MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
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CMCSA
Comcast Corporation
Communication Services · NYSE: CMCSA · MSJ-100
$23.19
▼ $0.78  (▼3.25%) today
After-hours: $23.25  ▲ 0.26%
Headquarters
Philadelphia, PA
Employees
179,000
Founded
1963
CEO
Mr. Brian L. Roberts
Incorporated
Pennsylvania
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $31.90
$23 now
Bear $21 Avg $32 Bull $44
Price history Free
Volume
26.07M
Avg volume
35.83M
Open
$23.83
Day high / low
$23.93 / $23.16
Market cap
$82.8B
About this company
Free
Comcast Corporation is a global media and technology company providing connectivity and platform services, including broadband, wireless, video, and voice, under brands like Xfinity and Sky. It also produces and distributes entertainment, sports, and news content through NBC, Universal, and Peacock, and operates Universal theme parks.
Business segments
10-K
Residential Connectivity & Platforms Business Services Connectivity Media Studios Theme Parks
Recent News
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Earnings call: Strategic Separation Call (Non-Quarterly) 2026
Intel
Free
Jun 29, 2026Optimistic
Marci Ryvicker (Executive Vice President of Investor Relations), Brian L. Roberts (Chief Executive Officer, President, Director), Michael J. Cavanagh (President), Jason Armstrong (Chief Financial Officer)
Key metrics
Specific quarterly revenue, EPS, and margin metrics were not the focus of this strategic call; instead, key numeric guidance related to the transaction structure and ownership.[2][4] Comcast expects to complete the separation via a tax-free spin-off, subject to customary conditions, within roughly one year.[4] The company plans to retain up to a 19
Forward guidance
Comcast announced its intention to separate into two independent publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off of NBCUniversal and Sky, with completion targeted for approximately one year, subject to board approval, tax opinions, regulatory approvals, and financing arrangements.[4] NBCUniversal will retain the same dual-class share structur
Notable Q&A
Analysts asked about the rationale for separating media and technology operations, and Brian Roberts and Michael Cavanagh responded that the spin-off would allow each business to sharpen its strategic focus, pursue tailored capital allocation policies, and be more appropriately valued by investors,
Surprise items
The decision to separate Comcast’s media assets (NBCUniversal and Sky) from its technology and connectivity businesses into two separate public companies was itself a major strategic surprise and immediately framed by market commentators as a potential value-unlocking move.[2][4][5] The plan to reta
Q1 2026 (Apr 23, 2026) · Confident Q4 2025 (Jan 29, 2026) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$33.76 / $22.13
Forward P/E
6.3×
Trailing 4.5×
Dividend
$1.32 / share
Yield 5.51%
Analysts covering
21
Avg target $31.90
Beta
0.66
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
2.8%
Float shorted
Buy
33%
Hold
56%
Sell
11%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$123,707 million USD
-0.02% YoY
Operating margin
16.7%
Net income
$19,998 million USD
Free cash flow
$21,893 million USD
Dividend / share
$1.32
Total debt
$98.9 billion USD
Cash: $9,481 million USD
Earnings quality: HIGH
Cash conversion:1.7x
Non-recurring items: Pre-tax gain of $9.4 billion from the sale of interest in Hulu, Tax benefit in 2024 of $1.9 billion from an internal corporate reorganization capital loss carryback, Transaction and transaction-related costs of $501 million associated with the Versant Separation in 2025
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-03
Xavier sector view:
Communication Services
See journal
View Communication Services journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 5.6 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
CMCSA trades at a deeply depressed ~4.6x TTM P/E and ~30% below its analyst consensus target, offering apparent deep value, but the market is not mispricing this — it is correctly discounting a structurally deteriorating broadband subscriber base, earnings forecasted to decline ~14-20% per year, and 90%+ net debt-to-equity. With Q2 2026 earnings due July 23 (just outside the 5-day window), the stock is in a pre-earnings holding pattern where negative broadband data could deliver another sharp leg down similar to the 13% post-Q1 drop despite a beat. The bull case is real but requires multiple things going right simultaneously; for a 5-day horizon specifically, risk/reward is balanced with a downside skew.
Strongest bull case
Extreme valuation compression (~4.6x TTM earnings, ~5.6% dividend yield, 30%+ discount to analyst targets) combined with Peacock nearing streaming profitability and broadband losses narrowing year-over-year in Q1 2026 create a coiled-spring setup where even modest Q2 improvement could trigger sharp mean-reversion buying ahead of the July 23 earnings call.
Strongest bear case
Earnings are forecast to decline 14-20% annually for the foreseeable future, FWA competition from T-Mobile and Verizon is accelerating broadband subscriber losses and ARPU erosion, Morgan Stanley just cut its price target from $33 to $30, and the stock has already demonstrated it can sell off sharply even on a beat — the market will punish any miss or soft broadband guidance ahead of the July 23 print.
What the market may be missing
The dividend yield anomaly: with the $0.33 quarterly dividend (annualized $1.32) at a current price of $23.57, the yield exceeds ~5.6% and is covered at only a 26% earnings payout ratio. This creates a near-term technical floor as income-oriented institutions rebalance into the stock post the July 22 ex-dividend date, potentially providing a modest short-term support bid that the bearish narrative overlooks.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_CMCSA_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
CMCSA
current
$23.19 ▼3.2%
TTD
NEUTRAL
$19.53
VZ
NEUTRAL
$42.12
T
NEUTRAL
$21.13
TMUS
BULLISH
$187.61
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Brian L. Roberts
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
BL
Brian L. Roberts
Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer · Comcast Corporation
CEO since 2002
Total compensation
$35,148,413 ▲ 3.8% YoY
Prior year: $33,861,622
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
90%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
9/11 (82%)
Base salary$2,600,962
Bonus / incentive$8,583,175
Stock awards$23,473,076
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Investor DayApr 23, 2026
Comcast 1st Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call Source ↗
Mr. Brian L. Roberts (CEO) · Comcast Investor Relations (virtual)
Brian L. Roberts and Mike Cavanagh discussed Comcast's first quarter 2026 results, highlighting early signs that the company's strategic pivot is taking hold. They emphasized 2026 as a key year of execution with tangible progress in their business tr
““2026 is an important year of execution, and we're seeing tangible early signs our pivot is taking hold," said Brian L. Roberts and Mike Cavanagh, co-CEOs of Comcast.”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for CMCSA
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Brian L. RobertsChairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer$35,148,413
Michael J. CavanaghPresident$71,756,644
Jason S. ArmstrongChief Financial Officer$16,376,123
Thomas J. ReidChief Legal Officer and Secretary$14,413,678
Jennifer KhouryChief Communications Officer$5,676,386
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-24
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: Yes
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Adopt policy to have an independent chair
AGAINST
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
15 debt instruments · 4 CUSIPs · 8 unique covenants
1.01x
Debt / Equity
4.3x
Interest coverage
2.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$79.8B
Net debt
34%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Bond $691,967,000
5.168% Notes due 2037
Matures 2037-01-15 · Filed 2025-10-02
Fixed
unsecured
Revolver $11,800,000,000
CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2029-05-17 · Filed 2024-05-17
Floating | Fixed · SOFR | EURIBOR | TIBOR | CORRA | SONIA | Prime | Fed Funds
unsecured
Credit $11,000,000,000
CREDIT AGREEMENT (as amended by Amendment No. 1, dated December 31, 2021 ) and Amendment No. 2, date
Matures 2026-03-30 · Filed 2023-02-03
Variable · SOFR | EURIBOR | TIBOR | SONIA | CDOR | Prime | Fed Funds
unsecured
Revolver $11,000,000,000
Credit Agreement (as amended by Amendment No. 1, dated December 31, 2021)
Matures 2026-03-30 · Filed 2022-02-02
Variable · SOFR | LIBOR | Fed Funds | Prime | EURIBOR | TIBOR | SONIA | CDOR | Central Bank Rate
unsecured
Bond $14,999,852,000
2.887% Notes due 2051, 2.937% Notes due 2056, and 2.987% Notes due 2063 (collectively, the 'Notes')
Matures 2051-11-01, 2056-11-01, 2063-11-01 · Filed 2021-08-19
Fixed
unsecured
Revolver $11,000,000,000
Credit Agreement
Matures 2026-03-30 · Filed 2021-03-31
Variable · LIBOR | EURIBOR | TIBOR | CDOR | Base Rate (Prime Rate, NYFRB Rate, Adjusted LIBO Rate)
Unsecured. The agreement restricts the incurrence of Liens on property, assets, or revenues, with specific exceptions. A Letter of Credit Cash Collateral Account is required for certain Letter of Credit Usage scenarios.
9 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 5.75x
Leverage Ratio
CREDIT AGREEMENT
Maximum Consolidated Leverage Ratio
≤ 5.75 to 1.00
Consolidated Total Indebtedness (minus up to $1,000,000,000 of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents) to Annualized EBITDA
CREDIT AGREEMENT (as amended by Amendment No. 1, d
Maximum Secured Indebtedness (Sale-Leaseback Transactions)
≤ $1,500,000,000
Aggregate outstanding principal amount of Indebtedness secured by Liens under Sale-Leaseback Transactions
Credit Agreement (as amended by Amendment No. 1, d
Maximum Secured Indebtedness (Asset Securitization Transactions)
≤ $2,000,000,000
Aggregate outstanding principal amount of obligations secured by Liens arising in connection with asset securitization transactions
Credit Agreement (as amended by Amendment No. 1, d
Maximum Other Secured Indebtedness
≤ (15% of Consolidated Net Worth - amount of unsecured Indebtedness of Non-Guarantor Subsidiaries secured pursuant to Section 7.01(j))
Aggregate outstanding principal amount of Indebtedness for borrowed money (including Guaranty Obligations) secured by other Liens
Credit Agreement (as amended by Amendment No. 1, d
Maximum Non-Guarantor Subsidiary Indebtedness
≤ (15% of Consolidated Net Worth - amount of secured Indebtedness of any Loan Party secured pursuant to Section 7.01(j))
Aggregate principal amount of Indebtedness of Restricted Subsidiaries that are not Guarantors
Credit Agreement (as amended by Amendment No. 1, d
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 5.75x
Leverage Ratio (Consolidated Total Indebtedness minus unrestricted cash and cash equivalents to Annualized EBITDA)
Credit Agreement
Maximum Leverage Ratio
≤ 5.75 to 1.00
Consolidated Total Indebtedness (minus up to $1,000,000,000 of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents) to Annualized EBITDA
Credit Agreement
CUSIP identifiers (4 on file)
20030PAM8 20030PAN6 U63763AB9 62875UAD7
Cross-default risk
9 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Moderate leverage — no covenants on file
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.7x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Intense competition across all business segments in highly competitive and dynam
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Hold — watch for drift
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.6/10 100% CMCSA trades at a deeply depressed ~4.6x TTM P/E and ~30% below its analyst consensus target, offeri... $23.57 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 75% CMCSA screens optically cheap at ~4.6x trailing earnings and trades much closer to its 52-week low t... $23.57 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 50% CMCSA is trading near its 52-week low at a deeply distressed valuation (~4.7x TTM P/E, ~6.3x forward... $23.82 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.2/10 75% CMCSA trades at a deeply depressed ~5x TTM P/E near its 52-week low, pricing in a worst-case broadba... $24.87 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% CMCSA screens as optically cheap on trailing earnings and trades near its 52-week low, but that low ... $25.21 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.1/10 75% CMCSA trades at a deeply discounted 4.85x TTM P/E near its 52-week low (~$24.76 vs. $24.13 low), wit... $24.76 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.5/10 67% CMCSA screens optically cheap at ~5x trailing earnings and trades near its 52-week low, but that low... $25.40 Sched.
May 03, 2026 BULLISH 7.0/10 75% CMCSA trades at a deeply discounted ~5.3x TTM P/E with ~21% upside to the consensus analyst price ta... $27.19 Sched.
Apr 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.7/10 50% CMCSA delivered a genuine Q1 2026 earnings beat (EPS $0.79 vs. $0.73 est; revenue $31.46B vs. $30.44... $31.64 Event
Apr 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 50% Comcast trades at a compelling 5.2x TTM P/E near 52-week lows, and the completed Versant spin-off ha... $27.93 Sched.
Showing last 10 signals
CMCSA Comcast Corporation
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-03)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$123,707 million USD -0.02% YoY
? Operating income
$20,672 million USD
? Net income
$19,998 million USD
? Free cash flow
$21,893 million USD
? EPS (diluted)
$0.60
? Dividend per share
$1.32
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
8.57%
WACC
4.19%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 4.38%
? WACC
4.19%
? Cost of equity
7.85%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
1.13%
? Capital structure
E: 45.58% / D: 54.42%
? ROIC
8.57%
? EVA
$7.8B
? NOPAT
$15.2B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: Gemini 10-K, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: Derived (OI - PTI), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.