash conversion 2.4x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Cybersecurity risks, including acts of war or terrorism, targeted directly on or
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Hold — watch for drift
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% ES is trading at ~$74.82, within 2.5% of its 52-week high of $76.41 and above the consensus analyst ... $74.82 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% ES screens as reasonably valued on earnings, but the stock is trading within about 2% of its 52-week... $74.82 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% Eversource trades at ~14.8x forward earnings with a modest 5–7% EPS CAGR guide through 2030, a profi... $70.60 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% Eversource beat Q1 2026 estimates with non-GAAP EPS of $1.73 vs $1.50 a year ago, but the fundamenta... $68.27 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 67% ES screens reasonably valued at about 15x trailing earnings, but the setup for the next 5 trading da... $70.00 Sched.
May 17, 2026 BEARISH 6.6/10 50% ES is trading at $67.17, already down ~12% from its 52-week high, but the FERC Opinion No. 594 reset... $67.17 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% ES screens as reasonably valued for a regulated utility at ~14x earnings and trades about 8% below a... $66.51 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 7.0/10 100% ES screens as reasonably valued for a regulated utility at ~15.6x trailing and ~14.2x forward earnin... $71.07 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 50% Eversource faces an acute near-term earnings reset after FERC Opinion No. 594 cut the New England tr... $69.97 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
ES Eversource Energy
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-17)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$13,547,244 Thousand 13.83% YoY
? Operating income
$2,988,589 Thousand
? Net income
$1,692,372 Thousand
? Free cash flow
-$45,097 Thousand
? EPS (diluted)
$1.61
? Dividend per share
$3.01
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
5.42%
WACC
6.21%
🟡 NEUTRAL — EVA Spread: -0.80%
? WACC
6.21%
? Cost of equity
8.18%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
4.35%
? Capital structure
E: 48.75% / D: 51.25%
? ROIC
5.42%
? EVA
-$364M
? NOPAT
$2.5B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.