MSJ-100 Index
1,036.65
Signal breadth
4 Bullish 93 Neutral 3 Bearish Avg confidence 6.16 / 10
View full MSJ-100 ↗
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
Information Technology · NYSE: AVGO · MSJ-100
$389.11
▲ $5.06  (▲1.32%) today
After-hours: $391.00  ▲ 0.49%
Headquarters
Palo Alto, CA
Employees
33,000
Founded
1991
CEO
Mr. Hock E. Tan
Incorporated
Delaware
Fiscal Year End
October
Analyst price target range Free
Avg target $523.73
$389 now
Bear $216 Avg $524 Bull $650
Price history Free
Volume
20.12M
Avg volume
26.40M
Open
$395.61
Day high / low
$397.33 / $384.64
Market cap
$1.85T
About this company
Free
Broadcom Inc. is a global technology leader specializing in the design, development, and supply of semiconductor and semiconductor-based solutions, as well as infrastructure software. The company's products serve diverse markets including AI data centers, networking, wireless devices, servers, storage, broadband, and industrial applications, helping enterprises optimize and secure their IT environments.
Business segments
10-K
Semiconductor Solutions Infrastructure Software
Recent News
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Earnings call: Q2 2026 2026
Intel
Free
Jun 12, 2026Confident
● Full transcript on file
Hock E. Tan (President and Chief Executive Officer), Kirsten M. Spears (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer), Dr. Charlie Kawwas (President, Semiconductor Solutions Group), Tom Krause (President, Infrastructure Software Group)
Key metrics
For Q2 2026, Broadcom reported total revenue of approximately $22.2 billion, up about 48% year over year, with strong contribution from AI‑related semiconductors and networking products.[7] Adjusted EBITDA grew in line with revenue, maintaining very high margins, and management highlighted robust free cash flow generation that supports ongoing divi
Forward guidance
Management reiterated that for fiscal 2026 they expect double‑digit year‑over‑year revenue growth, driven primarily by continued strength in AI accelerators and networking silicon, with AI‑related semiconductor revenue projected to exceed one‑third of total semiconductor sales by year‑end.[7] They guided to sequential revenue growth into Q3 2026, w
Notable Q&A
In one notable exchange, an analyst asked about the sustainability of AI‑driven demand and whether current AI accelerator and networking orders might be front‑loaded; management responded that AI infrastructure build‑outs at cloud and hyperscale customers are long‑cycle, that their AI pipeline exten
Surprise items
The magnitude of the year‑over‑year revenue increase—roughly 48% in Q2 2026—was a positive surprise, largely attributed to AI semiconductor revenue that grew faster than previously communicated and reached a higher proportion of total sales than investors had modeled.[7] Management’s indication that
Q2 FY2026 (Jun 04, 2026) · Confident Q4 FY2024 (2024-12-XX) · Optimistic
Fundamentals
Signal
52-week high / low
$495.00 / $273.00
Forward P/E
20.1×
Trailing 65.0×
Dividend
$2.60 / share
Yield 0.68%
Analysts covering
45
Avg target $523.73
Beta
1.46
vs. S&P 500
Short interest
1.5%
Float shorted
Buy
92%
Hold
8%
Sell
0%
Wall Street consensus — sourced weekly via public disclosures
Analyst coverage data sourced from public filings. Xavier analyst thesis summary available after weekly Perplexity scan completes.
Financial summary — Gemini analysis
Signal
Revenue
$63,887 million
23.87% YoY
Operating margin
39.9%
Net income
$23,126 million
Free cash flow
$26,914 million
Dividend / share
$2.360
Total debt
$67,120 million
Cash: $16,178 million
CapEx guidance
We expect capital expenditures to be higher in fiscal year 2026 as compared to fiscal year 2025.
Earnings quality: HIGH
Recurring revenue:30%
Cash conversion:1.2x
Non-recurring items: Restructuring charges of $667 million, Loss on debt extinguishment of $138 million, Non-recurring impairment charge related to an asset held-for-sale of $70 million, Valuation allowance against federal corporate alternative minimum tax (CAMT) credits of $1,321 million
Source: SEC 10-K filing analyzed by Gemini 2.5 Flash · 2025-12-18
Xavier sector view:
Information Technology
See journal
View Information Technology journal ↗
Xavier's signal
NEUTRAL
Signal
Confidence 5.8 / 10  ·  100% model agreement  ·  Scheduled Jul 12, 2026
AVGO's business fundamentals are genuinely exceptional — Q2 FY26 AI semiconductor revenue surged 143% YoY to $10.8B, with Q3 guided at $16B (200%+ YoY), and the new $30B+ Apple chip deal through 2031 provides durable revenue visibility. However, the TTM P/E of 66.7x is severely stretched, the stock is ~19% off its 52-week high despite blockbuster news flow (suggesting the market has already processed the catalysts), volume is running nearly half of average indicating weak conviction, and a fresh Erste Group downgrade on valuation concerns signals the easy re-rating is done. For the next 5 trading days specifically, with no earnings until September 2 and the Apple deal already priced in, there is no identifiable near-term catalyst to break the stock out of its current consolidation range.
Strongest bull case
AI semiconductor revenue compounding at triple-digit rates with $16B Q3 guide (200%+ YoY growth) and a $30B+ locked-in Apple deal through 2031 creates the rarest of things: genuine, visible, multi-year revenue certainty in a cyclical industry — forward P/E of ~20x on rapidly growing earnings is far more reasonable than the TTM P/E suggests.
Strongest bear case
The Q2 earnings report in early June 2026 — despite beating on revenue (+48% YoY) and delivering 143% AI chip growth — triggered a ~24% crash because management did not raise its long-term AI revenue target, exposing how severely 'priced for perfection' AVGO is; a Seeking Alpha stress-test estimates the stock embeds ~$115B in FY28 FCF expectations vs. a more realistic $67-83B, meaning any guidance disappointment at the September earnings print could reprice the stock sharply lower.
What the market may be missing
The consensus is underweighting Google TPU concentration risk: with Google's in-house TPU share expected to grow, Broadcom could face a $15-25B FY28 revenue hole versus the no-second-source scenario — yet sell-side models appear to assume full custom ASIC TAM retention. Additionally, management's shift to 'chips only' (abandoning full integrated AI systems) quietly narrows the monetization surface area and may compress long-run margins in ways not yet reflected in street estimates.
Model breakdown
Signal
Atlas (Claude) — NEUTRAL
Meridian (GPT-4) — NEUTRAL
Grayline (Grok) — NEUTRAL
Vantage (Gemini) — NEUTRAL
msj100_AVGO_20260712T003715Z
Peer comparison
Signal
AVGO
current
$389.11 ▲1.3%
ADBE
NEUTRAL
$223.64
AMD
NEUTRAL
$557.89
ORCL
NEUTRAL
$140.64
NVDA
BULLISH
$210.96
Recent SEC filings
Signal
LOG
4 — 2026-07-14
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-14
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-10
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
LOG
4 — 2026-07-10
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
P2 COND
8-K — 2026-07-06
View filing on SEC EDGAR ↗
CEO scorecard — Hock E. Tan
Signal summary
Full detail Pro
HE
Hock E. Tan
President and Chief Executive Officer · Broadcom Inc.
CEO since March 2006
Total compensation
$205,278,006 ▲ 7691.0% YoY
Prior year: $2,634,542
Pay vs performance
Aligned
Board assessment
Say-on-pay approval
92%
Shareholder vote
Board independence
7/8 (88%)
Base salary$1,200,000
Bonus / incentive
Stock awards$202,351,080
Executive appearances
Intel
Free
Investor DayApr 20, 2026
Meta Annual Shareholder Meeting Source ↗
Mr. Hock E. Tan (CEO) · Palo Alto, California
Formal transition of Hock Tan's role from Meta board member to specialized advisory role guiding Meta's custom silicon roadmap. Discussed expanded Broadcom-Meta partnership through 2029 focusing on next-generation 2nm MTIA accelerators.
Investor DayApr 14, 2026
Earnings Call / Investor Guidance Source ↗
Mr. Hock E. Tan (CEO) · Broadcom Inc.
Hock Tan provided forward guidance on AI semiconductor revenue trajectory and competitive positioning. Highlighted custom accelerators embedded with hyperscalers and durable competitive advantages.
“"line of sight to achieve AI revenue from chips, just chips, in excess of $100 billion in 2027"”
CEO letter to shareholders
Signal
No shareholder letter on file for AVGO
Some companies file their annual report without a separate CEO letter. When available, Xavier extracts strategic themes, tone analysis, and forward-looking statements to help you read between the lines.
Executive compensation
Signal
NameTitleTotal compensation
Hock E. TanPresident and Chief Executive Officer$205,278,006
Kirsten M. SpearsChief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer$28,164,046
Mark D. BrazealChief Legal and Corporate Affairs Officer$28,619,011
Charlie B. Kawwas, Ph.D.President, Semiconductor Solutions Group$2,115,626
Source: DEF 14A proxy statement · 2026-03-02
Governance
Pro
Dual-class shares: No
Poison pill: No
Clawback policy: Yes
Stock ownership req.: Yes
Debt intelligence
Pro
14 debt instruments · 18 CUSIPs · 16 unique covenants
0.86x
Debt / Equity
8.9x
Interest coverage
1.9x
Net Debt / EBITDA
$54.1B
Net debt
40%
Debt / Assets
Interest coverage trend (EBITDA / Interest expense)
3.6x
24-08
7.3x
25-02
8.0x
25-05
7.3x
25-08
10.9x
26-02
14.3x
26-05
Credit facilities & debt instruments
Credit $28,390,625,000.00 (aggregate principal amount of Term A-2, Term A-3, and Term A-5 Loans borrowed)
First Amendment to Credit Agreement (Term A-2, Term A-3, and Term A-5 Loans)
Matures · Filed 2024-03-14
Floating · SOFR
Term Loan $28,390,625,000
Credit Agreement for Term A-2, Term A-3, and Term A-5 Facilities
Matures 2028-08-15 · Filed 2023-08-16
Floating · SOFR
Unsecured. The agreement does not describe any collateral granted for these loans. The 'Applicable Rate' definition refers to 'non-credit-enhanced, senior unsecured long-term debt'.
11134NAS4 11134NAT2 11134NAU9 11134NAV7
Credit $7,500,000,000
Credit Agreement, dated as of January 19, 2021, as amended by Amendment No. 1, dated as of April 18,
Matures 2026-01-19 · Filed 2023-06-07
Floating · SOFR
Unsecured. The facility is described as 'non-credit-enhanced, senior unsecured long-term debt'. Cash collateral is required for L/C Obligations under certain circumstances (e.g., Defaulting Lender, L/C Obligations exceeding Letter of Credit Sublimit).
11134NAQ8 11134NAR6
Bond $3,249,984,000 aggregate principal amount of 2035 Notes and $2,750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 2036 Notes
3.137% Senior Notes due 2035 and 3.187% Senior Notes due 2036
Matures 2036-11-15 · Filed 2021-09-30
Fixed
unsecured
Bond $5,499,998,000
3.419% Senior Notes due 2033 and 3.469% Senior Notes due 2034
Matures 2034-04-15 · Filed 2021-03-31
Fixed
unsecured
CUSIP/ISIN _________ (for 3.419% Senior Notes due 2033) CUSIP/ISIN _________ (for 3.469% Senior Notes due 2034)
Credit $7,500,000,000
CREDIT AGREEMENT D ATED AS OF J ANUARY 19, 2021 AMONG BROADCOM INC., AS THE BORROWER
Matures 2026-01-19 · Filed 2021-01-19
Floating · LIBOR | Federal Funds | Prime | SOFR
Unsecured
11134NAQ8 11134NAR6
8 additional agreements on file
Financial covenants
Minimum Consolidated Interest Coverage Ratio
≥ 2.00:1.00
Consolidated EBITDA to Consolidated Interest Charges
Credit Agreement for Term A-2, Term A-3, and Term
Consolidated Interest Coverage Ratio
not be less than 3.00 to 1.00
Consolidated EBITDA for the period of the four prior fiscal quarters ending on such date to Consolidated Interest Charges for such period
Credit Agreement, dated as of January 19, 2021, as
Limitation on Exempted Indebtedness and Attributable Liens
does not exceed the greater of (i) 15% of the Consolidated Net Tangible Assets of the Issuer and (ii) $2,000,000,000
aggregate amount of Secured Debt (other than permitted under Section 4.08) and Attributable Liens of Sale and Lease-back Transactions (other than set forth in Section 4.10)
3.137% Senior Notes due 2035 and 3.187% Senior Not
Limitation on Secured Debt
Issuer will not (nor permit any of its Subsidiaries to) create, assume, or guarantee any Secured Debt without making effective provision for securing the Notes equally and ratably with such Secured Debt, subject to certain exceptions.
Secured Debt
3.419% Senior Notes due 2033 and 3.469% Senior Not
Limitation on Sale and Lease-back Transactions
Issuer will not (nor permit any of its Subsidiaries to) enter into any sale and lease-back transaction for any Principal Property unless: (a) such transaction was entered into prior to the issue date of the Notes; (b) such transaction involves a lease for less than three years; (c) such transaction involves the sale and leasing back to the Issuer of any Principal Property by one of its Subsidiaries, the sale and leasing back to one of the Issuer’s Subsidiaries by the Issuer or the sale and leasing back to one of the Issuer’s Subsidiaries by another of the Issuer’s Subsidiaries; (d) the Issuer or such Subsidiary would be entitled to incur Secured Debt on the Principal Property to be leased in an amount at least equal to the Attributable Liens with respect to such Sale and Lease-back Transaction without equally and ratably securing the Notes pursuant to Section 4.08; or (e) the Issuer applies an amount equal to the fair market value of the Principal Property sold, within 180 days of such Sale and Lease-back Transaction, to any of (or a combination of) (a) the prepayment or retirement of the Notes, (b) the prepayment or retirement of Indebtedness for borrowed money of the Issuer or a Subsidiary of the Issuer (other than Indebtedness that is contractually subordinated to the Notes) or (c) the purchase, construction, development, expansion or improvement of Principal Property.
Sale and Lease-back Transaction
3.419% Senior Notes due 2033 and 3.469% Senior Not
Exempted Indebtedness
Does not exceed the greater of (i) 15% of the Consolidated Net Tangible Assets of the Issuer calculated as of the date of the creation or incurrence of such Secured Debt or Sale and Lease-Back Transactions and (ii) $2,000 million, in each case after giving effect to such incurrence and the application of the proceeds therefrom.
Aggregate amount of Secured Debt (other than permitted under Section 4.08) and Attributable Liens of Sale and Lease-back Transactions (other than permitted under Section 4.10)
3.419% Senior Notes due 2033 and 3.469% Senior Not
Minimum Consolidated Interest Coverage Ratio
≥ 3.00 to 1.00
Consolidated EBITDA / Consolidated Interest Charges
CREDIT AGREEMENT D ATED AS OF J ANUARY 19, 2021 AM
Maximum Secured Indebtedness
≤ the greater of (a) $14,018,000,000 and (b) 100% of Consolidated EBITDA
Aggregate principal amount of outstanding Indebtedness secured by Liens
CREDIT AGREEMENT D ATED AS OF J ANUARY 19, 2021 AM
8 additional covenants on file
CUSIP identifiers (18 on file)
11134NAA3 11134NAC9 11134NAD7 11134NAB1 11134NAK1 11134NAL9 11134NAM7 11134NAQ8 11134NAS4 11134NAT2 11134NAU9 11134NAV7 +6 more
Cross-default risk
8 agreements contain cross-default provisions — a covenant breach on one facility may trigger default on others.
Xavier risk radar
Pro
Covenant headroom
Low leverage — no covenants required
Earnings quality
High quality (cash conversion 1.2x)
Risk trend
Risk increasing — Adverse global economic conditions could have a negative effect on the business,
Mgmt narrative
Management tone: Cautiously optimistic
Analyst drift
Consensus Buy — targets stable
Insider sentiment
Pattern detection — 90 days needed
Signal history
Signal
DateDirectionConf.Agree.ThesisPriceType
Jul 12, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% AVGO's business fundamentals are genuinely exceptional — Q2 FY26 AI semiconductor revenue surged 143... $399.97 Sched.
Jul 11, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.9/10 100% AVGO has strong structural AI and VMware-related earnings support, but the near-term setup is less c... $399.97 Sched.
Jun 07, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 100% AVGO has just suffered a historic post-earnings selloff of ~20% over two sessions driven by the mark... $385.73 Sched.
May 31, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% AVGO is printing a +4.73% single-day move to within 0.5% of its 52-week high ($448.90) on heavy volu... $446.77 Sched.
May 24, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.8/10 100% AVGO remains a high-quality AI and infrastructure semiconductor compounder, but the near-term setup ... $414.14 Sched.
May 17, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.3/10 75% AVGO trades at 82x TTM earnings and near its 52-week high (~96% of peak), leaving virtually no margi... $425.19 Sched.
May 10, 2026 NEUTRAL 6.6/10 100% AVGO has strong AI and VMware-related narrative support and benefits from a bullish macro tape, but ... $430.00 Sched.
May 03, 2026 NEUTRAL 5.7/10 100% AVGO's fundamental AI growth story is genuinely exceptional — Q1 FY26 AI revenue surged 106% YoY to ... $421.28 Sched.
Apr 12, 2026 BULLISH 8.1/10 100% Broadcom just posted record Q1 FY2026 revenue of $19.3 billion with AI semiconductor revenue up 106%... $371.55 Sched.
Showing last 9 signals
AVGO Broadcom Inc.
Signal
FY2026 annual report (10-K filed 2025-12-18)
INCOME STATEMENT
? Revenue
$63,887 million 23.87% YoY
? Operating income
$25,484 million
? Net income
$23,126 million
? Free cash flow
$26,914 million
? EPS (diluted)
$1.91
? Dividend per share
$2.360
Click any row to expand the plain-English explanation. Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings.
Capital intelligence
Signal
Weighted Average Cost of Capital · Return on Invested Capital · Economic Value Added
ROIC
22.26%
WACC
11.90%
🟢 VALUE CREATOR — EVA Spread: 10.36%
? WACC
11.90%
? Cost of equity
12.29%
? Cost of debt (after-tax)
1.06%
? Capital structure
E: 96.50% / D: 3.50%
? ROIC
22.26%
? EVA
$14.0B
? NOPAT
$30.1B
Risk-free rate: 4.25% (10Y Treasury) · Equity risk premium: 5.50% · Sources: total_debt: XBRL, operating_income: XBRL TTM (4Q sum), interest_expense: XBRL, invested_capital: Equity + Debt - Cash
Xavier consensus signals are intelligence outputs, not investment advice. All signals are generated by a multi-model AI system and reflect public information at time of generation. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Wall Street analyst consensus sourced from public disclosures, summarized weekly. Financial data sourced from SEC EDGAR and yfinance. Insider transactions sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Updated Jul 12, 2026.