MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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DXCM
DexCom Inc.
Health Care · NYSE: DXCM · MSJ-100
$74.12
▼ $2.23  (▼2.92%) today
After-hours: $74.12  ▲ 0.00%
Headquarters
San Diego, CA
Employees
11,000
Founded
1999
CEO
Mr. Jacob Steven Leach
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $85.24
$74 now
Bear $65 Avg $85 Bull $112
Price history Free
Volume
4.00M
Avg volume
5.77M
Open
$75.09
Day high / low
$75.42 / $73.16
Market cap
$28.6B
About this company
Free
Dexcom, Inc. is a medical device company specializing in the design, development, and commercialization of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems. Its main products include the Dexcom G7, G7 15 Day, and Dexcom ONE+ for diabetes management, and Stelo, an over-the-counter biosensor for adults with prediabetes and Type 2 diabetes not using insulin.
The company operates in the medical technology and diabetes care industry.
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
May 01, 2026Optimistic
● Full transcript on file
Kevin Sayer (Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer), Jereme Sylvain (Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
Q1 2026 latest financial results were posted on the investor relations page, but the provided search results do not include the underlying call figures. The IR page indicates Q1 2026 materials are available, and the company has separately reiterated FY2026 revenue guidance of $5.16 billion to $5.25 billion.
Forward guidance
DexCom reiterated full-year 2026 guidance for revenue of $5.16 billion to $5.25 billion, implying about 11% to 13% growth. Management also signaled continued focus on gross margin expansion and operating discipline, while maintaining investment in product innovation and commercial execution.
Notable Q&A
The provided search results do not include a transcript or Q&A text for the Q1 2026 call, so no specific analyst exchanges can be verified from the available sources.
Surprise items
No verified call transcript was available in the provided search results. The investor relations page indicates Q1 2026 materials exist, but the actual spoken remarks and Q&A were not surfaced in the results.
Q4 2025 (Feb 11, 2026) · Optimistic Q3 2025 (Oct 24, 2025) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$89.98 / $54.11
Forward P/E
24.1×
Trailing 31.8×
Dividend
Analysts covering
25
Avg target $85.24
Beta
1.45
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
5.4%
Float shorted
Buy
89%
Hold
11%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$4,662.0 million
15.6% YoY
Operating margin
19.6%
Net income
$836.3 million
Free cash flow
$1,077.2 million
Dividend / share
Total debt
$1,240.9 million
Cash: $1,998.7 million
CapEx guidance
Expects to incur significant capital expenditures for the next year as investments continue in equipment and manufacturing facilities.
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:1.7x
Non-recurring items: Higher net gains on equity investments of $79.5 million, Decrease in legal expense by $87.2 million primarily related to a patent infringement lawsuit settled in December 2024
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-12
Xavier sector view:
Health Care
See journal
View Health Care journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.4 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
DXCM trades at ~31x TTM P/E with revenue growth of only 0.15% as reported in the snapshot, sitting 19% below its 52-week high but still ~14% below analyst consensus target of $83. The re-acceleration in organic revenue (12-22% in recent quarters) and a $750M buyback provide fundamental support, but an unresolved March 2025 FDA warning letter on manufacturing non-conformities, intensifying competition from Abbott FreeStyle Libre, and a neutral-to-bearish macro regime cap near-term upside. The bull and bear cases are roughly balanced with no clear 5-day catalyst.
Strongest bull case
Revenue reacceleration is real and credible: Q3 2025 revenue grew 22% YoY to $1.209B, 2026 guidance of $5.16-5.25B implies 11-13% growth, the G7 15 Day FDA clearance expands the product lineup, and the $750M buyback signals management confidence in the balance sheet.
Strongest bear case
An outstanding March 2025 FDA warning letter covering manufacturing and quality management system non-conformities at certain facilities remains unresolved and could trigger supply disruptions, remediation costs, or regulatory action — a specific, under-appreciated overhang that the market has not fully priced into a stock trading at 31x earnings.
What the market may be missing
The GLP-1 bear thesis may be partially wrong in direction but right in magnitude: early data shows GLP-1 users are actually monitoring with CGMs more, not less — but Abbott's aggressive FreeStyle Libre pricing and volume strategy is compressing Dexcom's ASPs in the non-insulin Type 2 and OTC Stelo segment simultaneously, threatening the margin expansion story that underpins the forward P/E compression narrative consensus is banking on.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BULLISH
msj100_DXCM_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
DXCM
current
$74.12 ▼2.9%
PFE
NEUTRAL
$24.17
ISRG
NEUTRAL
$406.78
ABBV
NEUTRAL
$248.08
JNJ
NEUTRAL
$256.98
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-07
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-17
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-17
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-05
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-01
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Jacob Leach
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
JL
Jacob Leach
President and Chief Executive Officer · DexCom Inc.
CEO since 2026-01-01
Total compensation
$7,985,960 ▲ 34.9% YoY
Prior year: $5,922,271
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
90%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
10/12 (83%)
Base salary$1,150,000
Bonus / incentive$1,164,780
Stock awards$5,936,062
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Jake Leach 2025 Annual Report OPTIMISTIC

TO OUR STAKEHOLDERS

In 2025, Dexcom advanced its mission to empower people to take control of health with new

product launches, expanded global scale, and broader access to our CGM technology.

Some key highlights from the year included our launch of Dexcom G7 15 Day in the United

States (U.S.), significant new reimbursement wins, strengthened connectivity across our

ecosystem, and new customer-focused software features. Our financial performance

demonstrated continued momentum, delivering strong revenue growth and operating margin

expansion. These outcomes reflect the continued execution of our strategy as we work to

help millions of more people around the globe.

Our progress in 2025 demonstrates our commitment to our mission. In 2025 we:

• Grew our active customer base by more than 20%. 2025 closed with approximately 3.5

million users globally (excluding Stelo).

• Announced broader coverage in the U.S. with the 3 largest PBMs now covering Dexcom

CGM for anyone with diabetes.

• Expanded access to Dexcom G7 in Canada under the Ontario Drug Benefit (ODB) Program.

• Received FDA clearance for Dexcom Smart Basal.

• Launched Dexcom G7 15 Day CGM system in the U.S.

• Progressed Ireland manufacturing facility in preparation for late 2026 production.

Together, these achievements reflect the dedication of our team as we broaden access to

Dexcom CGM, advance meaningful innovation, and build the scale required to support long

term, sustainable growth.

This annual Shareholder Letter contains forward-looking statements. These references are preliminary, may be subject to future adjustment and

should be read in conjunction with the “Risk Factors” enclosed in this Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

EXPANDING ACCESS TO DEXCOM CGM

In 2025, we continued to advance global access to Dexcom CGM. In the U.S., we achieved a significant milestone by

establishing coverage for all people with diabetes with the national formularies of the three largest pharmacy

benefit managers. This marked an important step as we work to build coverage for the 25 million people in the United

States with type 2 diabetes who are not on insulin.

Internationally, we advanced access for Dexcom G7 across key Canadian markets. In Ontario, the inclusion of

Dexcom G7 under the Ontario Drug Benefit program extended access for all people with diabetes using insulin, and

in Québec, we established expanded coverage for people with type 2 diabetes on intensive insulin therapy.

Together, these milestones reflect our continued focus on expanding access through evidence generation and

advocacy efforts, while laying the groundwork to serve a much broader global population over time.

2025 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Dexcom’s financial performance in 2025 reflects a focus on growth, efficiency, and scale. The company generated

$4.662 billion in revenue, representing an increase of nearly $630 million and 16% growth year over year, driven by

continued customer base expansion, broader coverage, and growing adoption of Dexcom CGM globally. As our

opportunity continues to expand, we remain focused on balancing growth with operational efficiency. In 2025, this

focus helped us deliver operating margin expansion of approximately 200 basis points and manufacturing scale

improvements. Entering 2026, we are well positioned to continue to execute on our strategic priorities, including

advancing global scale, innovation, and amplifying customer health outcomes as we drive global growth.

2025 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

16%

Total revenue growth versus

the prior year to $4.662 billion

$500M

Shares repurchased

Maintained balance sheet flexibility, ending 2025 with nearly

Over

15%

U.S. revenue

growth

16%

International

revenue growth

300

Basis points of operating expense

leverage while investing in organic growth

$2B

in cash, cash equivalents,

and marketable securities

PROGRESSING OUR HARDWARE AND SOFTWARE CAPABILITIES

In 2025, we further advanced our hardware and software capabilities to better meet the needs of a broader and more

diverse customer population. This included innovation that extends sensor wear time, enhances customer decision

support, and simplifies the user experience.

A key hardware milestone during the year was the U.S. launch of the Dexcom G7 15 Day CGM system. This highly

anticipated product extends our G7 wear time out to 15 days, which results in fewer sensor changes for our customers

and includes a new algorithm that delivers our best sensor accuracy to date.

In software, we received FDA clearance for Dexcom

Smart Basal. Dexcom Smart Basal is designed to help

customers and healthcare providers navigate the basal

insulin titration process. This personalized dosing

module has the potential to accelerate the time

needed to reach optimal dose and simplify workflows

for clinicians.

We also continued to advance our Stelo platform with

complementary digital capabilities, including AI-

powered food logging. This new feature is designed to

simplify meal-related data capture and provide more

intuitive, real world context around glucose patterns.

Together, these innovations strengthen our ecosystem,

enhance engagement, and position Dexcom to lead at

the intersection of hardware, software, and data-

driven care.

2026 AND BEYOND

As we enter 2026, we are aligned around three priorities that guide our strategy and investment decisions. First, we will

be the premier glucose sensing solution for all. This means that we will continue to advance the performance and

reliability of our sensing platform to better serve our customers. Second, we will set the standard for customer

experience. To support this ambition, we are investing in simpler, more connected experiences across hardware and

software. Third, we will expand our international market share. In the coming years, we will continue to scale outside

the U.S. by pairing access expansion with clinical advocacy and broader manufacturing capacity. With these pillars,

Dexcom enters 2026 positioned to deliver on our mission with broader access, a relentless focus on customer

experience, and growing scale.

We want to thank our shareholders, without whom our ability to grow and bring CGM systems to our approximately

3.5 million global customers would not be possible. On behalf of our employees and our customers, I want to personally

thank you for the trust that you have placed in our team. We look forward to providing you updates as we progress

throughout 2026 and beyond.

Jake Leach

President and Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The letter consistently highlights significant achievements in product innovation, market expansion, and financial performance, using strong positive language and projecting a clear vision for future growth and market leadership.
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Expanding Access and Market Penetration
#2Product Innovation and Software/Hardware Capabilities
#3Financial Performance, Growth, and Efficiency
#4Operational Scale and Manufacturing Capacity
#5Customer Experience
8 named projects & initiatives
Dexcom G7 15 Day, Dexcom G7, Ontario Drug Benefit (ODB) Program, Dexcom Smart Basal, Ireland manufacturing facility, Stelo platform +2 more
5 product, 1 partnership, 1 facility, 1 technology
Forward-looking statements
12 total: 1 quantified, 4 directional, 7 vague
Capital allocation priority
Organic Growth (R&D/Product Development) → Share Buybacks → Maintaining Balance Sheet Flexibility → Capital Expenditure (Manufacturing Capacity)
Key quotes
“Dexcom advanced its mission to empower people to take control of health with new product launches, expanded global scale, and broader access to our CGM technology.”
Opening statement that encapsulates the company's 2025 achievements and core mission.
“Our financial performance demonstrated continued momentum, delivering strong revenue growth and operating margin expansion.”
Highlights key financial successes and operational efficiency as a cornerstone of 2025's achievements.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →4 letters on file (2025, 2024, 2023, 2022) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Jacob LeachPresident and Chief Executive Officer$7,985,960
Kevin SayerExecutive Chairman of the Board$16,282,598
Jereme SylvainEVP, Chief Financial Officer$7,077,902
Michael BrownEVP, Chief Legal Officer$6,343,856
Jon ColemanEVP, Chief Commercial Officer$6,745,295
Sadie SternEVP, Chief Human Resources Officer$6,253,131
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-15
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of twelve nominees for director
FOR
Pending
Ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent registered public accountin
FOR
Pending
Non-binding advisory vote on named executive officer compensation for fiscal yea
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
4 debt instruments · 5 unique covenants
81.4x
Interest coverage
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
55.3x
24-06
56.0x
24-09
52.4x
25-03
72.5x
25-06
82.7x
25-09
153.5x
26-03
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit $200,000,000
FIRST AMENDMENT TO SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2026-10-13 · Filed 2023-07-27
Floating · SOFR | EURIBOR | STIBOR | CDOR | AUD Rate | BKBM Rate | TIBOR Rate | Alternate Base Rate (Prime Rate, NYFRB Rate)
Secured. Liens are created on all property owned, leased or operated by a Loan Party, now existing or hereafter acquired, that may at any time be, become or be intended to be, subject to a security interest or Lien in favor of the Administrative Agent, for the benefit of the Secured Parties. Excludes copyrights, patents, trademarks or other Intellectual Property or any other Excluded Assets (as defined in the Security Agreement).
Credit $200,000,000
SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2026-10-13 · Filed 2022-02-14
Floating · LIBOR | EURIBOR | TIBOR | STIBOR | CDOR | AUD Rate | BKBM Rate | SONIA | Alternate Base Rate (Prime Rate, NYFRB Rate, Adjusted LIBO Rate)
Secured. Liens are created on all Collateral (excluding copyrights, patents, trademarks, other Intellectual Property, or Excluded Assets as defined in the Security Agreement) in favor of the Administrative Agent for the benefit of the Secured Parties. The Liens are intended to be perfected and first priority, subject to Permitted Encumbrances and Liens perfected only by possession where the Administrative Agent has not obtained possession. The Borrower must cause 100% of Equity Interests of domestic Subsidiaries (other than Excluded Subsidiaries) and 65% of voting and 100% of non-voting Equity Interests of directly-owned foreign Subsidiaries and CFC Holdcos to be subject to a first priority, perfected Lien.
Credit
Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Matures · Filed 2020-07-28
Secured (first-priority perfected Liens, subject only to Permitted Encumbrances; collateral not described)
Credit $200,000,000
AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of December 19, 2018
Matures 2023-12-19 · Filed 2019-02-21
Floating · LIBOR | Prime | NYFRB Rate
Secured. Collateral includes any and all property owned, leased or operated by a Loan Party, now existing or hereafter acquired, subject to a security interest or Lien in favor of the Administrative Agent for the benefit of Secured Parties. Excludes copyrights, patents, trademarks, other Intellectual Property, and Excluded Assets (as defined in the Security Agreement). Liens are intended to be perfected and first priority, subject to Permitted Encumbrances and Liens perfected only by possession.
Financial covenants
Minimum Interest Coverage Ratio
≥ 4.00 to 1.00
EBITDA to cash Interest Expense
FIRST AMENDMENT TO SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED CRE
Maximum Senior Secured Leverage Ratio
≤ 2.00 to 1.00
Total Indebtedness which is secured by a Lien of the Borrower and its Subsidiaries minus Liquidity in excess of $50,000,000 to EBITDA
FIRST AMENDMENT TO SECOND AMENDED AND RESTATED CRE
Minimum Liquidity for Convertible Note Payments
≥ $100,000,000
Liquidity
Amended and Restated Credit Agreement
Minimum Interest Coverage Ratio
≥ 4.00x
Interest Coverage Ratio (EBITDA / cash Interest Expense)
AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of
Maximum Senior Secured Leverage Ratio
≤ 2.00x
Senior Secured Leverage Ratio ((Total Indebtedness secured by Lien - Liquidity in excess of $50,000,000) / EBITDA)
AMENDED AND RESTATED CREDIT AGREEMENT dated as of
Cross-default risk
3 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.7x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Failure to comply with ongoing regulatory requirements, including responding to
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.4/10 75% DXCM trades at ~31x TTM P/E with revenue growth of only 0.15% as reported in the snapshot, sitting 1... $72.86 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 100% DXCM has already repriced sharply off its May 14 Investor Day catalysts — ambitious 2030 targets, a ... $73.74 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 75% DXCM trades at ~31x TTM P/E with near-zero revenue growth (0.15%) in the most recent data, a valuati... $72.10 Sched.
May 17, 2026 BULLISH 6.4/10 50% DXCM's 6.6% surge on May 15 was directly catalyzed by a high-conviction Investor Day: a $1B share bu... $61.63 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.9/10 67% DXCM sits closer to its 52-week low than high and well below consensus target, which creates rebound... $60.61 Sched.
May 03, 2026 BULLISH 7.0/10 75% DXCM just reported a strong Q1 2026 beat — $1.19B revenue (+15% YoY), EPS of $0.56 vs. $0.47 expecte... $61.35 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.8/10 75% DXCM trades at a ~28% discount to the consensus analyst price target of ~$87, offering meaningful up... $64.02 Sched.
Showing last 7 signals
DXCM DexCom Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-12)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$4,662.0 million 15.6% YoY
? Operating income
$911.8 million
? Net income
$836.3 million
? Free cash flow
$1,077.2 million
? EPS (diluted)
$0.51
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
24.84%
WACC
11.74%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 13.10%
? WACC
11.74%
? Cost of equity
12.24%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.13%
? Capital structure
E: 95.84% / D: 4.16%
? ROIC
24.84%
? EVA
$404M
? NOPAT
$765M
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: Gemini 10-K, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: XBRL, invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.