MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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EOG
EOG Resources Inc.
Energy · NYSE: EOG · MSJ-100
$138.01
▼ $1.60  (▼1.15%) today
After-hours: $138.16  ▲ 0.11%
Headquarters
Houston, TX
Employees
3,400
Founded
1999
CEO
Mr. Ezra Y. Yacob
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $157.48
$138 now
Bear $129 Avg $157 Bull $196
Price history Free
Volume
2.90M
Avg volume
3.83M
Open
$139.59
Day high / low
$140.48 / $136.58
Market cap
$73.5B
About this company
Free
EOG Resources, Inc. is an independent crude oil and natural gas company focused on the exploration, development, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company primarily operates in major producing basins across the United States, Trinidad, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates, aiming to be a high-return, low-cost producer.
Business segments
10-K
United States of America Trinidad Other International
Recent News
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Investor day:
Intel
Free
Jun 23, 2026Neutral
● Full transcript on file
Key metrics
Forward guidance
Notable Q&A
Surprise items
Q1 2026 (May 08, 2026) · Confident Q4 2025 (Feb 28, 2026) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$151.87 / $101.59
Forward P/E
9.4×
Trailing 13.7×
Dividend
$4.08 / share
Yield 2.92%
Analysts covering
27
Avg target $157.48
Beta
0.26
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
4.0%
Float shorted
Buy
43%
Hold
57%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$22,632 million
-4.5% YoY
Operating margin
28.2%
Net income
$4,980 million
Free cash flow
$3,450 million
Dividend / share
$3.990
Total debt
$7,936 million
Cash: $3,396 million
CapEx guidance
$6.3 billion to $6.7 billion
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:78%
Cash conversion:2.0x
Non-recurring items: Net losses on asset dispositions of $35 million, Impairments of $843 million, Acquisition of Encino Acquisition Partners, LLC for $5.7 billion (including $4.451 billion cash consideration and $1.2 billion assumed senior notes), incurring $58 million in acquisition-related costs.
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-24
Xavier sector view:
Energy
See journal
View Energy journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
↑ Changed from NEUTRAL · Jul 11, 2026
Signal
Confidence 6.3 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
EOG is fundamentally well-positioned — low P/E (13.2x TTM, 9.1x forward), strong Q1 FCF of $1.5B, active buybacks, and an upcoming $1.02/share dividend (ex-date July 17) provide near-term support. However, the dominant macro headwind is oil price trajectory: Brent has collapsed from its April 2026 peak of ~$121/bbl to ~$70-76/bbl as the US-Iran MOU reopens the Strait of Hormuz and supply returns to market, with the EIA forecasting ongoing inventory accumulation that pressures prices toward $65/bbl Brent in 2027. EOG's Q2 2026 earnings (Aug 5) are the next major catalyst — too far out to drive 5-day directional momentum — and the stock sits mid-range with no near-term stock-specific binary event.
Strongest bull case
EOG's forward P/E of ~9.1x is deeply discounted even against a moderating oil price environment, Q2 NYMEX WTI averaged ~$92.85/bbl (strong revenue quarter incoming), Zacks just lifted Q2 EPS estimates, Jefferies raised its target to $175, and the July 17 dividend ex-date provides a modest near-term bid as income investors position ahead of the record date.
Strongest bear case
Crude oil's structural bear case is the most important near-term risk: the EIA's July 2026 STEO explicitly forecasts Brent falling to $74/b in Q3 2026 and $65/b in 2027 as Middle East supply returns post-Iran MOU, global inventories rebuild, and demand contracts by ~1.2M b/d in 2026. WTI spot is already trading around $71-72/bbl — well below EOG's Q2 realized environment — meaning the market is forward-discounting a significant revenue deterioration. Truist's price target cut to $134 (essentially the current price) and Morgan Stanley's cut to $156 signal diverging sell-side conviction. Critically, EOG's volume is running at less than half its average (1.86M vs 3.8M avg), reflecting institutional disengagement rather than conviction buying.
What the market may be missing
The US-Iran conflict restart (ceasefire effectively broken per Trump's statement on July 10-11) is re-introducing Hormuz disruption risk precisely when consensus has already priced in supply normalization. EOG's Brent-linked 10-year gas sales contract (mark-to-market accounted) could generate significant non-cash earnings volatility in Q2 that distorts the headline print — either positively or negatively — creating a potential earnings 'miss' or 'beat' that obscures underlying operational performance and catches unprepared investors off-guard at the August 5 call.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BEARISH
msj100_EOG_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
EOG
current
$138.01 ▼1.1%
BKR
NEUTRAL
$57.56
HAL
NEUTRAL
$34.39
OXY
NEUTRAL
$52.89
MPC
NEUTRAL
$283.74
Recent SEC filings
Signal
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-07-09
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-29
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Ezra Y. Yacob
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
EY
Ezra Y. Yacob
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer · EOG Resources Inc.
CEO since 2022
Total compensation
$17,576,636 ▲ 8.4% YoY
Prior year: $16,214,625
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
97%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
8/9 (89%)
Diversity: 11% (3 women)
Base salary$1,450,000
Bonus / incentive$2,718,800
Stock awards$12,729,628
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
ConferenceOct 21, 2026
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition (26ATCE) Source ↗
Mr. Ezra Y. Yacob (CEO) · Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Listed as a speaker at the 2026 SPE ATCE, with a session titled 'Exploring New Horizons with Innovative Solutions' on October 21. Focus likely on EOG's innovative approaches in oil and gas exploration, technological advancements, and strategic develo
Investor DayMay 06, 2026
EOG Resources Q1 2026 Earnings Call Source ↗
Mr. Ezra Y. Yacob (CEO) · EOG Resources, Inc.
CEO Ezra Y. Yacob described Q1 2026 as an 'exceptional start,' highlighting strong operational execution across foundational assets, advancement in emerging plays and exploration opportunities, adjusted net income of $1.8 billion, $1.5 billion in fre
“"exceptional start" to 2026”
Investor DayMay 06, 2026
EOG Resources Q1 Earnings Call Highlights Source ↗
Mr. Ezra Y. Yacob (CEO) · EOG Resources, Inc.
Chairman and CEO Ezra Yacob noted the company exceeded guidance midpoints for production volumes, total per-unit cash operating costs, and other key metrics during the Q1 2026 earnings discussion. Focused on robust performance, operational efficiency
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Ezra Y. Yacob 2025 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

Dear Shareholder,

2025 was a remarkable year for EOG.

In addition to exceptional execution of our capital and operating plan during a dynamic market, we expanded our portfolio's reach further, both domestically and internationally, with strategic investments in acquisitions, infrastructure, and exploration, strengthening our foundation for the future.

Our operational and financial performance during 2025 is a testament to the power of EOG's differentiated multi-basin portfolio, underpinned by our pristine balance sheet, to consistently perform through a volatile year in the oil and gas market. Strong execution of our disciplined capital plan across both our foundational and emerging plays enabled us to return 100% of free cash flow to shareholders. EOG's continued commitment to operational excellence drove efficiency gains and innovation that reduced costs during the year – improvements that will compound over time and create significant long-term value. We also continued to demonstrate our commitment to sustainability, setting new emission targets after achieving our prior targets ahead of schedule. Above all, the success we delivered in 2025 reflects the dedication of our employees and the strength of EOG's unique culture.

A Differentiated Portfolio: Expanding our Reach

While we entered the year already well positioned with strong product, geographic, and pricing diversity, our peer-leading financial strength enabled transformational investments that strengthened the depth, duration, and resilience of our asset base. During 2025, we:

  • Completed the Encino acquisition which combined large, premier acreage positions, transforming EOG into a leading Utica operator and creating an additional foundational play alongside our Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Dorado assets
  • Acquired 30,000 net acres in the Eagle Ford, the largest remaining undeveloped core acreage tract, adding potential to extend laterals, utilize existing infrastructure, boost returns, and lower finding costs
  • Commissioned the Janus gas processing plant in the Delaware Basin expanding access to multiple premium Gulf Coast markets
  • Commenced construction of the Coconut offshore platform in Trinidad to support our high-return shallow offshore gas development program
  • Achieved exploration success in Trinidad with the Beryl shallow water oil discovery
  • Formed a joint venture with Bapco Energies to explore and develop an onshore unconventional tight gas prospect in Bahrain
  • Received an onshore concession in the UAE to explore and appraise an unconventional oil exploration prospect in coordination with ADNOC

EOG now holds a distinctive position in the upstream sector: access to a deep inventory of growth opportunities spanning North American liquids, North American natural gas, and international conventional and unconventional plays.

Capital Discipline Drives Shareholder Returns

EOG's disciplined capital allocation framework continues to deliver strong financial performance, generating peer-leading returns on capital employed and robust free cash flow to support shareholder returns: in 2025 we earned $5.5 billion¹ of adjusted net income and achieved a 19%¹ return on capital employed. Free cash flow totaled $4.7 billion, 1,2 enabling $2.2 billion of regular dividends and $2.5 billion of share repurchases, resulting in the return of 100% of free cash flow to shareholders.

2025 represents just one year of exceptional cash return to shareholders; however, EOG's financial performance driving those returns is best viewed through a longer-term lens. Our regular dividend increase of 8% last year extended an exceptional track record of consistency and growth. EOG has never cut or suspended the dividend in 28 years, reflecting the durability of our business model and commitment to shareholder returns across commodity cycles.

Powering our dividend growth is EOG's ability to consistently generate free cash flow. We have produced free cash flow every year since 2016 – a decade of sustained performance through varying market environments. Over the past three years, we have generated $15 billion1,2 in free cash flow and returned $14 billion to shareholders, while delivering an average return on capital employed of 24%.1 These strong cash returns helped drive 9% compound annual dividend growth and enabled a 10% cumulative reduction in the company's share count over the same period.

Disciplined capital allocation, combined with our multi-basin portfolio, continues to expand free cash flow potential over both the short and long term. With a strong balance sheet, low-cost structure, and the flexibility to allocate capital across multiple high-return opportunities, EOG is well positioned to navigate commodity cycles. Our financial resilience is a core differentiator, enabling the company to deliver consistent, competitive shareholder returns in both stable and volatile market environments.

Consistent Operational Excellence Compounds Over Time

Operational excellence at EOG is grounded in our superior in-house technical expertise, proprietary information technology, and self-sourced materials, which together support strong well performance and disciplined cost control across the entire drilling, completions, and production lifecycle. In 2025, this integrated approach delivered meaningful operational and financial results. During the year, EOG:

  • Achieved our $150 million synergy target for the Encino acquisition ahead of our original one-year timeline through well cost reductions and operational efficiencies
  • Expanded the use of 3+ mile laterals throughout our foundational plays and drilled the longest lateral in Texas history – exceeding 24,000 feet – in the Eagle Ford
  • Extended the benefits from longer laterals through our internal drilling motor program increasing productive time on surface and downhole, reducing surface footprint, and improving capital efficiency
  • Deployed high frequency sensors during completions to reduce downtime and enhance fracture efficiency
  • Leveraged proprietary generative AI tools to streamline collaboration, automate data capture, and provide real-time operational insights
  • Optimized base production and runtime using EOG's proprietary production optimizer program and machine learning capabilities

Operational achievements in 2025 enabled EOG to beat our total cash operating costs target and reduce average well costs by 7%. These sustainable cost reductions, driven by efficiency gains and innovation, compound over time, generating significant cumulative savings and enhancing long-term shareholder value throughout the development lifecycle.

Sustainability at EOG is A Measurable Commitment

Over the past five years we have made meaningful progress in reducing our emissions intensity and see continued opportunity to build on that momentum. After achieving our prior emissions targets ahead of schedule, we established new emissions targets in 2025 to further advance our performance:

  • Reduce GHG emissions intensity rate 3.4 by 25% by 2030, relative to 2019 levels
  • Maintain near-zero methane emissions 4.5 through 2030 with an intensity of 0.2% or less

These updated targets demonstrate EOG's commitment to strong environmental performance, with a continued focus on reducing our emissions intensity through innovation and technology.

Our People and our Culture are Our Number One Competitive Advantage

EOG's differentiated performance begins with our people and our culture. We are a decentralized organization, empowering collaborative, multi-disciplinary teams at the asset level to innovate and make real-time decisions in the field.

Consistent and outstanding execution is what converts operational strength into shareholder value. I am deeply grateful for the exceptional dedication of the entire EOG team and their contribution to our performance in 2025.

Positioned for 2026 and Beyond

2025 has been a transformative year and laid a foundation for EOG's success in 2026. The Encino acquisition, our entry into Bahrain and the UAE, as well as strong exploration progress across our domestic portfolio and in Trinidad, has significantly enhanced our industry-leading asset base.

Today's dynamic market environment is exactly what EOG is built to excel in. Our multi-basin portfolio, proprietary technology, and self-sourced materials, backed by our rigorous investment standards and pristine balance sheet, uniquely position us as a low-cost, highly efficient operator with diverse product, geographic, and pricing exposure.

I am confident EOG's differentiated portfolio will continue to drive both near-term performance and long-term value for shareholders.

Sincerely,

Ezra Y. Yacob
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
February 24, 2026

Xavier analysis
The CEO consistently emphasizes strong performance, strategic expansion, market leadership, and confidence in future success, using celebratory language throughout the letter.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Differentiated Portfolio Expansion
#2Capital Discipline & Shareholder Returns
#3Operational Excellence
#4Sustainability & Environmental Performance
#5Culture & People
13 named projects & initiatives
Encino acquisition, Janus gas processing plant, Coconut offshore platform, Beryl shallow water oil discovery, Bapco Energies, ADNOC +7 more
4 strategic initiative, 3 technology, 2 facility, 2 partnership, 1 acquisition, 1 r and d
Forward-looking statements
9 total: 2 quantified, 4 directional, 3 vague
Capital allocation priority
Shareholder Returns (Dividends & Buybacks) → Organic Growth (Exploration & Infrastructure) → M&A (Strategic Acquisitions)
Key quotes
“2025 was a remarkable year for EOG.”
Sets an optimistic and celebratory tone for the entire letter, immediately highlighting the past year's success.
“Our operational and financial performance during 2025 is a testament to the power of EOG's differentiated multi-basin portfolio, underpinned by our pristine balance sheet, to consistently perform thro”
Articulates the core strengths of EOG – its diverse portfolio and strong financials – as key enablers for navigating market challenges.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →4 letters on file (2025, 2024, 2023, 2022) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Ezra Y. YacobChairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer$17,576,636
Ann D. JanssenExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer$5,202,561
Jeffrey R. LeitzellExecutive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer$6,618,974
Michael P. DonaldsonExecutive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer$6,239,036
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-27
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Debt intelligence
Pro
4 debt instruments · 2 unique covenants
0.26x
Debt / Equity
28.1x
Interest coverage
0.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$4.1B
Net debt
15%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
61.1x
25-03
57.4x
26-03
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Revolver $3,000,000,000
REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of December 3, 2025
Matures 2030-12-03 · Filed 2025-12-08
Floating · SOFR
unsecured
Bond $1,000,000,000
5.650% Senior Notes due 2054
Matures 2054-12-01 · Filed 2024-11-21
Fixed
unsecured
26875P AW1
Revolver $1,900,000,000
REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of June 7, 2023
Matures 2028-06-07 · Filed 2023-06-12
Floating · SOFR | Prime
unsecured
Bond $1,500,000,000
4.375% Senior Notes due 2030 and 4.950% Senior Notes due 2050
Matures 2050-04-15 · Filed 2020-04-14
Fixed
unsecured
26875P AU5 26875P AT8
Financial covenants
Maximum Total Debt to Capitalization Ratio
≤ 0.65x
Total Debt to Total Capitalization
REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of December 3,
Maximum Total Debt to Capitalization Ratio
≤ 0.65 to 1.00
Total Debt to Total Capitalization
REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of June 7, 202
Cross-default risk
2 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 2.0x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Volatility of crude oil, NGLs, and natural gas prices, and the potential for sub
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% EOG is fundamentally well-positioned — low P/E (13.2x TTM, 9.1x forward), strong Q1 FCF of $1.5B, ac... $134.10 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 BEARISH 6.0/10 50% EOG screens as reasonably valued on earnings versus the broad market and sits meaningfully below ana... $134.10 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% EOG is fundamentally cheap on a P/E basis (13.5x TTM, 9.3x forward) with strong Q1 2026 operational ... $137.78 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 75% EOG is caught in a deteriorating near-term commodity price environment: WTI fell ~16% in May alone a... $133.38 Sched.
May 24, 2026 BULLISH 6.8/10 75% EOG offers a rare combination of deeply discounted valuation (13.9x TTM P/E, 9.8x forward P/E) again... $141.22 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% EOG is a direct and leveraged beneficiary of the Strait of Hormuz supply shock that has pushed WTI a... $140.26 Sched.
May 10, 2026 BULLISH 6.7/10 75% EOG trades at a deeply discounted forward P/E of ~9x despite being one of the highest-quality E&P op... $130.03 Sched.
May 03, 2026 BULLISH 6.7/10 50% EOG trades at a compelling 9.8x forward P/E with zero insider selling, a $4.7B FCF track record in 2... $138.95 Sched.
May 01, 2026 BULLISH 7.5/10 75% EOG is trading at a compelling 9.7x forward P/E against a backdrop of WTI crude near $106/barrel dri... $137.32 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.9/10 50% EOG's April 9 SEC filing raised Q1 2026 tax expense guidance by ~96% to $500–$600M, directly signali... $136.19 Sched.
Showing last 10 signals
EOG EOG Resources Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-24)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$22,632 million -4.5% YoY
? Operating income
$6,385 million
? Net income
$4,980 million
? Free cash flow
$3,450 million
? EPS (diluted)
$3.70
? Dividend per share
$3.990
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
15.78%
WACC
5.19%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 10.58%
? WACC
5.19%
? Cost of equity
5.69%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.64%
? Capital structure
E: 90.26% / D: 9.74%
? ROIC
15.78%
? EVA
$3.7B
? NOPAT
$5.5B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: XBRL, invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.