MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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CVX
Chevron Corporation
Energy · NYSE: CVX · MSJ-100
$181.76
▼ $0.44  (▼0.24%) today
After-hours: $181.75  ▼ 0.01%
Headquarters
Houston, TX
Employees
43,039
Founded
1879
CEO
Mr. Michael K. Wirth
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $213.91
$182 now
Bear $170 Avg $214 Bull $235
Price history Free
Volume
6.82M
Avg volume
9.71M
Open
$182.75
Day high / low
$183.36 / $180.63
Market cap
$362.0B
About this company
Free
Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy and chemicals company engaged in global upstream and downstream operations. Its upstream activities include exploration, production, and transport of crude oil and natural gas, LNG, and carbon capture. Downstream operations encompass refining, marketing petroleum products, manufacturing renewable fuels, and producing petrochemicals, with a strategic focus on delivering lower carbon energy and superior shareholder value.
Business segments
10-K
Upstream Downstream All Other Segments
Recent News
Loading news...
Earnings call: Q2 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Jul 31, 2026Neutral
Mike Wirth (Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer), Eimear Bonner (Chief Financial Officer), Jeff Gustavson (President, New Energies), Jeanine Wai (Head of Investor Relations)
Key metrics
No reported quarterly results are available yet in the provided sources because the call has not occurred. The advisory does not include earnings, revenue, EPS, or operating metrics.
Forward guidance
This is a scheduled upcoming Q2 2026 earnings call, so no actual guidance has been delivered yet in the provided sources. The advisory only confirms the event timing and speaker lineup, not management commentary.
Notable Q&A
No Q&A is available because this is an upcoming call.
Surprise items
No surprises are available yet; this is only the pre-call advisory. The only notable item is that Chevron has already announced a webcast and replay availability through its investor website.
Q1 2026 (2026-04-??) · Neutral (Jun 15, 2026) ·
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$214.71 / $146.49
Forward P/E
14.5×
Trailing 31.7×
Dividend
$7.12 / share
Yield 3.91%
Analysts covering
23
Avg target $213.91
Beta
0.49
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
0.9%
Float shorted
Buy
79%
Hold
17%
Sell
4%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$184,432 million
-4.64% YoY
Operating margin
10.7%
Net income
$12,299 million
Free cash flow
$16,592 million
Dividend / share
$6.84
Total debt
$40,758 million
Cash: $6,293 million
CapEx guidance
$18 to $19 billion
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:2.8x
Non-recurring items: After-tax gains of $400 million relating to the sale of certain properties (Upstream $360M, Downstream $40M), After-tax charges of $355 million for Hess severance and transition costs, After-tax charges of $300 million for legal reserves, After-tax charges of $223 million for pension settlement and curtailment costs
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-24
Xavier sector view:
Energy
See journal
View Energy journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 6.3 / 10  ·  75% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jun 07, 2026
CVX is caught between a genuinely constructive operational story — 15% YoY production growth powered by the now-completed Hess acquisition, Guyana exposure, and a confirmed $1.78/share quarterly dividend — and two powerful offsetting forces: a TTM P/E of ~33x that is expensive for a cyclical energy major with near-zero revenue growth, and a rapidly deteriorating oil price trajectory as Strait of Hormuz flows resume and the EIA forecasts Brent falling from ~$106/b now to $89/b by Q4 2026. With WTI already sliding toward $90 and Iran peace talks showing some momentum, the near-term price catalyst that would justify the current multiple is fading, not strengthening. The 5-trading-day risk/reward is balanced at best, making NEUTRAL the disciplined call.
Strongest bull case
Hess acquisition completed July 2025 added Guyana Stabroek Block (11B+ barrels recoverable) and Bakken acreage, driving 15% YoY production growth and a forward P/E of only ~15x — suggesting the market has not yet fully re-rated the earnings power of the combined entity on a normalized-oil-price basis.
Strongest bear case
Oil prices are in a confirmed downtrend from a conflict-driven spike peak: WTI has already fallen ~10% from highs above $100 toward $90, and the EIA explicitly forecasts Brent dropping to $89/b in Q4 2026 and $79/b in 2027 as Strait of Hormuz flows normalize — a structural headwind that will compress CVX's realized prices, cash flows, and earnings just as the stock trades at a TTM P/E of 33x with -44.5% earnings growth.
What the market may be missing
The market is pricing CVX as if the Hormuz-driven oil spike is a sustained regime change, but the EIA's base case assumes a rapid oil price normalization to $89/b by Q4 2026. CVX's TTM EPS of $5.73 was earned partly in a sub-$70 oil environment; at $80-90 oil, the forward earnings picture is roughly in line with consensus, making the forward P/E of ~15x appear cheap but the TTM P/E of ~33x dangerously misleading. The real risk is a multiple compression event if oil falls faster than expected back toward pre-conflict levels, simultaneously hitting both EPS and the multiple investors are willing to pay.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BEARISH
msj100_CVX_20260607T023001Z
Peer comparison
Signal
CVX
current
$181.76 ▼0.2%
BKR
NEUTRAL
$57.56
HAL
NEUTRAL
$34.39
OXY
NEUTRAL
$52.89
MPC
NEUTRAL
$283.74
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-06-03
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-06-03
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 AUTO
8-K — 2026-05-29
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
8-K — 2026-05-29
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-05-29
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Michael K. Wirth
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
MK
Michael K. Wirth
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · Chevron Corporation
CEO since 2018
Total compensation
$26,828,240 ▼ 18.0% YoY
Prior year: $32,716,940
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
94%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
11/13 (85%)
Base salary$1,900,000
Bonus / incentive$3,562,500
Stock awards$13,524,995
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
InterviewMay 10, 2026
Breaking Bench Interview Source ↗
Mr. Michael K. Wirth (CEO) · Breaking Bench (YouTube)
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth warned of impending physical shortages of oil, comparing the situation to the 1970s energy crisis. He highlighted the shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for 20% of global oil supply, leading to rapid depletion of
“"Physical shortages" are coming... comparing this to the oil crisis and gas crisis of the 1970s. "With the Strait of Hormuz basically being shut down, that's 20% of the world's oil."”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
Full letter Pro
Michael K. Wirth 2025 Annual Report CONFIDENT

To our stockholders

April 7, 2026

The link between energy and human progress has never been clearer. People around the globe desire a world of energy abundance and the rising prosperity and opportunity it creates.

This is evidenced by steady growth in energy consumption across all sources - with oil and gas demand at an all-time high and expected to set records this year, next year and beyond. The world needs what we provide, and Chevron has never been better positioned to deliver it.

Amid heightened geopolitical tensions and market volatility this year, we remain focused on our purpose: providing the affordable, reliable, ever-cleaner energy that enables human progress.

From completing the acquisition of Hess to achiev-ing first oil at Tengizchevroil's (TCO) Future Growth Project, successfully growing Permian production to record levels, executing capital growth projects in the Gulf of America and completing a major organi-zational restructuring, 2025 was an outstanding year.

Delivering on our commitments

Our vision is to be the global energy company most admired for its people, partnership and performance. This begins with delivering on our long-standing financial priorities:

  • Grow the dividend consistently: We reward stockholders first. In January 2026, we raised the per-share dividend by 4% to $1.78 per quarter, positioning the company for our 39th year of higher per-share dividend payout - a record of growth and consistency unmatched among our peers.
  • Invest capital efficiently: Capital discipline is at our core, positioning us to translate higher free cash flow into consistent stockholder returns. Since 2021, our improvement in capital efficiency has outpaced peers and the S&P 500. We've reduced Capex by 40% over the past decade. And we continue to grow and diversify our portfolio through returns-focused projects in the U.S. and around the world.
  • Maintain a strong balance sheet: Our balance sheet is an asset we use to mitigate risk and manage volatility. Chevron's debt-to-CFFO ratio is superior* to the S&P 500. Our unique combination of balance sheet strength, investment-grade credit rating and premium portfolio positions Chevron well for any price environment.
  • Repurchase shares steadily: We are committed to repurchasing shares steadily through the cycle, as we have done in 18 of the past 22 years. In 2025, Chevron purchased $12.1 billion of shares, representing nearly 5% of shares outstanding at year-end 2024. Additionally, the company acquired $2.2 billion of Hess shares prior to the acquisition.

Our commitment to these financial priorities has enabled us to return over three times more cash to stockholders in 2025, compared to a decade prior.

The energy landscape

Global oil consumption reached 104 million barrels per day (MMBD) in 2025, and natural gas demand hit roughly 4,300 billion cubic meters (BCM) - both record highs.

Global energy investment rose to approximately $3.3 trillion, also a record. Due simply to field decline, the Internal Energy Agency (IEA) projects over half a trillion dollars of annual investment will be required to close the oil supply gap, creating a strong case for continued investment in oil and gas development well into the future.

Executing our strategy

Our strategy is clear: Leverage our strengths to safely deliver lower-carbon energy to a growing world.

This starts with our world-class upstream portfolio, which comprises leading positions with the highest cash margins in some of the world's most prolific basins.

In 2025, we produced 3.7 million barrels of oil-equivalent per day (BOED), 12% higher than in 2024. This record output was driven by the successful integration of Hess, strong production in the Permian Basin, ramp-up to capacity at Tengizchevroil (TCO) from the Future Growth Project and project execution in the Gulf of America.

Our global shale portfolio has been streamlined into one organization to better scale technology and leverage supply chain advantages and best practices to enhance recovery and reduce cost.

The Permian is a key part of this portfolio, delivering peer-leading returns. In 2025, our Permian operations achieved one million BOED of production. We also operated plateaued levels of production in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) and Bakken basins - at about 400,000 and 200,000 BOED respectively - and our liquids-rich position in Argentina offers attractive opportunities for future growth.

In the Gulf of America, strong project execution and successful integration with Hess increased production

to over 300,000 BOED. This included the start-up of Whale and Ballymore while bringing new wells online across Anchor, Stampede and other assets on time, and on budget. Following the Hess acquisition, Chevron is now the largest leaseholder in the Gulf of America.

In Kazakhstan, the Future Growth Project started in 2025 and ramped up to design capacity of more than one million BOED of gross production in less than 30 days. Through the Integrated Operations Control Center, TCO is optimizing production, driving higher uptime and greater efficiency.

The Hess acquisition marks an important milestone in Chevron's history and enhances our position as a global energy leader. Integration is largely complete, and we are on track to achieve $1.5 billion of synergies. The merger brings a 30% ownership in the Guyana Stabroek Block, an attractive, long-lived growth asset with more than 11 billion barrels of oil-equivalent of discovered resource. We're proud to continue the work Hess began in Guyana - a world-class asset with among the industry's highest cash margins and lowest carbon intensities.

In our Downstream & Chemicals business, we have achieved the highest U.S. refinery throughput in 20 years, with fewer refineries, due to recent expansion projects and efficiency improvements. Our U.S. refining system delivers strong cash margins, and we're a top U.S. retail fuel provider with leading margin capture. CPChem is advancing construction at feedstock-advantaged chemicals projects in the U.S. and Qatar, with start-ups expected in 2027.

Alongside portfolio enhancement, Chevron embarked on an operating model redesign and cultural transformation to improve efficiency, effectiveness and long-term competitiveness across the enterprise. We expect these changes to enhance execution, accelerate decision-making, strengthen portfolio management and improve outcomes that deliver industry-leading results.

Powering the AI future

In 2025, we announced efforts to help meet AI's growing need for reliable, large-scale power. Our significant natural gas position and capabilities in operating behind-the-meter power position us to fuel AI with American energy. We advanced work on our first power project for data centers, which is expected to be supplied with gas from the Permian Basin in West Texas.

We're also leveraging AI to create value for stock-holders. Our focus is on enhancing shale performance, improving exploration outcomes and making work safer, faster and less costly.

One example is the development of an in-house generative AI platform, where massive amounts of subsurface data collected over nearly a century can be transformed into useful insights in just seconds, radically improving the speed and quality of exploration decision-making.

Advancing lower carbon solutions

We're reducing the carbon intensity of our operations while pragmatically investing in new energy solutions - focusing where our strengths meet customer needs to deliver competitive returns.

Renewable fuels are a proven solution that can lower the carbon intensity of transportation today. We completed our Geismar expansion this year, scaling flexible, integrated and feedstock-advantaged production, and further cementing our position as a U.S. leader in renewable fuels.

In 2025, hydrogen was produced and safely introduced into a storage cavern as part of the Advanced Clean Energy Storage project in Delta, Utah. Once fully operational, this site is expected to offer storage capacity 2-3 times greater than all U.S. grid-connected batteries today.

We secured approximately 135,000 net acres in the Smackover Formation in Texas and Arkansas to evaluate lithium development, with appraisal drilling expected next year.

And in carbon capture and storage, we're advancing projects on the U.S. Gulf Coast at our Bayou Bend joint venture and our Pascagoula refinery. In Australia, we operate one of the world's largest carbon capture and storage systems, sequestering over 12 million tonnes of CO2 from our Gorgon LNG facility.

A future of performance

2025 was a year of significant change - and significant achievement - for everyone in our company. I'm grateful for the hard work, expertise and loyalty of our employees. Without their dedicated effort, our accomplishments this year would not have been possible.

As global dynamics continue to shape the energy landscape in 2026, our resilient strategy and the ingenuity of our people position us to deliver value to our stockholders in any environment.

Today, Chevron stands in the strongest position I've seen in my career, with a more confident outlook further into the future - and lower execution risk - than ever before.

On behalf of everyone at Chevron, I thank you for the trust you place in us. We're looking to the future with confidence and believe the best is yet to come.

Sincerely,
Mike
Michael K. Wirth
Chairman of the Board
and Chief Executive Officer

Xavier analysis
The CEO expresses strong confidence in the company's current position, future outlook, and ability to deliver value, repeatedly using phrases like 'never been better positioned,' 'outstanding year,' and 'strongest position I've seen in my career.'
Strategic themes by emphasis
#1Financial Performance & Shareholder Returns
#2Upstream Growth & Portfolio Strength
#3Energy Transition & Lower Carbon Solutions
#4Operational Excellence & Efficiency
#5AI Integration & Digital Transformation
#6Global Energy Landscape & Demand
21 named projects & initiatives
Hess acquisition, Tengizchevroil's (TCO) Future Growth Project, Permian, Gulf of America, Whale, Ballymore +15 more
11 facility, 5 asset, 2 partnership, 1 acquisition, 1 technology, 1 r and d
Forward-looking statements
14 total: 4 quantified, 10 directional, 0 vague
Capital allocation priority
Grow the dividend consistently → Invest capital efficiently → Maintain a strong balance sheet → Repurchase shares steadily
Key quotes
“The link between energy and human progress has never been clearer. People around the globe desire a world of energy abundance and the rising prosperity and opportunity it creates.”
Sets the foundational context for Chevron's business and its perceived societal value proposition.
“Amid heightened geopolitical tensions and market volatility this year, we remain focused on our purpose: providing the affordable, reliable, ever-cleaner energy that enables human progress.”
Highlights the company's resilience and unwavering focus on its core mission despite external challenges.
View 2025 Annual Report (PDF) →4 letters on file (2025, 2024, 2023, 2022) · Full history with Pro
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Michael K. WirthChairman and Chief Executive Officer$26,828,240
Eimear P. BonnerChief Financial Officer$7,526,063
Mark A. NelsonVice Chairman$11,048,147
R. Hewitt PateChief Legal Officer$9,106,849
R. Clay NeffPresident, Upstream$9,227,166
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-07
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Adopt an Independent Chair
AGAINST
Pending
Report on Indigenous Peoples’ Rights
AGAINST
Pending
Commission a Third-Party Report on Human Rights Processes
AGAINST
Pending
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 2.8x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Chevron is exposed to the effects of changing commodity prices, which can have a
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% CVX is caught between a genuinely constructive operational story — 15% YoY production growth powered... $187.31 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% CVX trades at a stretched 31.7x TTM P/E — expensive for an energy major with declining year-over-yea... $182.46 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% CVX trades at a stretched TTM P/E of 33x — elevated for an energy major with flat revenue growth and... $191.43 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 75% CVX is trading at a TTM P/E of ~33x, which looks expensive in isolation, but the forward P/E of ~15.... $191.10 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 75% CVX posted a massive Q1 2026 adjusted EPS beat (45%+ vs. consensus) driven by Hess integration produ... $181.62 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 75% CVX delivered a massive Q1 2026 EPS beat ($1.41 adj. vs. $0.96 est.), its biggest beat since October... $190.63 Sched.
May 01, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 75% CVX just reported Q1 2026 earnings today (May 1): a massive EPS beat ($1.41 adj. vs ~$0.95 est.), bu... $191.03 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 7.0/10 75% CVX is trading roughly 12% below its consensus analyst price target of ~$203–$209, with multiple maj... $188.55 Sched.
Showing last 8 signals
CVX Chevron Corporation
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-24)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$184,432 million -4.64% YoY
? Operating income
$19,743 million
? Net income
$12,299 million
? Free cash flow
$16,592 million
? EPS (diluted)
$1.11
? Dividend per share
$6.84
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
5.07%
WACC
6.28%
🔴 VALUE DESTROYER — EVA Spread: -1.21%
? WACC
6.28%
? Cost of equity
6.93%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
0.47%
? Capital structure
E: 89.88% / D: 10.12%
? ROIC
5.07%
? EVA
-$2.6B
? NOPAT
$11.1B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: Gemini 10-K, operating_income: Gemini 10-K, interest_expense: XBRL, invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jun 07, 2026.