MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
BLK
BlackRock Inc.
Financials · NYSE: BLK · MSJ-100
$1,025.44
▼ $6.12  (▼0.59%) today
After-hours: $1,031.00  ▲ 0.54%
Headquarters
New York, NY
Employees
25,400
Founded
1988
CEO
Mr. Laurence Douglas Fink
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
December
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $1,259.06
$1,025 now
Bear $1,105 Avg $1,259 Bull $1,430
Price history Free
Volume
719.0K
Avg volume
724.5K
Open
$1,030.24
Day high / low
$1,036.52 / $1,023.05
Market cap
$166.7B
About this company
Free
BlackRock, Inc. is a leading global investment management firm that provides a broad range of investment strategies across various asset classes, including equities, fixed income, and alternatives, to institutional and retail clients. The company also offers technology and subscription services, such as its Aladdin platform, for investment and risk management.
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q1 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Apr 15, 2026Optimistic
● Full transcript on file
Laurence D. Fink (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Martin Small (Chief Financial Officer), Rob Goldstein (Chief Operating Officer)
Key metrics
Q1 2026 results included year‑over‑year growth in total AUM, positive long‑term net inflows, and higher base fee revenues supported by equity market appreciation. Adjusted EPS increased versus the prior‑year quarter, driven by revenue growth and operating leverage, while operating margin expanded modestly as management controlled core expenses.
Forward guidance
Management reiterated its focus on driving long‑term organic base fee growth through ETF, iShares and private markets flows, and indicated that 2026 expense growth would remain disciplined relative to revenue growth, excluding any impact from performance fees and market movements. They guided to continued investment in technology platforms includin
Notable Q&A
One notable Q&A exchange involved an analyst asking about the trajectory of organic base fee growth given competitive pressure in ETFs; management responded that product breadth, global distribution and technology integration are sustaining share gains and that organic base fee growth in the mid‑sin
Surprise items
There were no major negative surprises; management emphasized stronger‑than‑expected client demand in certain alternatives and infrastructure strategies, and indicated that operating margin could trend higher than previously expected if markets remain supportive and net inflows persist.
Q4 2025 (Jan 10, 2026) · Confident Q1 2025 (Apr 15, 2025) · Confident
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$1,219.94 / $917.39
Forward P/E
16.5×
Trailing 25.8×
Dividend
$22.92 / share
Yield 2.22%
Analysts covering
16
Avg target $1,259.06
Beta
1.44
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.4%
Float shorted
Buy
82%
Hold
18%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$24,216 million
18.7% increase YoY
Operating margin
29.1%
Net income
$5,553 million
Free cash flow
$7,088 million
Dividend / share
$20.84
Total debt
$12,768 million
Cash: $11,468 million
Earnings quality: MEDIUM
Cash conversion:0.7x
Non-recurring items: Noncash acquisition-related expenses, Noncash Charitable Contribution of $109 million, Restructuring charge of $39 million (comprised of severance and accelerated vesting of deferred compensation), Discrete tax benefit of $29 million related to the Charitable Contribution
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2026-02-25
Xavier sector view:
Financials
See journal
View Financials journal ↗
Xavier's signal
BULLISH
↑ Changed from BULLISH · Jul 11, 2026
Signal
Confidence 6.9 / 10  ·  50% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
BLK is trading ~15% below its 52-week high with Q2 earnings due July 15 — just 3 trading days away — where analysts expect 4.1% EPS growth and 24.5% revenue growth YoY, building on a Q1 beat (EPS $12.53 vs. $11.67 est.). The forward P/E of ~16.7x is reasonable for a business posting 27% revenue growth, $13.9T AUM, and expanding margins (44.5% adj. operating margin in Q1). The earnings catalyst is near-term, specific, and underappreciated given the stock's 15% discount to its 52-week high.
Strongest bull case
Imminent Q2 earnings on July 15 with positive earnings ESP (+1.21%), analyst consensus expecting 24.5% revenue growth YoY, and a Q1 track record of beats — the stock is likely pre-positioning for an upside surprise that could close the gap to the $1,255 analyst consensus target.
Strongest bear case
BLK carries a TTM P/E of 26x — a premium to its asset management peer group (industry avg. forward P/E ~11.6x) — and any Q2 miss or cautious guidance on AUM flows, elevated restructuring costs, or macro-driven fee compression could trigger a sharp re-rating lower given Beta of 1.44 in a neutral-to-bearish macro regime.
What the market may be missing
The forward P/E of 16.7x embeds aggressive revenue growth assumptions partly fueled by the HPS and Preqin acquisitions — if Q2 organic fee growth decelerates or integration costs surprise to the upside, the 'quality at a discount' narrative collapses quickly. The gap between TTM P/E (26x) and Forward P/E (16.7x) implies the market is pricing in a very steep earnings ramp that must be validated this week.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — BULLISH
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — BULLISH
msj100_BLK_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
BLK
current
$1,025.44 ▼0.6%
PGR
NEUTRAL
$230.72
AXP
NEUTRAL
$350.58
MA
NEUTRAL
$526.74
V
NEUTRAL
$348.97
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-02
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Laurence D. Fink
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
LD
Laurence D. Fink
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer · BlackRock Inc.
CEO since 1988
Total compensation
$37,749,569 ▲ 22.7% YoY
Prior year: $30,768,546
Pay vs performance
FAR ALIGNED
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
67%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
16/19 (84%)
Diversity: 42% (6 women)
Base salary$1,500,000
Bonus / incentive$10,567,500
Stock awards$24,600,184
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
ConferenceMay 07, 2026
Milken Institute Global Conference Source ↗
Mr. Laurence Douglas Fink (CEO) · Beverly Hills, California
Larry Fink discussed the surging demand for computing power driven by AI, predicting it will create a new asset class around futures of compute. He emphasized how this shift will redefine investment opportunities in physical infrastructure for AI inf
“"A new asset class will be buying futures of compute."”
ConferenceMay 07, 2026
Milken Institute Global Conference - Global Markets Discussion Source ↗
Mr. Laurence Douglas Fink (CEO) · Beverly Hills, California, hosted by Michael Milken with Bruce Flatt
Joined Brookfield CEO Bruce Flatt to discuss global investment trends amid AI and tech shifts. Topics included evolving market dynamics, asset management strategies, and opportunities in emerging sectors like compute infrastructure. Forward-looking v
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for BLK
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Robert S. KapitoPresident$25,742,506
Robert L. GoldsteinSenior Managing Director and Chief Operating Officer$15,560,939
Martin S. SmallSenior Managing Director, Chief Financial Officer and Global Head of Corporate Strategy$13,649,287
J. Richard KushelSenior Managing Director and Head of the Portfolio Management Group$11,013,467
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-04-10
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: Yes
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Shareholder proposals
Election of Directors
FOR
Pending
Approval, in a Non-Binding Advisory Vote, of the Compensation for Named Executiv
FOR
Pending
Ratification of the Appointment of the Independent Registered Public Accounting
FOR
Pending
Amendment of Subsidiary Certificate of Incorporation to Remove Pass-Through Voti
FOR
Pending
Debt intelligence
Pro
1 debt instrument · 2 CUSIPs · 1 unique covenant
0.22x
Debt / Equity
8.9x
Interest coverage
$2.9B
Net debt
7%
Debt / Assets
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit $6,300,000,000
FIVE-YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
Matures 2031-03-31 · Filed 2026-04-03
Floating · SOFR, Prime, Fed Funds, EURIBOR, TIBOR, SONIA
unsecured
09251QAE9 09251QAF6
Financial covenants
Leverage Ratio
Consolidated Total Funded Indebtedness (excluding Hybrid Securities Amount) / Consolidated EBITDA
FIVE-YEAR REVOLVING CREDIT AGREEMENT
CUSIP identifiers (2 on file)
09251QAE9 09251QAF6
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
MEDIUM (cash conversion 0.7x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Changes in the value levels of equity, debt, real assets, commodities, foreign e
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Bullish
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 BULLISH 6.9/10 50% BLK is trading ~15% below its 52-week high with Q2 earnings due July 15 — just 3 trading days away —... $1,036.11 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% BLK is a high-quality franchise, but at 26.1x trailing earnings it is already priced above a market-... $1,036.11 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% BLK trades at ~25x TTM P/E — at the upper bound of fair value for an asset manager with near-zero re... $995.60 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.6/10 100% BLK posted a genuinely strong Q1 2026 — 27% revenue growth, $13.9T AUM, and a 9%+ EPS beat — but the... $1,046.88 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.0/10 100% BLK trades at 27x TTM P/E — above the S&P 500 average — with negligible near-term revenue and earnin... $1,073.00 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% BLK's Q1 2026 fundamentals are genuinely strong — $130B net inflows, 27% revenue growth YoY, and a Q... $1,081.90 Sched.
May 10, 2026 BULLISH 7.0/10 67% BLK has supportive macro exposure to a risk-on tape and still trades below analyst consensus target,... $1,084.83 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 75% BLK delivered a genuine Q1 2026 earnings beat ($12.53 adj. EPS vs. $11.54 est.) with record iShares ... $1,061.68 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 7.2/10 75% BLK reports Q1 2026 earnings on April 14 — two trading days away — with Wall Street expecting $12.01... $999.31 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
BLK BlackRock Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2026-02-25)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$24,216 million 18.7% increase YoY
? Operating income
$7,045 million
? Net income
$5,553 million
? Free cash flow
$7,088 million
? EPS (diluted)
$14.06
? Dividend per share
$20.84
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
10.66%
WACC
11.62%
🟡 NEUTRAL — EVA Spread: -0.97%
? WACC
11.62%
? Cost of equity
12.19%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
4.28%
? Capital structure
E: 92.90% / D: 7.10%
? ROIC
10.66%
? EVA
-$576M
? NOPAT
$6.4B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.